[SMM midday review] non-ferrous metals rose and fell interchangeably terminal operating rate rebounded Shanghai copper rose slightly higher crude oil fell more than 3%

Published: May 14, 2020 11:55 (GMT+8)

SMM5 14: at noon, the non-ferrous plate rose and fell mutually, Shanghai copper Shanghai nickel rebounded upward. Outside the mine, in early May, the Peruvian government announced a decree to gradually restore the economy, allowing mining units with a daily output of more than 5000 tons to resume after adapting to the health agreement issued by the new government. Some of the local mines will gradually recover and are expected to continue until the end of June. However, in the case of Peruvian miners followed by SMM, not many miners meet this condition, and the short-term supply impact is limited. The operating rate of copper pipe enterprises in the lower reaches of copper was 84.42% in April, down 7.37 percentage points from a year earlier and up 8.7 percentage points from the previous month. In April, copper tube enterprises basically resumed normal production, and the operating rate of large and medium-sized factories was nearly 90%, thus driving up the overall level of the industry. "on May 14, Shanghai, tin, Guangdong, Henan and other major consumption places continued to strongly go to the warehouse, SMM statistics domestic electrolytic aluminum social inventory weekly decline of 114000 tons to 1.058 million tons. In addition, the profit of aluminum ingot has an increasing trend, and the smelter has begun to put new production into production, and the supply side has put pressure on the upward price of aluminum in the short term. However, the impact of downstream hoarding has led to the substantial removal of inventories, and the consumption of aluminum terminals also remains to be seen. "look at the details."

Black iron ore rose 0.86%, hot rolls rose 0.51%, and threads fell 0.06%. The stage of iron ore overseas shipments is lower, Australia and Brazil short-term shipments decline, the current furnace charge supply is tight, and demand remains strong, so black is still rebounding, but we need to pay attention to whether we can break through the medium-term pressure level. Short-term strong domestic demand stimulus policy and the rapid recovery of real estate infrastructure, so that the apparent consumption of building materials reached and exceeded the level of the same period last year, is now the peak season of steel consumption, is expected to continue to perform at a high level in the near future. In addition, in order to ensure air quality during the two sessions, more intensive and stringent production restrictions may be introduced in Beijing, Tianjin, Hebei and the surrounding areas.

Crude oil fell 3.17% in the previous period. International oil prices rose on Thursday, boosted by an unexpected drop in US crude oil stocks, but oil price gains were limited on fears that a potential second wave of outbreaks could trigger a new blockade and another blow to fuel demand. Us crude oil stocks have risen sharply since mid-January as the outbreak has led to a decline in global fuel demand. Us crude oil stocks fell unexpectedly last week, including in Cushing, Oklahoma, for the first time since the new crown outbreak led to a drop in US fuel demand. In addition, the Organization of Petroleum Exporting countries (OPEC) and its oil allies, including Russia, agreed in April to cut production by 9.7 million barrels a day in May and June. Saudi Arabia also said it would cut production by an additional 1 million barrels a day from June.

Close at noon

Today's stock

Lead: Shanghai market Jinsha lead 1407514125 yuan / ton, Shanghai lead 2006 contract up 240-300 yuan / ton, Wuxi market southern lead 14025 yuan / ton, Shanghai lead 2006 contract up 200 yuan / ton. Lead continued weak decline, coupled with some of the imported lead began to pre-sale, holders of high prices are not strong, downstream to maintain the need for procurement, bulk order market transactions have not improved significantly for the time being.

Zinc: the mainstream transaction in Ningbo was 16570-16670 yuan / ton, the ordinary brand rose 140-160 yuan / ton to the 2006 contract, and the price difference between Ningbo and Shanghai ordinary brand remained narrowed from 30 yuan / ton yesterday to 20 yuan / ton. Zinc prices remained weak shock, downstream enterprises wait-and-see willingness to weaken, holders slightly increased water shipments. In the first period of the morning, the holder reported the goods more actively, Tiefeng, Huize and other sources of goods continued to quote yesterday, reporting a rise of 150 yuan / ton for the June contract, 160 yuan / ton for the Kirin contract, 140 yuan / ton for the June contract, and 140-150 yuan / ton for the June contract. The transaction was concentrated around 140-150 yuan / ton; entering the second period, the plate returned to the market, the downstream mining and buying mood weakened, and the rising water did not fall. Overall, today's market transactions have warmed up compared with yesterday, mainly due to downstream enterprises wait-and-see mood weakened, superimposed just need to buy, the overall transaction situation has improved.

