SMM Morning Comments (Apr 3): Shanghai base metals opened higher following overnight oil price surge

Published: Apr 3, 2020 09:43
Shanghai base metals, except for tin, opened higher on Friday morning, as oil prices skyrocketed overnight on hopes that Saudi Arabia and Russia could reach a deal.

SHANGHAI, Apr 3 (SMM) – Shanghai base metals, except for tin, opened higher on Friday morning, as oil prices skyrocketed overnight on hopes that Saudi Arabia and Russia could reach a deal.

 

Their counterparts in London, however, were mostly lower amid lingering worries about the economic fallout from the Covid-19 pandemic which shows no signs of abating.

 

The total number of infection cases around the world has crossed 1 million, while the number of Americans filing for unemployment benefits spiked to a record-breaking 6.648 million last week.

 

Overnight on the LME, base metals, except for tin and lead, closed higher. Copper jumped 1.6% on the day to lead the gains, zinc climbed 0.9%, aluminium rose 0.6% and nickel advanced 0.4%. Lead shed 0.2% and tin fell 0.5%.

The SHFE kept its night trading session suspended.

 

Copper: Three-month LME copper rallied on Thursday and closed at $4,881.5/mt, after a sharp fall on Wednesday.

 

Aluminium: Three-month LME aluminium rallied from a new four-year trough of $1,481/mt touched in North American trading hours, finishing the day higher at $1,504/mt. The buildup of long positions primarily accounted for the gains on the day. LME aluminium is expected to continue to trade at $1,480-1,530/mt today, while the most active SHFE 2005 contract is expected to rise to 11,400-11,700 yuan/mt. Spot discounts are seen smaller at 40-20 yuan/mt.

 

Zinc: Three-month LME zinc reversed earlier losses to close the day higher at $1,876/mt, below the 20-day moving average. LME zinc is expected to move at $1,850-1,900/mt today, with the most-traded SHFE May contract at 15,000-15,500 yuan/mt. Spot premiums for domestic 0# Shuangyan are seen stable at 50-80 yuan/mt over the SHFE April contract.

 

Nickel: Three-month LME nickel dropped to a low of $10,950/mt in early Asian trading hours, within striking distance of a 14-month trough of $10,865/mt plumbed on March 23, before it rallied to close the day higher at $11,300/mt. LME nickel has yet to return above the five-day moving average, and whether it could hold onto the $11,300/mt level will come under scrutiny.

 

Lead: Three-month LME lead jumped to an intraday high of $1,724/mt following the oil surge in early North American trading hours, before it eased to end the day lower at $1,697/mt. That indicated that LME lead still faces strong pressure amid the pandemic crisis.

 

Tin: Three-month LME tin hit an intraday high of $14,550/mt in the European trading session, before it erased those gains to close the day lower at $14,355/mt, around the five-day moving average. Support is seen at $14,000/mt.

Data Source Statement: Except for publicly available information, all other data are processed by SMM based on publicly available information, market communication, and relying on SMM‘s internal database model. They are for reference only and do not constitute decision-making recommendations.

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