[SMM analysis] overseas alloy market demand has not yet recovered the price of electrolytic cobalt or will continue to decline.

Published: May 31, 2020 12:24 (GMT+8)

SMM, May 31:

At present, the price of electrolytic cobalt in the overseas market is 14.75 U.S. dollars / lb, which is basically stable compared with the previous week, but there is still no transaction in the spot market. Due to the lack of full resumption of work in the overseas downstream superalloy industry and the weak market demand for electrolytic cobalt, it is expected that overseas cobalt prices will still have downward space in the later stage.

Europe and the United States are the main consumer markets for electrolytic cobalt. The annual consumption of cobalt in China is less than 10, 000 tons, while that in overseas markets is about 15000 tons. Affected by the new crown epidemic, overseas aerospace and other places that need to use a large number of alloy products have hardly been consumed in recent months, and the market demand for electrolytic cobalt has been greatly reduced. Although the European government has made great efforts to promote the resumption of factories, according to feedback from SMM customers, the operating rate of factories in Europe is still on the low side.

Although recently, the price of electrolytic cobalt in China has continued to rise to 25-260000 yuan / ton (about 14.1 murals US $14.7 / lb) and gradually stabilized, but in fact there are few purchases in the spot market. The rebound in domestic prices is mainly due to the inflow of some funds into the market, while the major large consumers have enough raw materials in the metal cobalt price of 22-230000 yuan / ton (about 12.4 Mel 13.0 U.S. dollars / lb), and the existing inventory can still support the use of about 2 Mel for 3 months.

At present, the price gap of electrolytic cobalt at home and abroad has narrowed, the import and export window has not been opened, and the downstream demand of both markets is weak, and prices are lack of support. The downstream construction of metal cobalt in overseas market is slow, but the upstream supply has been restored one after another. Some suppliers revealed that there are almost no downstream enquiries in the spot market, and there are no orders for spot quotations to only about $14.2 / lb, and overseas electrolytic cobalt prices are expected to fall by about $0.50 / lb in the short term.

Data Source Statement: Except for publicly available information, all other data are processed by SMM based on publicly available information, market communication, and relying on SMM's internal database model. They are for reference only and do not constitute decision-making recommendations.

For any inquiries or for more information, please contact: lemonzhao@smm.cn
For more information on how to access our research reports, please contact:service.en@smm.cn
Related News
【Flash | Armenia’s August Moly Concentrate Output Falls; FeMo Remains Weak】
37 mins ago
【Flash | Armenia’s August Moly Concentrate Output Falls; FeMo Remains Weak】
Read More
【Flash | Armenia’s August Moly Concentrate Output Falls; FeMo Remains Weak】
【Flash | Armenia’s August Moly Concentrate Output Falls; FeMo Remains Weak】
Armenia’s Statistical Committee reported Jan-Aug 2026 molybdenum concentrate output of 11,701 t, up 17.9% YoY, while ferromolybdenum output fell 45.5% to 1,078.3 t. Using the latest cumulative figures and previously released Jan-Jul data, SMM estimates August output at 1,297.5 t of concentrate, down about 19.7% YoY, and 171.1 t of FeMo, down about 32.6%. All figures are product mass, not contained Mo. Monthly YoY rates are estimates based on rounded cumulative growth rates.
37 mins ago
[SMM Cobalt Morning Meeting Summary] Weak Demand and Falling Raw Material Prices Increase Destocking Pressure Across the Entire Industry Chain
2 hours ago
[SMM Cobalt Morning Meeting Summary] Weak Demand and Falling Raw Material Prices Increase Destocking Pressure Across the Entire Industry Chain
Read More
[SMM Cobalt Morning Meeting Summary] Weak Demand and Falling Raw Material Prices Increase Destocking Pressure Across the Entire Industry Chain
[SMM Cobalt Morning Meeting Summary] Weak Demand and Falling Raw Material Prices Increase Destocking Pressure Across the Entire Industry Chain
At the start of this week, the cobalt industry chain remained weak overall, with downstream procurement mainly need-based and market trading sluggish. The mainstream ex-works price for refined cobalt held at 270,000 yuan/mt, while traders raised their basis. There was a divergence between the floor purchase price of $14.5/lb for intermediate products and downstream acceptance prices below $13/lb. Cobalt sulphate was quoted at around 60,000 yuan/mt, with weakening cost support; cobalt chloride and Co3O4 saw production cuts and destocking, while new orders were insufficient. Cobalt powder quotes fell to 325,000–340,000 yuan/mt, and high-priced inventory weighed on procurement. Ternary cathode precursor and ternary cathode material prices weakened, with order coefficients under pressure; export orders were relatively better, while domestic demand recovery remained limited. LCO pulled back along with costs, and peak-season expectations fell through. The industry is focused on order changes following the annual conference. In news, CATL and Seres deepened cooperation on capacity and outside China; NEV production and sales both exceeded 12 million units in the first three quarters, with notable export growth; export rebate rates are set to be lowered, and China-EU auto trade consultations clarified basic principles.
2 hours ago
【Flash | Mongolia Raises October Molybdenum Export Reference Price 0.8%】
2 hours ago
【Flash | Mongolia Raises October Molybdenum Export Reference Price 0.8%】
Read More
【Flash | Mongolia Raises October Molybdenum Export Reference Price 0.8%】
【Flash | Mongolia Raises October Molybdenum Export Reference Price 0.8%】
Mongolia’s Mineral Resources and Petroleum Authority reported that the October 2026 international market reference price for exported molybdenum was $74,031.14/t, up 0.8% from September’s $73,475.58/t. The October value is based on the September 2026 average and is published under Article 47 of the Minerals Law and related government resolutions. It is an official export-mineral reference price—not an Erdenet concentrate auction result or an oxide spot quote. The page does not specify product form or grade.
2 hours ago
[SMM analysis] overseas alloy market demand has not yet recovered the price of electrolytic cobalt or will continue to decline. - Shanghai Metals Market (SMM)