Macro Roundup (Jun 19)

Published: Jun 19, 2020 08:59 (GMT+8)
The US dollar extended its increase on Thursday as worries about a rise in new coronavirus cases and a second wave of the pandemic increased demand for safe-haven currencies.

SHANGHAI, Jun 19 (SMM) – This is a roundup of global macroeconomic news last night and what is expected in the day ahead.


The US dollar extended its increase on Thursday as worries about a rise in new coronavirus cases and a second wave of the pandemic increased demand for safe-haven currencies.


A surge in new infections in several US states and the imposition of travel curbs in Beijing to stop a new outbreak made people especially concerned about the dangers of reopening the economy too fast before a vaccine is found.


Overnight, LME and SHFE base metals closed higher for the most part, with LME zinc led the increases with a rise of 1.21%. Copper edged up 0.09%, nickel climbed 0.51%, lead rose 0.28%, while aluminium fell 0.47% and tin slipped 0.27%.


SHFE copper increased 0.6%, zinc added 1.2%, lead expanded 0.38%, nickel advanced 0.21%, while aluminium shed 0.65% and tin dipped 0.29%. Rebar went up 0.39% and stainless steel gained 2.94%.


On the data front, the US weekly jobless claims stayed above 1 million for the 13th consecutive week as the coronavirus pandemic continued to hammer the US economy.


First-time claims totaled 1.5 million last week, higher than the expectation of 1.3 million. The government report’s total was 58,000 lower than the previous week’s 1.566 million, which was revised up by 24,000.


The elevated claims number persists even as all states have reopened to varying degrees and nonfarm payrolls grew by 2.5 million in May. Before the coronavirus, the record for a single week was 695,000 in September 1982.


The report also showed that the four-week moving average, a method to iron out data volatility, decreased by 234,500 to reach 1.8 million.


The Bank of England (BOE) announced its latest plans for the country’s base rate on Thursday. It kept interest rates at 0.1%, a record low, and voted by a majority of 8-1 to increase the government bond-buying by an additional £100 billion, taking the total stock of asset purchases to £745 billion. 


"There are signs of consumer spending and services output picking up, following the easing of Covid-related restrictions on economic activity," it said in the statement. 


"Recent additional announcements of easier monetary and fiscal policy will help to support the recovery. Downside risks to the global outlook remain, however, including from the spread of Covid-19 within emerging market economies and from a return to a higher rate of infection in advanced economies."


Key economic data slated for release today include the US weekly M1 money supply and its current account for the Q1, as well as the Germany producer price index (PPI) for May and the eurozone current account by end-April. 

 

Data Source Statement: Except for publicly available information, all other data are processed by SMM based on publicly available information, market communication, and relying on SMM's internal database model. They are for reference only and do not constitute decision-making recommendations.

For any inquiries or for more information, please contact: lemonzhao@smm.cn
For more information on how to access our research reports, please contact:service.en@smm.cn
Related News
Tanzania’s Imwelo selects processing route after gold recovery rises to 84.5%
Sep 25, 2026 16:02 (GMT+8)
Tanzania’s Imwelo selects processing route after gold recovery rises to 84.5%
Read More
Tanzania’s Imwelo selects processing route after gold recovery rises to 84.5%
Tanzania’s Imwelo selects processing route after gold recovery rises to 84.5%
[SMM Gold Flash] Lake Victoria Gold reported new metallurgical testwork for weathered ore at Area C of its fully permitted Imwelo Gold Project in Tanzania. Attrition scrubbing followed by desliming increased 24-hour gold extraction from 49.99% to 84.54% in agitated-leach testing. Bottle-roll recovery reached 88.15% after pretreatment, while gravity-recoverable gold also increased. The work was conducted by Nesch Mintech Tanzania in Mwanza. The company has identified attrition scrubbing and desliming as the preferred pretreatment route for further optimisation of the clay-rich near-surface material. Lake Victoria Gold says the results complement earlier work on deeper material, where recoveries of approximately 96–97% were reported. Importantly, the reported recoveries relate to tested pretreated fractions and do not yet represent overall whole-ore plant recovery; further mass-balance and optimisation work is planned.
Sep 25, 2026 16:02 (GMT+8)
Aurum drilling delivers 155 g/t gold hit at Côte d’Ivoire’s Boundiali
Sep 25, 2026 15:58 (GMT+8)
Aurum drilling delivers 155 g/t gold hit at Côte d’Ivoire’s Boundiali
Read More
Aurum drilling delivers 155 g/t gold hit at Côte d’Ivoire’s Boundiali
Aurum drilling delivers 155 g/t gold hit at Côte d’Ivoire’s Boundiali
[SMM Gold Flash] Aurum Resources reported new assay results from 22 diamond holes totalling 6,172.8 metres at the BST1 deposit at its Boundiali Gold Project in Côte d’Ivoire. The results include 2.63 metres at 76.74 g/t gold from 195.2 metres, including 1.3 metres at 155 g/t, together with 24 metres at 6.31 g/t from 108 metres, including 7 metres at 19.25 g/t. Several intersections extend beyond the existing BST1 resource envelope. The results will feed into Aurum’s planned Boundiali Mineral Resource update targeted for early Q4 2026. The company says mineralisation remains open along strike and at depth, while drilling continues across the project. The results are therefore an exploration and resource-growth development rather than additional production. Boundiali currently has a 3.22-million-ounce JORC Mineral Resource, while Aurum is advancing a definitive feasibility study.
Sep 25, 2026 15:58 (GMT+8)
Platinum Shows Stronger Inflation and Real-Rate Linkages Than Gold, Study Finds
Sep 25, 2026 15:52 (GMT+8)
Platinum Shows Stronger Inflation and Real-Rate Linkages Than Gold, Study Finds
Read More
Platinum Shows Stronger Inflation and Real-Rate Linkages Than Gold, Study Finds
Platinum Shows Stronger Inflation and Real-Rate Linkages Than Gold, Study Finds
[SMM Gold & PGM Flash] A new study published in the Journal of Commodity Markets finds that platinum has exhibited broader and more persistent co-movement with inflation and real interest rates than gold. Researchers Arusha Cooray and İbrahim Özmen examined monthly data from July 1999 through December 2024 across the US, Germany, Italy, France, Switzerland and the Netherlands, using turning-point analysis, wavelet coherence and time-varying Granger-causality methods. The study found gold’s macroeconomic relationships were comparatively weaker and more fragmented, while platinum and silver showed broader synchronization, particularly in the US and Germany.​ The researchers attribute platinum’s stronger macroeconomic sensitivity in part to its substantial industrial exposure, meaning its price reflects not only monetary conditions but also manufacturing activity, investment and supply constraints. The findings do not establish platinum as a universally superior inflation hedge: the relationships varied across countries, periods and monetary-policy regimes. Instead, the study highlights a fundamental difference between the metals, with gold’s broader monetary and defensive role producing a different response to inflation and real-rate conditions.
Sep 25, 2026 15:52 (GMT+8)