[SMM Analysis] Aluminium Rod prices rose in April and faced the risk of falling back in May

Published: May 9, 2020 20:38

SMM5, 9 May:

In April, spot aluminum prices rebounded more than 1,000 yuan from their lows. When the base price rose sharply, aluminum bar processing fees rose instead of falling, and aluminum bar prices in various regions rose to varying degrees.

The center of gravity of processing fees in Baotou area has increased from 280320 yuan / ton to 480-520 yuan / ton. When the supply of aluminum bars is tight, the high price is close to 600 yuan / ton. However, the purchasing enthusiasm of downstream enterprises in North China has declined after the festival. At present, the processing fee has dropped to less than 400 yuan / ton.

The center of gravity of processing fees in Gongyi area has increased from 340-380 yuan / ton to 520-540 yuan / ton, the output and consumption of aluminum bars in the province are not large, the long single low price is 400-500 yuan / ton, and the high price of some automobiles to the factory is 600 + yuan / ton. At present, the processing fee is relatively stable.

The center of gravity of processing fees in Linyi area has increased from 400-440 yuan / ton to 760-800 yuan / ton. Within the month, the limited sale of aluminum bar manufacturers has made it difficult for processing enterprises to demand, and the high price of processing fees has reached 850 yuan / tonne. After the festival, the supply and demand of aluminum bars has been improved, and the processing fees have been reduced.

The center of gravity of processing fees in Wuxi area increased from 510-550 yuan / ton to 640-680 yuan / ton, and the high price within the month was more than 700 yuan / ton. The price of aluminum bar long unit was raised by 100 yuan compared with the previous month. After the price of bulk aluminum bar in the post-festival market fell, the advantage of aluminum bar long order was not as obvious as before.

The processing fee in Foshan area has increased from 580-620 yuan / ton to 680-720 yuan / ton, and the high transaction price once exceeded 1000 yuan / ton within the month. However, with the continuous increase of supply, the inventory has rebounded from the low level by more than 10, 000 tons. At present, the processing fee has also dropped to less than 700 yuan / ton.

Orders and production from downstream processing companies rose significantly in April, and increased demand pushed up the price of aluminum bars. Stimulated by high processing fees, the supply of aluminum bars began to increase gradually, and there was limited room for demand to continue to rise. With the growth and decline of the other, the aluminum bar processing fee in May will face a certain pullback pressure.

"Click to sign up:" 2020 (15th) China International Aluminum processing Summit "

Scan QR codes, apply to attend the meeting or join the SMM Metal AC Group

Data Source Statement: Except for publicly available information, all other data are processed by SMM based on publicly available information, market communication, and relying on SMM‘s internal database model. They are for reference only and do not constitute decision-making recommendations.

For any inquiries or to learn more information, please contact: lemonzhao@smm.cn
For more information on how to access our research reports, please contact:service.en@smm.cn
Related News
Fed Governor Milan Pushes for Over 100 Basis Points Cut, Contradicts Barkin on Caution
19 hours ago
Fed Governor Milan Pushes for Over 100 Basis Points Cut, Contradicts Barkin on Caution
Read More
Fed Governor Milan Pushes for Over 100 Basis Points Cut, Contradicts Barkin on Caution
Fed Governor Milan Pushes for Over 100 Basis Points Cut, Contradicts Barkin on Caution
Federal Reserve Governor Milan pointed out that it is necessary for the US Fed to cut interest rates by more than 100 basis points this year. At the same time, he is very much looking forward to the performance of Kevin Warsh as Fed Chairman. However, Richmond Fed President Barkin emphasized that monetary policy must remain cautious until inflation fully pulls back to the target level, thereby ensuring the stability of the labour market.
19 hours ago
Democratic Senators Demand Delay in Fed Nomination Amid Criminal Investigation
19 hours ago
Democratic Senators Demand Delay in Fed Nomination Amid Criminal Investigation
Read More
Democratic Senators Demand Delay in Fed Nomination Amid Criminal Investigation
Democratic Senators Demand Delay in Fed Nomination Amid Criminal Investigation
All 11 Democratic members of the US Senate Banking Committee jointly sent a letter to the committee's chairman, Tim Scott, requesting that all nomination processes for the prospective Fed Chairman, Kevin Warsh, be postponed until the criminal investigation into current Fed Chairman Powell and other board members is concluded. However, Scott stated that Warsh's confirmation was a done deal.
19 hours ago
Fed to Keep Large Banks' Capital Levels Unchanged, Postpones Stress Test Reforms Until 2027
19 hours ago
Fed to Keep Large Banks' Capital Levels Unchanged, Postpones Stress Test Reforms Until 2027
Read More
Fed to Keep Large Banks' Capital Levels Unchanged, Postpones Stress Test Reforms Until 2027
Fed to Keep Large Banks' Capital Levels Unchanged, Postpones Stress Test Reforms Until 2027
The US Fed has announced that it will maintain the capital levels of large banks unchanged during the upcoming stress test cycle (corresponding to the 2026 cycle). At the same time, the US Fed is planning multidimensional reforms to this annual test, aiming to enhance its transparency. The US Fed's Vice Chair for Supervision, Bowman, revealed that adjustments to the stress capital buffer requirements for large banks will be postponed until 2027. This move is intended to provide the US Fed with sufficient time to evaluate potential flaws that may be exposed in its testing models when assessing banks' financial conditions under simulated economic downturn scenarios.
19 hours ago
[SMM Analysis] Aluminium Rod prices rose in April and faced the risk of falling back in May - Shanghai Metals Market (SMM)