SMM Morning Comments (Mar 23): Base metals opened broadly lower; Shanghai copper briefly hit ‘limit down’

Published: Mar 23, 2020 09:44
London and Shanghai base metals traded lower across the board in early morning trade on Monday, extending declines from the prior week, as fears over the economic impact of the global coronavirus outbreak continue to weigh heavily on investor sentiment. The most active SHFE copper contract for May delivery plunged 8% to hit its “limit down” level at 35,300 yuan/mt shortly after the opening the bell.

SHANGHAI, Mar 23 (SMM) – London and Shanghai base metals traded lower across the board in early morning trade on Monday, extending declines from the prior week, as fears over the economic impact of the global coronavirus outbreak continue to weigh heavily on investor sentiment.

 

The most active SHFE copper contract for May delivery plunged 8% to hit its “limit down” level at 35,300 yuan/mt shortly after the opening the bell.

 

On Friday, LME base metals reversed earlier gains to close mostly lower, as the US dollar bounded back towards three-year highs. Aluminium plunged 3.2% on the day to lead the losses, copper tumbled 2.3%, tin fell 1.1%, lead shed 0.2% and zinc edged down less than 0.1%. Nickel gained 0.3%.

The SHFE kept its night trading session suspended.

 

On Sunday night US time, US stock futures and crude prices cratered after a coronavirus stimulus bill failed a key Senate procedural vote. Earlier in the session, stocks futures hit their “limit down” levels, falling 5%.

The greenback remained firm against a basket of currencies.

 

Copper: Three-month LME copper eased after hitting an intraday high of $4,938.5/mt in the European trading session, and finished the day substantially lower at $4,700/mt, posting a weekly loss of 13.8%.

 

Aluminium: Three-month LME aluminium reversed earlier gains to touch a new low in three years and a half at $1,575/mt, shortly before it ended the day sharply lower at $1,577/mt. It is likely to move between $1,540-1,620/mt today, with the most-active SHFE 2005 contract trading at 11,250-11,800 yuan/mt. East China spot discounts are seen at 70-40 yuan/mt against the SHFE 2004 contract.

 

Zinc: Three-month LME zinc notched an intraday high of $1,934.5/mt in early European trading hours, before it erased all those gains to end the day a tad lower at $1,845/mt. It remains under pressure at the five- and 10-day moving averages, but supported by the lower Bollinger band. Zinc stocks across LME-approved warehouses resumed their decline, decreasing 500 mt, or 0.68% to 73,200 mt on Friday. LME zinc is expected to trade at $1,810-1,860/mt today with the most-traded SHFE May contract hovering between 14,500-15,000 yuan/mt. Spot premiums for domestic 0# Shuangyan are seen at 20-40 yuan/mt over the SHFE April contract.

 

Nickel: Three-month LME nickel climbed past the five-day moving average and lower Bollinger band to an intraday high of $11,700/mt in early European trading hours, before it pared most of those gains to end the day higher at $11,330/mt. Whether it could remain above $11,000/mt will come under scrutiny.

 

Lead: Three-month LME lead climbed to an intraday high of $1,700/mt in early European trading hours, before it gave back all those gains to close the day lower at $1,635/mt.

 

Tin: Three-month LME tin plumbed a new more than one-decade trough of $12,715/mt in early Asian trading hours. It later rebounded through the five-day moving average to an intraday high of $14,500/mt, before easing to closing the day lower at $13,555/m to produce a weekly loss of 14.2%. Resistance is seen at $14,500/mt, while support lingers at $13,000/mt.

Data Source Statement: Except for publicly available information, all other data are processed by SMM based on publicly available information, market communication, and relying on SMM‘s internal database model. They are for reference only and do not constitute decision-making recommendations.

For any inquiries or to learn more information, please contact: lemonzhao@smm.cn
For more information on how to access our research reports, please contact:service.en@smm.cn
Related News
"Premier Li Qiang Leads State Council Meeting on Enhancing Effective Investment, Boosting Economic Growth"
16 hours ago
"Premier Li Qiang Leads State Council Meeting on Enhancing Effective Investment, Boosting Economic Growth"
Read More
"Premier Li Qiang Leads State Council Meeting on Enhancing Effective Investment, Boosting Economic Growth"
"Premier Li Qiang Leads State Council Meeting on Enhancing Effective Investment, Boosting Economic Growth"
Premier Li Qiang presided over an executive meeting of the State Council to study policy measures for promoting effective investment. The meeting noted that promoting effective investment plays an important role in stabilizing economic growth and strengthening momentum for development. It is necessary to innovate and improve policy measures, and intensify efforts to enhance the efficiency of utilizing funds such as central budget investments, ultra-long-term special treasury bonds, local government special bonds, and new-type policy-based financial instruments. In conjunction with formulating and implementing the 15th Five-Year Plan
16 hours ago
"Guided by Xi Jinping Thought, Implement 20th CPC Congress Spirit, Apply New Development Philosophy...
16 hours ago
"Guided by Xi Jinping Thought, Implement 20th CPC Congress Spirit, Apply New Development Philosophy...
Read More
"Guided by Xi Jinping Thought, Implement 20th CPC Congress Spirit, Apply New Development Philosophy...
"Guided by Xi Jinping Thought, Implement 20th CPC Congress Spirit, Apply New Development Philosophy...
Guided by Xi Jinping Thought on Socialism with Chinese Characteristics for a New Era, we will thoroughly implement the spirit of the 20th National Congress of the Communist Party of China and the plenary sessions of the Party’s 20th Central Committee, fully and faithfully apply the new development philosophy, strengthen top-level design, build computing power interconnection nodes oriented toward national hub periods, major strategic regions, and key industries, establish a system of computing power interconnection nodes, improve the efficiency and service level of public computing power resources, and promote high-quality development of computing power.
16 hours ago
Indirect Iran-US Nuclear Talks in Muscat Show Progress, Omani FM Mediates Tense but Efficient Discussions
16 hours ago
Indirect Iran-US Nuclear Talks in Muscat Show Progress, Omani FM Mediates Tense but Efficient Discussions
Read More
Indirect Iran-US Nuclear Talks in Muscat Show Progress, Omani FM Mediates Tense but Efficient Discussions
Indirect Iran-US Nuclear Talks in Muscat Show Progress, Omani FM Mediates Tense but Efficient Discussions
After intensive indirect consultations, the new round of nuclear talks between Iran and the US in Muscat, the capital of Oman, has achieved phased progress. It is reported that during this round of talks, the Iranian and US delegations did not meet directly. Instead, Omani Foreign Minister Badr acted as an intermediary, conveying a series of core proposals, strategic concerns, and policy positions to the other side. The atmosphere at the talks was tense yet efficient. According to preliminary on-site assessments, although both sides continue to negotiate over specific terms, they have reached a consensus on the key objective of "continuing dialogue."
16 hours ago
SMM Morning Comments (Mar 23): Base metals opened broadly lower; Shanghai copper briefly hit ‘limit down’ - Shanghai Metals Market (SMM)