Delivery disruption, greater demand lower HRC social inventories

Published: Aug 16, 2019 14:16
Social stocks fell 2.6% from a week ago to stand at 2.47 million mt as of Aug 15, after 11 weeks of gains

SHANGHAI, Aug 16 (SMM) – Social inventories of hot-rolled coil (HRC) in China declined for the first time since late May this week, as Typhoon Lekima impacted delivery, delaying arrivals or stranding cargoes at ports, and as US tariff delay and production curtailments improved market sentiment and bolstered purchases.

SMM data showed that HRC stocks across social warehouses decreased by 2.6% from a week ago to stand at 2.47 million mt as of Thursday August 15, after 11 consecutive weeks of gains. Social stocks rose 10.1% from a year ago.

Production curbs across mills in the top steelmaking hub of Tangshan shored up prices of steel strip, forcing users to buy alternative HRC, which also helped lift HRC demand.

In-plant inventories, however, rose for a second straight week this week, gaining 1.5% to 976,600 mt, as some mills in Tangshan recovered from production curbs. Output was also bolstered by the ramp-up of newly-commissioned capacity or resumed capacity from maintenance.

Overall HRC stocks across social and in-plant warehouses in China came in at 3.44 million mt as of August 15, down 1.5% week on week but up 6.6% year on year.

Data Source Statement: Except for publicly available information, all other data are processed by SMM based on publicly available information, market communication, and relying on SMM's internal database model. They are for reference only and do not constitute decision-making recommendations.

For any inquiries or for more information, please contact: lemonzhao@smm.cn
For more information on how to access our research reports, please contact:service.en@smm.cn
Related News
Aluminum Alloy 2611 Dips and Recovers, Closes Slightly Down from Night Session
1 hour ago
Aluminum Alloy 2611 Dips and Recovers, Closes Slightly Down from Night Session
Read More
Aluminum Alloy 2611 Dips and Recovers, Closes Slightly Down from Night Session
Aluminum Alloy 2611 Dips and Recovers, Closes Slightly Down from Night Session
[SMM Aluminum Alloy Daily Review] The most-traded cast aluminum alloy 2611 contract opened at 23,855 yuan/mt today, shot up to an intraday high of 23,930 yuan/mt before momentum faded, then consolidated and pulled back, dipping to an intraday low of 23,795 yuan/mt before midday, and closed at 23,810 yuan/mt. It fell 65 yuan, or 0.27%, from the night session closing price, and rose a cumulative 0.08% from yesterday's settlement price.
1 hour ago
SHFE tin most-traded contract consolidates after gains amid mixed inflation and rate hike expectations [SMM Tin Midday Review]
2 hours ago
SHFE tin most-traded contract consolidates after gains amid mixed inflation and rate hike expectations [SMM Tin Midday Review]
Read More
SHFE tin most-traded contract consolidates after gains amid mixed inflation and rate hike expectations [SMM Tin Midday Review]
SHFE tin most-traded contract consolidates after gains amid mixed inflation and rate hike expectations [SMM Tin Midday Review]
[SMM Tin Midday Review: Anti-Inflation and Rate Hike Expectations Intertwine, the Most-Traded SHFE Tin Contract Consolidates After Strengthening]
2 hours ago
China's Cast Aluminum Alloy Inventory Rises for Fifth Week, Demand Improvement Slow
4 hours ago
China's Cast Aluminum Alloy Inventory Rises for Fifth Week, Demand Improvement Slow
Read More
China's Cast Aluminum Alloy Inventory Rises for Fifth Week, Demand Improvement Slow
China's Cast Aluminum Alloy Inventory Rises for Fifth Week, Demand Improvement Slow
[SMM Aluminum Alloy Flash] China's social inventory of cast aluminum alloy ingots recorded 34,100 mt this week, up 1,100 mt WoW, marking the fifth consecutive week of inventory buildup. The traditional peak consumption season is gradually kicking off, but end-use demand improvement remains limited, with downstream purchases still mainly need-based and inventory digestion relatively slow. Meanwhile, purchases by some futures and spot traders and trade links continue to provide some support to social inventory. In the short term, as demand from the September peak season is gradually released, the pace of social inventory buildup may narrow, but the inventory inflection point still awaits further demand realization.
4 hours ago