SMM Evening Comments (Apr 2): Shanghai base metals mixed on Thursday, copper advanced on oil price rally

Published: Apr 2, 2020 19:16
Crude oil prices jumped on Thursday, following their biggest-ever quarterly losses, as US President Donald Trump said he expected Saudi Arabia and Russia to reach a deal soon to end their oil price war.

SHANGHAI, Apr 2 (SMM) – SHFE nonferrous metals closed mixed on Thursday, with zinc leading the increase with a rise of 1.25%. 


Copper advanced 1.02%, nickel added 0.16%, while aluminium shed 0.56%, lead declined 0.18%, and tin slipped 1.37%. 


The ferrous complex mostly rose as iron ore expanded 2.85%, rebar rose 1.48%, hot-rolled coil increased 2.46%, coke went up 3.48% while stainless steel shed 0.33%. 


Crude oil prices jumped on Thursday, following their biggest-ever quarterly losses, as US President Donald Trump said he expected Saudi Arabia and Russia to reach a deal soon to end their oil price war.


Copper: The most-traded SHFE May contract returned above 39,000 yuan/mt and tested the 40,000 yuan/mt level as investors loaded up longs and covered shorts following the rally in crude oil prices. It ended the day 1.02% higher at 39,650 yuan/mt. With support from the 10-day moving average, it is likely to test support from 39600 yuan/mt. 


Aluminium: The most-active SHFE June contract received little support from the rebounded oil prices, as oversupply continued to weigh on sentiment, ending the contract down 0.56% on the day at 11,475 yuan/mt. SMM data showed that social inventories of primary aluminium in China continued to expand 9,000 mt this week. Trading range of the contract is expected at 11,220-11,620 yuan/mt on Friday. 


Zinc: Improved market sentiment lifted the most-traded SHFE June contract, which climbed on loaded-up longs, hitting an intraday high of 15,480 yuan/mt and ended up 1.25% on the day at 15,370 yuan/mt. Potential ore shortage driven by import disruptions also supported the optimistic prospects for prices.  


Nickel: The most-liquid SHFE June contract rebounded from below 90,000 yuan/mt, rising to a session high of 93,250 yuan/mt and closed the day 0.16% higher at 92,900 yuan/mt. It is expected to test pressure from 93,000 yuan/mt. 


Lead: The most-active SHFE May contract climbed after weakened to an intraday low of 13,520 yuan/mt, but it failed to recover the losses and closed down 0.18% on the day at 13,790 yuan/mt. Limited change in fundamentals may see the contract testing support from 13,500 yuan/mt. 


Tin: The most-liquid SHFE June contract gave up the increase from Wednesday, as it came down from an intraday high of 122,210 yuan/mt, closing down 1.37% on the day at 119,970 yuan/mt. Support is seen from 118,000 yuan/mt. 

 

 

Data Source Statement: Except for publicly available information, all other data are processed by SMM based on publicly available information, market communication, and relying on SMM's internal database model. They are for reference only and do not constitute decision-making recommendations.

For any inquiries or for more information, please contact: lemonzhao@smm.cn
For more information on how to access our research reports, please contact:service.en@smm.cn
Related News
DRC Moves to Centralize Geological Data as Government Targets New Copper and Critical Mineral Discoveries
10 mins ago
DRC Moves to Centralize Geological Data as Government Targets New Copper and Critical Mineral Discoveries
Read More
DRC Moves to Centralize Geological Data as Government Targets New Copper and Critical Mineral Discoveries
DRC Moves to Centralize Geological Data as Government Targets New Copper and Critical Mineral Discoveries
The Democratic Republic of the Congo is accelerating efforts to centralize geological information through a national geological databank, as the government seeks greater oversight of data that could shape future exploration and development of copper and other critical minerals. The databank is expected to become fully operational by the end of 2026 and will consolidate information generated through geological mapping, airborne surveys and the digitization of historical records. Under the planned framework, the DRC will introduce a tiered access system for geological information. Basic geological data will be available free of charge, while access to more sensitive datasets will be fee-based. Requests for information will also be assessed according to investor requirements and the protection of the country's strategic interests. Raoul Wazenga Vitima, director general of the National Geological Survey of Congo, said revenues generated from certain datasets would help finance continued geological exploration and mapping. The initiative comes as the DRC attempts to improve its understanding of mineral resources outside its established mining regions. Despite being the world's second-largest copper producer, only around 20% of the country has undergone systematic exploration, according to the National Geological Survey. Exploration activity remains concentrated in the copper-cobalt belt of Lualaba and Haut-Katanga, leaving substantial areas of the country comparatively underexplored. A major component of the programme is a $180 million, three-year geological mapping contract with Spain's Xcalibur, which began in January 2026. The programme is surveying more than 700,000 km² using airborne geophysics, digitized geological information and advanced analytical techniques to identify potential exploration targets. The DRC is also working with several other international partners on geological-data and mapping initiatives. For the copper market, the initiative could have important longer-term implications for exploration and mine development in the DRC. More comprehensive geological information could reduce exploration uncertainty, improve targeting and help direct investment toward prospective areas outside the country's established Copperbelt. Given the relatively limited systematic exploration conducted across the country, improved geological coverage could ultimately expand the pipeline of copper and other critical-mineral projects. At the same time, the access framework demonstrates the government's intention to retain sovereignty over strategically important geological information. President Félix Tshisekedi has previously described sovereignty over the country's mineral resources and geological data as a non-negotiable principle. The ultimate impact on mining investment will therefore depend on how transparently the tiered system is implemented, including its fee structure and criteria governing access to sensitive datasets. If implemented transparently, the databank could reduce information barriers and broaden the country's exploration investor base; more restrictive access could instead increase costs for early-stage explorers. The initiative represents another step in the DRC's strategy to exert greater influence over how its mineral resources are identified and developed while seeking to attract investment into its substantial undeveloped mineral potential.
10 mins ago
Data: SHFE, DCE market movement (Sep 08)
15 mins ago
Data: SHFE, DCE market movement (Sep 08)
Read More
Data: SHFE, DCE market movement (Sep 08)
Data: SHFE, DCE market movement (Sep 08)
The following table shows the ferrous and nonferrous metals movement on the SHFE and DCE on 08 Sep , 2026
15 mins ago
China's August 2026 Copper Imports Hit Six-Year Low
44 mins ago
China's August 2026 Copper Imports Hit Six-Year Low
Read More
China's August 2026 Copper Imports Hit Six-Year Low
China's August 2026 Copper Imports Hit Six-Year Low
According to customs data, China imported 382,000 mt of unwrought copper and copper semis in August 2026, with cumulative imports from January to August reaching 3.297 million mt, down 6.7% YoY. China's imports of unwrought copper and copper semis in August 2026 were at a low for the same period over the past six years, and with the copper cathode export window open in August, net imports are expected to also be at a low for the same period.
44 mins ago