Home / Metal News / Copper / [SMM Analysis] looking at the rise and fall of Copper Price in April from the Perspective of Historical probability
[SMM Analysis] looking at the rise and fall of Copper Price in April from the Perspective of Historical probability
Apr 8,2020 17:51CST
translation
Source:SMM
The content below was translated by Tencent automatically for reference.

SMM4, March 8: affected by the spread of the epidemic in the world, copper prices fell sharply in March, and at one point approached a new low in January of 16 years. Whether copper prices can rebound sharply in April will be analyzed from the historical probability.

From historical data, the probability of Shanghai copper rising in April is 50%; the probability of Lun copper rising in April is slightly lower at 47%. Well, in 20 years, the probability of rising in April is higher or the probability of falling is higher. We think that the probability of rising is higher. There are the following reasons:

Overall, supply fell in April from the previous month, demand rose slightly from the previous month, and the supply and demand side improved from March, but far less than in the same period last year. However, the current global epidemic growth has loomed an inflection point, if it can be fully controlled at the end of April, then copper prices are expected to rebound to a certain extent, the height of the rebound depends on the recovery of consumption.

Home appliances
real estate
power grid
import and export
price forecast
quotation

For queries, please contact Frank LIU at liuxiaolei@smm.cn

For more information on how to access our research reports, please email service.en@smm.cn

Related news