SMM Morning Comments (Feb 14): Shanghai base metals mostly higher on Friday morning

Published: Feb 14, 2020 10:06
LME base metals increased across the board last night. Copper advanced 0.49% and aluminium gained 1.15%

SHANGHAI, Feb 14 (SMM) – SHFE nonferrous metals extended their increase for the most part on Friday morning, as investors showed more confidence in China’s efforts to stop the spread of the coronavirus.


LME base metals increased across the board last night. Copper advanced 0.49%, aluminium gained 1.15%, zinc added 0.84%, nickel increased 0.76%, tin rose 0.09%, and lead gained 1.65%. The SHFE night trading session has been suspended since last week until further notice.


Copper: Three-month LME copper outperformed its SHFE counterpart, as a coronavirus outbreak in China affected cargo delivery and slow the resumption of domestic demand. LME copper shrugged off pressure from $5,800/mt and hit an intraday high of $5,814.5/mt, ending up 0.49% on the day. The most-traded SHFE contract, still faces pressure from 46,000 yuan/mt on the morning of Friday. LME copper is expected to trade between $5,750-5,800/mt today with its SHFE counterpart at 45,800-46,100 yuan/mt. Spot offers are likely to flip to premiums of 10 yuan/mt before the delivery of the SHFE February contract.  


Aluminium: Three-month LME aluminium advanced to a two-week high before it finished the trading day 1.15% higher at $1,755/mt. Falling inventories across LME-listed warehouses supported the prices. Today, LME aluminium is seen hovering at $1,720-1,760/mt, with the most-liquid SHFE contract at 13,600-13,800 yuan/mt. 


Zinc: Higher inventories and pressure from the 15-day moving average capped the increase in three-month LME zinc, which retreated after climbed to an intraday high of $2,198/mt, and closing up 0.84% on the day at $2,172.5/mt. The buildup in LME zinc inventories continued to slow, as the stocks rose 100 mt, or 0.14%, to 72,500 mt. SMM expects potential output cut on rising stocks of sulphuric acid and feedstock shortage to limit any downside room in zinc prices. Three-month LME zinc is expected to trade between $2,140-2,190/mt today with the most-traded SHFE contract at 17,100-17,500 yuan/mt. 


Nickel: Three-month LME nickel extended its rangebound trend overnight, as it rebounded after slipped to a session low of $13,050/mt, ending up 0.76% on the day at $13,255/mt. The K-indicator continued to move higher, to above the 20-day moving average. LME nickel is expected to test support from $13,300/mt today. 


Lead: A broad rally in LME base metals lifted three-month LME lead to an intraday high of $1894.5/mt, before it trimmed some gains and ended up 1.65% on the day at $1,882/mt. LME lead has climbed for three consecutive days, and pressure above from $1,900/mt will be monitored today. 


Tin: Three-month LME tin pared majority of the gains in early session as it came off after hit an intraday high of $16,630/mt. With support from the five-day moving average, it finished $15/mt higher on the day at $16,585/mt. LME tin inventories rose 435 mt to stand at 6,825 mt. Support is expected from $16,300/mt today. 

 

Data Source Statement: Except for publicly available information, all other data are processed by SMM based on publicly available information, market communication, and relying on SMM‘s internal database model. They are for reference only and do not constitute decision-making recommendations.

For any inquiries or to learn more information, please contact: lemonzhao@smm.cn
For more information on how to access our research reports, please contact:service.en@smm.cn
Related News
"Premier Li Qiang Leads State Council Meeting on Enhancing Effective Investment, Boosting Economic Growth"
17 hours ago
"Premier Li Qiang Leads State Council Meeting on Enhancing Effective Investment, Boosting Economic Growth"
Read More
"Premier Li Qiang Leads State Council Meeting on Enhancing Effective Investment, Boosting Economic Growth"
"Premier Li Qiang Leads State Council Meeting on Enhancing Effective Investment, Boosting Economic Growth"
Premier Li Qiang presided over an executive meeting of the State Council to study policy measures for promoting effective investment. The meeting noted that promoting effective investment plays an important role in stabilizing economic growth and strengthening momentum for development. It is necessary to innovate and improve policy measures, and intensify efforts to enhance the efficiency of utilizing funds such as central budget investments, ultra-long-term special treasury bonds, local government special bonds, and new-type policy-based financial instruments. In conjunction with formulating and implementing the 15th Five-Year Plan
17 hours ago
"Guided by Xi Jinping Thought, Implement 20th CPC Congress Spirit, Apply New Development Philosophy...
17 hours ago
"Guided by Xi Jinping Thought, Implement 20th CPC Congress Spirit, Apply New Development Philosophy...
Read More
"Guided by Xi Jinping Thought, Implement 20th CPC Congress Spirit, Apply New Development Philosophy...
"Guided by Xi Jinping Thought, Implement 20th CPC Congress Spirit, Apply New Development Philosophy...
Guided by Xi Jinping Thought on Socialism with Chinese Characteristics for a New Era, we will thoroughly implement the spirit of the 20th National Congress of the Communist Party of China and the plenary sessions of the Party’s 20th Central Committee, fully and faithfully apply the new development philosophy, strengthen top-level design, build computing power interconnection nodes oriented toward national hub periods, major strategic regions, and key industries, establish a system of computing power interconnection nodes, improve the efficiency and service level of public computing power resources, and promote high-quality development of computing power.
17 hours ago
Indirect Iran-US Nuclear Talks in Muscat Show Progress, Omani FM Mediates Tense but Efficient Discussions
17 hours ago
Indirect Iran-US Nuclear Talks in Muscat Show Progress, Omani FM Mediates Tense but Efficient Discussions
Read More
Indirect Iran-US Nuclear Talks in Muscat Show Progress, Omani FM Mediates Tense but Efficient Discussions
Indirect Iran-US Nuclear Talks in Muscat Show Progress, Omani FM Mediates Tense but Efficient Discussions
After intensive indirect consultations, the new round of nuclear talks between Iran and the US in Muscat, the capital of Oman, has achieved phased progress. It is reported that during this round of talks, the Iranian and US delegations did not meet directly. Instead, Omani Foreign Minister Badr acted as an intermediary, conveying a series of core proposals, strategic concerns, and policy positions to the other side. The atmosphere at the talks was tense yet efficient. According to preliminary on-site assessments, although both sides continue to negotiate over specific terms, they have reached a consensus on the key objective of "continuing dialogue."
17 hours ago