SMM Evening Comments (Jun 12): SHFE base metals closed broadly lower as Wall Street suffered worst day since March

Published: Jun 12, 2020 18:47
SHFE nonferrous metals rose across the board on Friday, but failed to completely recover from the collapse overnight when growing doubts over a quick recovery from the coronavirus pandemic unnerved investors and sent equity prices plunging.

SHANGHAI, Jun 12 (SMM) – SHFE nonferrous metals rose across the board on Friday, but failed to completely recover from the collapse overnight when growing doubts over a quick recovery from the coronavirus pandemic unnerved investors and sent equity prices plunging.

 

Base metals on the SHFE closed broadly lower, with nickel shedding 1.4% to lead the way down. Lead fell 1.2%, copper declined 0.8%, tin slipped 0.7%, zinc sank 0.6% and aluminium lost 0.4%.

 

For the week, copper and tin posted their fourth straight weekly gains, up 3.6% and 1.7% respectively, while aluminium rose 3.4%. Zinc, nickel and lead, meanwhile, registered their first weekly declines in at least three weeks, down 1.1%, 2% and 1.7%, respectively.

 

On the LME, base metals, except for aluminium, were higher as of 18:46 Beijing time on Friday, recouping losses from sharp declines in the previous session, as US stock futures bounced after the Dow, S&P 500 and Nasdaq on Thursday all recorded their biggest one-day losses since mid-March, posting losses of at least 5.3%.

            

Copper: The most-traded SHFE contract rose from a session-low of 46,070 yuan/mt to end at 46,840. It shed 0.8% on the day, taking a breather from its recent rally, but was up 3.58% on the week, marking the biggest percentage weekly gain in nine. Further upward momentum is seen in SHFE copper, as SMM data showed another decline in social inventories of copper cathode in China this week. Upbeat China auto sales data for May, meanwhile, boosts optimism about domestic consumption.

 

Aluminium: The most-liquid SHFE contract rebounded from a session-low of 13,450 yuan/mt to end at 13,625, down 0.37% on the day. It rose 3.38% on the week, marking the fourth gain in the past five weeks. The contract is expected to oscillate between 13,350-13,800 tonight, with downside limited ahead of the expiry of the June contract.

 

Zinc: The most-active SHFE contract finished the day 0.63% lower at 16,455 yuan/mt, after plumbing a two-week trough of 16,215, below the 40-day moving average, earlier in the session. It lost 1.11% on the week, after two consecutive weeks of gains. SHFE zinc is expected to remain rangebound between moving averages given an array of cross currents with reduced inventories, external demand recovery and near-term ore supply tightness on the bullish side and a low season in China and resumptions of mines on the bearish side.

 

Nickel: The most-traded SHFE contract climbed off lows in nearly two weeks, but met resistance at the 20-day moving average. It closed down 1.44% on the day to 101,740 yuan/mt, registering a weekly loss of 1.98% and snapping a three-week winning streak. SHFE nickel is unlikely to stage a substantial recovery with little support from fundamentals in China, as pure nickel inventories have risen for three consecutive weeks, NPI prices fell on thinner profits at steel mills and stainless steel prices eased in a supply glut.

 

Lead: Longs lifted the most-active SHFE contract to close 1.15% lower at 14,145 yuan/mt, after the contract touched a three-week low of 14,035 earlier in the session. It dropped 1.67% on the week, the first decline in six weeks. With support at 14,000, it is likely to hover around 14,145 tonight.

 

Tin: The most-active SHFE contract climbed to end down 0.67% at 137,040 yuan/mt, after the withdrawal of longs sent the contract to a one-week low of 135,400 earlier in the session. It gained 1.74% on the week, standing above the 10-day moving average, while pressure is seen at 139,000.

 

Data Source Statement: Except for publicly available information, all other data are processed by SMM based on publicly available information, market communication, and relying on SMM‘s internal database model. They are for reference only and do not constitute decision-making recommendations.

For any inquiries or to learn more information, please contact: lemonzhao@smm.cn
For more information on how to access our research reports, please contact:service.en@smm.cn
Related News
"Premier Li Qiang Leads State Council Meeting on Enhancing Effective Investment, Boosting Economic Growth"
17 hours ago
"Premier Li Qiang Leads State Council Meeting on Enhancing Effective Investment, Boosting Economic Growth"
Read More
"Premier Li Qiang Leads State Council Meeting on Enhancing Effective Investment, Boosting Economic Growth"
"Premier Li Qiang Leads State Council Meeting on Enhancing Effective Investment, Boosting Economic Growth"
Premier Li Qiang presided over an executive meeting of the State Council to study policy measures for promoting effective investment. The meeting noted that promoting effective investment plays an important role in stabilizing economic growth and strengthening momentum for development. It is necessary to innovate and improve policy measures, and intensify efforts to enhance the efficiency of utilizing funds such as central budget investments, ultra-long-term special treasury bonds, local government special bonds, and new-type policy-based financial instruments. In conjunction with formulating and implementing the 15th Five-Year Plan
17 hours ago
"Guided by Xi Jinping Thought, Implement 20th CPC Congress Spirit, Apply New Development Philosophy...
17 hours ago
"Guided by Xi Jinping Thought, Implement 20th CPC Congress Spirit, Apply New Development Philosophy...
Read More
"Guided by Xi Jinping Thought, Implement 20th CPC Congress Spirit, Apply New Development Philosophy...
"Guided by Xi Jinping Thought, Implement 20th CPC Congress Spirit, Apply New Development Philosophy...
Guided by Xi Jinping Thought on Socialism with Chinese Characteristics for a New Era, we will thoroughly implement the spirit of the 20th National Congress of the Communist Party of China and the plenary sessions of the Party’s 20th Central Committee, fully and faithfully apply the new development philosophy, strengthen top-level design, build computing power interconnection nodes oriented toward national hub periods, major strategic regions, and key industries, establish a system of computing power interconnection nodes, improve the efficiency and service level of public computing power resources, and promote high-quality development of computing power.
17 hours ago
Indirect Iran-US Nuclear Talks in Muscat Show Progress, Omani FM Mediates Tense but Efficient Discussions
17 hours ago
Indirect Iran-US Nuclear Talks in Muscat Show Progress, Omani FM Mediates Tense but Efficient Discussions
Read More
Indirect Iran-US Nuclear Talks in Muscat Show Progress, Omani FM Mediates Tense but Efficient Discussions
Indirect Iran-US Nuclear Talks in Muscat Show Progress, Omani FM Mediates Tense but Efficient Discussions
After intensive indirect consultations, the new round of nuclear talks between Iran and the US in Muscat, the capital of Oman, has achieved phased progress. It is reported that during this round of talks, the Iranian and US delegations did not meet directly. Instead, Omani Foreign Minister Badr acted as an intermediary, conveying a series of core proposals, strategic concerns, and policy positions to the other side. The atmosphere at the talks was tense yet efficient. According to preliminary on-site assessments, although both sides continue to negotiate over specific terms, they have reached a consensus on the key objective of "continuing dialogue."
17 hours ago