Macro Roundup (Jun 30)

Published: Jun 30, 2020 09:00
The US dollar started the week on a negative footing and edged lower on Monday. Market sentiment was lifted as the European Union is preparing to open its borders to travellers from 14 countries after months of lockdown.

SHANGHAI, Jun 30 (SMM) – This is a roundup of global macroeconomic news last night and what is expected today.


The US dollar started the week on a negative footing and edged lower on Monday. Market sentiment was lifted as the European Union is preparing to open its borders to travellers from 14 countries after months of lockdown.


Chinese citizens will be allowed into the EU in principle, but only once China lifts its ban on EU citizens.


Changes to the border closures in the EU will be made on July 1 despite a sharp rise in global coronavirus cases.


Overnight, LME and SHFE base metals closed higher across the board. SHFE zinc led the gains with a rise of 1.38%. SHFE copper advanced 0.21%, aluminium grew 0.66%, lead went up 0.51%, nickel climbed 0.99%, and tin added 0.65%. 


LME zinc increased 0.93%, copper rose 0.44%, aluminium climbed 0.97%, nickel closed up 0.83%, tin edged up 0.06%, and lead gained 0.76%.


On the economic data front, the US pending home sales soared 44.3% month on month in May, the largest increase on record, following two consecutive months of decline, the National Association of Realtors reported Monday. 


The reading beat expectations of a 15% gain. Sales were still 5.1% lower on a yearly basis, however.


“This has been a spectacular recovery for contract signings, and goes to show the resiliency of American consumers and their evergreen desire for homeownership,” Lawrence Yun, chief economist for the National Association of Realtors, said in the report. 


“This bounce back also speaks to how the housing sector could lead the way for a broader economic recovery.”


The European Commission said on Monday its economic sentiment indicator rose to 75.7 in June from 67.5 in May, as eurozone businesses regained some of their lost optimism as lockdowns imposed to contain the pandemic were eased further.


That was the largest month-to-month rise on record, following a more modest rebound in May. However, the reading remains much lower than the 103.4 level recorded in February, the month before lockdowns became widespread.


Key economic data slated for release today include China’s official manufacturing purchasing managers’ index (PMI) for June, the US Conference Board consumer confidence index for June and the eurozone CPI this month. 

 

 

Data Source Statement: Except for publicly available information, all other data are processed by SMM based on publicly available information, market communication, and relying on SMM's internal database model. They are for reference only and do not constitute decision-making recommendations.

For any inquiries or for more information, please contact: lemonzhao@smm.cn
For more information on how to access our research reports, please contact:service.en@smm.cn
Related News
Platinum Seen Outperforming Palladium as Supply Deficits and Industrial Demand Support Outlook
8 hours ago
Platinum Seen Outperforming Palladium as Supply Deficits and Industrial Demand Support Outlook
Read More
Platinum Seen Outperforming Palladium as Supply Deficits and Industrial Demand Support Outlook
Platinum Seen Outperforming Palladium as Supply Deficits and Industrial Demand Support Outlook
[SMM Flash] Platinum could continue to outperform palladium over the longer term despite near-term pressure from a stronger US dollar and elevated Treasury yields, according to a September 2 analysis by FX Empire. Platinum had fallen towards $1,725/oz while palladium traded near $1,290/oz, with the analyst identifying $1,650–1,700/oz as an important platinum support zone and around $1,200/oz as key support for palladium. The analysis attributed near-term pressure on both metals partly to higher interest-rate expectations. FX Empire argued that platinum retains stronger medium-to-long-term fundamentals because of constrained supply and potential new industrial demand. The analysis cited expectations for continued platinum and palladium market deficits alongside potential platinum demand from hydrogen-truck adoption. Palladium's longer-term outlook was described as more dependent on petrol and hybrid vehicle demand as battery-electric vehicle penetration increases. These price levels and relative-performance expectations represent analyst technical analysis and commentary rather than confirmed market forecasts.
8 hours ago
India’s KABIL Eyes Colombian Critical-Minerals Opportunities as Supply Diversification Expands
8 hours ago
India’s KABIL Eyes Colombian Critical-Minerals Opportunities as Supply Diversification Expands
Read More
India’s KABIL Eyes Colombian Critical-Minerals Opportunities as Supply Diversification Expands
India’s KABIL Eyes Colombian Critical-Minerals Opportunities as Supply Diversification Expands
[SMM Flash] India is preparing to expand its critical-minerals engagement with Colombia, with state-owned Khanij Bidesh India Ltd (KABIL) expected to assess mining and exploration opportunities in the country. Diplomatic sources cited by StratNews Global said India is seeking a stronger foothold in Colombian mineral resources as part of a wider strategy to diversify overseas raw-material supply chains. Colombia has prospective resources that include coltan alongside copper and other critical minerals. The initiative remains early-stage strategic engagement, with no specific Colombian tantalum mine, investment amount, acquisition or offtake agreement announced. For the tantalum market, KABIL participation could eventually create an additional source of exploration financing and downstream demand for Colombian coltan resources, but any commercial supply impact remains prospective and dependent on project identification, licensing and development.
8 hours ago
Sibanye-Stillwater Starts Restructuring Consultations at Kwezi PGM Shaft, 1,114 Workers Potentially Affected
8 hours ago
Sibanye-Stillwater Starts Restructuring Consultations at Kwezi PGM Shaft, 1,114 Workers Potentially Affected
Read More
Sibanye-Stillwater Starts Restructuring Consultations at Kwezi PGM Shaft, 1,114 Workers Potentially Affected
Sibanye-Stillwater Starts Restructuring Consultations at Kwezi PGM Shaft, 1,114 Workers Potentially Affected
[SMM Flash] Sibanye-Stillwater has commenced formal consultations over the proposed restructuring of the Kwezi shaft at its Rustenburg PGM operations in South Africa, as the underground operation approaches the end of its economic life. The company said mining has reached the limits of the shaft’s approved mining-right area and economically mineable reserves are being depleted. The Section 189A process could potentially affect 781 employees and 333 contractor employees, representing 1,114 people in total. The consultation does not yet constitute a confirmed shaft closure or final retrenchment decision. However, the development highlights the depletion pressure facing mature South African PGM operations despite the recent recovery in platinum-group-metal prices. If restructuring ultimately results in closure or materially reduced activity at Kwezi, the shaft’s future contribution to Sibanye-Stillwater’s Rustenburg PGM production would decline, although the company has not yet disclosed a specific production-loss estimate.
8 hours ago