The mainstream transaction of zinc ingots in Tianjin market was 16630-17840 yuan / ton, and that of ordinary brands was 16630-16760 yuan / ton. The contract for 2006 rose from 150 yuan / ton to 250 yuan / ton. Compared with Shanghai market, Tianjin market rose from 40 yuan / ton to 50 yuan / ton. Today, Shanghai zinc continued to fall, the spot market maintained the discount quotation, the quotation is more uniform, the ordinary brand lark newspaper in the 06 contract rose 160 yuan / ton, the red star newspaper in the 06 contract rose 210 yuan / ton, Chi Hong reported in the 06 contract rose 150 yuan / ton, the import KZ reported rose 150 yuan / ton to the 06 contract, the high price brand Zijin reported the June contract to rise near 250 yuan / ton. Zinc prices continued to fall today, traders quoted basically the same as yesterday, some brands have high prices, Tianjin market rumors will be 5000-6000 tons of goods will be delivered on Friday, will suppress the rising water; downstream, Tianjin spot prices continue to fall today, downstream delivery has been significantly better than yesterday. On the whole, the deal is better today. The transaction of zinc ingot is near 16580-16710 yuan / ton.

"2020 (15th) lead and Zinc Summit

Updating.

SMM "current combination" training class

Registration contact: Lu Qingping, SMM Iron and Steel Division

Tel: 021mur51595781 / 187MUE 1777MUE 4590

Data Source Statement: Except for publicly available information, all other data are processed by SMM based on publicly available information, market communication, and relying on SMM's internal database model. They are for reference only and do not constitute decision-making recommendations.

For any inquiries or for more information, please contact: lemonzhao@smm.cn
For more information on how to access our research reports, please contact:service.en@smm.cn
Related News
Asante gains more time to arrange US$100 million for Ghana mines
13 hours ago
Asante gains more time to arrange US$100 million for Ghana mines
Read More
Asante gains more time to arrange US$100 million for Ghana mines
Asante gains more time to arrange US$100 million for Ghana mines
[SMM Gold Flash] On 30th September 2026, Asante Gold announced that its senior lenders, stream purchaser and hedge counterparty had agreed to extend its deadline for securing at least US$100 million in new funding to 31 October. The deadline for a cost-to-complete certificate moved to 31 March 2027. Asante said it had agreed funding terms with Fujairah Holding, which requested more time for internal approvals. Final approval and signed funding agreements remain outstanding. The extensions give Asante more time to address financing requirements affecting its operating Bibiani and Chirano gold mines in Ghana. They do not resolve the funding requirement: completion of the proposed package is the next material milestone.
13 hours ago
Early construction begins at Marathon copper–palladium project
14 hours ago
Early construction begins at Marathon copper–palladium project
Read More
Early construction begins at Marathon copper–palladium project
Early construction begins at Marathon copper–palladium project
[SMM PGM Flash] Generation Mining has begun early construction at its Marathon copper–palladium project in northwestern Ontario. Work started after the company posted a C$6.5 million bond covering construction-phase site rehabilitation. Its wider early-works programme is planned to include access-road upgrades, water-management structures and temporary power through late 2026 and into 2027. The start moves a potential North American palladium and platinum source into physical site work. Generation’s feasibility study estimates about 2.16 million payable ounces of palladium and 488,000 ounces of platinum over a 13-year mine life; these are forecasts, not production. The company also expects to make about C$30 million in initial equipment payments, subject to final contracts and approvals.
14 hours ago
Ghana draft bill proposes state special share and shorter mining leases
Oct 02, 2026 15:49 (GMT+8)
Ghana draft bill proposes state special share and shorter mining leases
Read More
Ghana draft bill proposes state special share and shorter mining leases
Ghana draft bill proposes state special share and shorter mining leases
[SMM Gold Flash] A draft mining bill reviewed by Reuters on 30 September would let Ghana’s mines minister require companies to issue the state a free special share with consent rights over major transactions. It would retain the existing 10% free-carried state interest and limit mining leases to 15 years or the projected mine life, whichever is shorter. The draft would also allow future rules requiring local processing and restricting exports of unprocessed concentrates. None of these proposals has been enacted; Reuters did not establish when the draft was prepared. For Ghana’s gold miners, the proposed rights and shorter leases could affect financing, valuations and renewal decisions. Under the draft, existing rights holders seeking renewal would receive priority consideration for equivalent licences. Mining companies expect further consultation before parliamentary debate, Reuters reported. The final wording and timing remain uncertain.
Oct 02, 2026 15:49 (GMT+8)