Ultra-high-voltage projects to limitedly drive copper consumption in 2020

Published: Mar 26, 2020 15:28
China’s copper consumption growth sees limited traction from the critical investor—China State Grid (SGCC) this year, as the state-owned electricity network operator only plans a moderate investment increase. Ultra-high voltage (UHV) projects that have been heavily betted on to enhance the grid's distribution capacity, are not expected to significantly drive up copper consumption, either, as they will use aluminum conductor steel reinforced (ACSR) cables, rather than copper-containing cables, in overhead power lines.

SHANGHAI, Mar 26 (SMM) – China’s copper consumption growth sees limited traction from the critical investor—China State Grid (SGCC) this year, as the state-owned electricity network operator only plans a moderate investment increase.

 

Ultra-high voltage (UHV) projects that have been heavily betted on to enhance the grid's distribution capacity, are not expected to significantly drive up copper consumption, either, as they will use aluminum conductor steel reinforced (ACSR) cables, rather than copper-containing cables, in overhead power lines.

 

SGCC has expanded its planned investment on the nation's electricity network this year by 10% to 450 billion yuan from its initial plan, with UHV projects accounting for 40.24% or 181.1 billion yuan.

 

SGCC’s latest spending plan for this year marks only a 0.6% increase from its realised investment of 447.3 billion yuan in 2019.

 

Data showed that realised investment on grid projects by SGCC have shrunk for three consecutive years, falling more than 10% from a peak of 497.7 billion yuan in 2016 to 447.3 billion yuan in 2019.

 

In the construction of UHV projects, transformer substations are expected to be the biggest consumer of copper, if copper-containing cables are not used in overhead power lines. About 200 km of cables will be used to build a transformer substation, while copper used in a transformer is typically less than 10,000 kg.

 

China eyes ‘new infrastructure’ to shore up growth

 

UHV power facilities are one of the officially listed seven areas of "new infrastructure," which have been looked to by Beijing to hedge against the economic fallout of the novel coronavirus outbreak and boost the country's economy in the long term.

 

"New infrastructure" also include 5G, inter-city transport, vehicle charging stations, big data centres, artificial intelligence and industrial internet.

 

SGCC’s 181.1 billion yuan investment in UHV projects this year is expected to drive social investment to 223.5 billion and overall investment to nearly 500 billion yuan.

 

With new domestic virus cases in China grinding to a halt and businesses getting back to work, SGCC has resumed all its projects, except for those in the epicentre of Hubei, according to a statement from the company earlier this month.

 

Key UHV direct current transmission projects, including ±800 kv Qinghai-Henan and ±800 kv Yazhong-Jiangxi projects, began to resume work in the second half of February, and the Shaanbei-Wuhan link started construction at the end of February.

 

Completion of a slew of UHV projects is expected in this and next year.

Data Source Statement: Except for publicly available information, all other data are processed by SMM based on publicly available information, market communication, and relying on SMM's internal database model. They are for reference only and do not constitute decision-making recommendations.

For any inquiries or for more information, please contact: lemonzhao@smm.cn
For more information on how to access our research reports, please contact:service.en@smm.cn
Related News
Platinum Seen Outperforming Palladium as Supply Deficits and Industrial Demand Support Outlook
10 hours ago
Platinum Seen Outperforming Palladium as Supply Deficits and Industrial Demand Support Outlook
Read More
Platinum Seen Outperforming Palladium as Supply Deficits and Industrial Demand Support Outlook
Platinum Seen Outperforming Palladium as Supply Deficits and Industrial Demand Support Outlook
[SMM Flash] Platinum could continue to outperform palladium over the longer term despite near-term pressure from a stronger US dollar and elevated Treasury yields, according to a September 2 analysis by FX Empire. Platinum had fallen towards $1,725/oz while palladium traded near $1,290/oz, with the analyst identifying $1,650–1,700/oz as an important platinum support zone and around $1,200/oz as key support for palladium. The analysis attributed near-term pressure on both metals partly to higher interest-rate expectations. FX Empire argued that platinum retains stronger medium-to-long-term fundamentals because of constrained supply and potential new industrial demand. The analysis cited expectations for continued platinum and palladium market deficits alongside potential platinum demand from hydrogen-truck adoption. Palladium's longer-term outlook was described as more dependent on petrol and hybrid vehicle demand as battery-electric vehicle penetration increases. These price levels and relative-performance expectations represent analyst technical analysis and commentary rather than confirmed market forecasts.
10 hours ago
India’s KABIL Eyes Colombian Critical-Minerals Opportunities as Supply Diversification Expands
11 hours ago
India’s KABIL Eyes Colombian Critical-Minerals Opportunities as Supply Diversification Expands
Read More
India’s KABIL Eyes Colombian Critical-Minerals Opportunities as Supply Diversification Expands
India’s KABIL Eyes Colombian Critical-Minerals Opportunities as Supply Diversification Expands
[SMM Flash] India is preparing to expand its critical-minerals engagement with Colombia, with state-owned Khanij Bidesh India Ltd (KABIL) expected to assess mining and exploration opportunities in the country. Diplomatic sources cited by StratNews Global said India is seeking a stronger foothold in Colombian mineral resources as part of a wider strategy to diversify overseas raw-material supply chains. Colombia has prospective resources that include coltan alongside copper and other critical minerals. The initiative remains early-stage strategic engagement, with no specific Colombian tantalum mine, investment amount, acquisition or offtake agreement announced. For the tantalum market, KABIL participation could eventually create an additional source of exploration financing and downstream demand for Colombian coltan resources, but any commercial supply impact remains prospective and dependent on project identification, licensing and development.
11 hours ago
Sibanye-Stillwater Starts Restructuring Consultations at Kwezi PGM Shaft, 1,114 Workers Potentially Affected
11 hours ago
Sibanye-Stillwater Starts Restructuring Consultations at Kwezi PGM Shaft, 1,114 Workers Potentially Affected
Read More
Sibanye-Stillwater Starts Restructuring Consultations at Kwezi PGM Shaft, 1,114 Workers Potentially Affected
Sibanye-Stillwater Starts Restructuring Consultations at Kwezi PGM Shaft, 1,114 Workers Potentially Affected
[SMM Flash] Sibanye-Stillwater has commenced formal consultations over the proposed restructuring of the Kwezi shaft at its Rustenburg PGM operations in South Africa, as the underground operation approaches the end of its economic life. The company said mining has reached the limits of the shaft’s approved mining-right area and economically mineable reserves are being depleted. The Section 189A process could potentially affect 781 employees and 333 contractor employees, representing 1,114 people in total. The consultation does not yet constitute a confirmed shaft closure or final retrenchment decision. However, the development highlights the depletion pressure facing mature South African PGM operations despite the recent recovery in platinum-group-metal prices. If restructuring ultimately results in closure or materially reduced activity at Kwezi, the shaft’s future contribution to Sibanye-Stillwater’s Rustenburg PGM production would decline, although the company has not yet disclosed a specific production-loss estimate.
11 hours ago
Ultra-high-voltage projects to limitedly drive copper consumption in 2020 - Shanghai Metals Market (SMM)