[selected SMM Weekly] Import price continues to open after the festival. Yangshan copper premium has risen sharply in a short period of time.

Published: May 9, 2020 09:24
[SMM Weekly selected: import prices continue to open Yangshan copper premium prices rose sharply in the short term] the foreign trade market was active this week. From April to May, domestic demand continued to improve, to maintain the pace of storage, to support the domestic back structure, compared with the LME contango structure continued to expand, the import window continued to open after the festival, and the price ratio further improved in June, stimulating the demand for imported copper.

This week's "SMM Copper Industry chain Weekly report" released, the editor selected hot topics, prices, market or major changes in the industry chain published as an article for your reference.

This week (May 6-May 8) the trading range of Yangshan Copper Premium Warehouse receipt is US $110 / ton in 90murl, US $100 / ton in Bill of Lading, QP in June (2006 amp LME3).

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The foreign trade market has been active this week. From April to May, domestic demand continued to improve, to maintain the pace of storage, to support the domestic back structure, compared with the LMEcontango structure continued to expand, the import window continued to open after the festival, and the price ratio further improved in June, stimulating the demand for imported copper. Warehouse receipt supply is scarce, driven by demand, the seller further raised the price, some traders choose to import because of the high import profit of warehouse receipt. On the bill of lading, traders expect domestic consumption to continue to improve in May, so they are strongly willing to bid and tend to lift further. At present, the warehouse receipt offer is $100-110 / ton, and the bill of lading offer is $88-100 / ton. The buyer was driven by the price comparison two days after the festival, coupled with the domestic trade rising water did not fall as expected before the festival, the receipt of the goods was positive. The transaction price rose by US $15 / ton and US $9 / ton respectively compared with that before the festival. LME was closed on Friday, with a lack of guidance on price comparisons. The short-term Yangshan copper premium will remain high. According to SMM research, this week, domestic traders still transport copper from the LME warehouse to the country, but most of them are wet. The transfer of zero orders from overseas smelters to China has increased one after another. It is expected that the amount of copper imported at the end of May and the beginning of June will increase significantly, easing the pressure on domestic supply.

According to SMM research, copper stocks in the Shanghai bonded area on Friday (May 8) were down 14500 tons to 265000 tons from last week (April 30), and inventories fell for the seventh consecutive week. Driven by national infrastructure projects, domestic consumption continued to improve, and the operating rate of copper poles was close to an all-time high in April. The import window of the foreign trade market continued to open, the Yangshan copper premium rose sharply, and the import of customs declaration increased, which further led to the decline of stocks in the bonded area.

At present, the transaction price of good copper warehouse receipt is around US $110 / ton, mainstream fire method US $105 / ton, wet method US $100 / ton, good copper bill of lading US $100 / ton, mainstream fire method US $95 / ton, wet method US $88 / ton.

Current issue of "SMM Copper Industry chain Weekly report" catalogue

Analysis of hot topics: interpretation of the quarterly report of copper mining enterprises: Q1 production is not affected by the epidemic and production guidelines for the whole year are generally lowered

Copper Price Forecast and focus on Economic data next week

SMM data: spot discount, inventory at home and abroad, refined waste price difference

Peruvian deregulation of mining industry and logistics market increased supply and improved transaction

Copper prices continue to rise, leading to various improvements in the scrap copper industry

Local trading situation and output of electrolytic copper

Analysis of copper trading market (Yangshan copper premium trend, import profit and loss data)

The latest situation of Enterprise Research: data and Analysis of operating rate of Copper Enterprises

Maintenance trend of smelter

LME&COMEX: copper inventory and write-off warehouse receipt ratio, LME copper spot discount

Important news on the development of enterprises at home and abroad

Scan the QR code application report for free

"SMM China Copper Industry chain High-end report" includes: copper industry chain market changes, future views, hot events monthly update and interpretation, quantitative analysis of copper industry chain upstream and downstream output, import and export, inventory, cost, price and so on. And exclusive publication of the top ten copper smelting or processing enterprises in China's monthly output data, enterprise operating rate, new items. "View details

The contents of SMM China Copper Industry chain routine report include: exclusive data market changes from copper mines, smelters to copper processing materials, spot to futures market, future views, weekly update and interpretation of hot events, with emphasis on the contradictions of the major changes in the current week. "View details

Data Source Statement: Except for publicly available information, all other data are processed by SMM based on publicly available information, market communication, and relying on SMM‘s internal database model. They are for reference only and do not constitute decision-making recommendations.

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