[SMM Analysis] the price of nickel rises sharply and ferronickel does not expand as much as the discount.

Published: Jul 14, 2019 21:17

SMM, July 14 / PRNewswire-Asianet /-

On the supply side, according to SMM research, a 33000KVA mine heating furnace originally scheduled to resume production in July has been sent electricity today, and iron is expected to be officially released in late July. Demand side, according to SMM research, a steel mill in the south this week high nickel iron transaction price of 970 to 980 yuan / nickel point, to the plant including tax, flat inquiry and last week's price, of which the extra large single transaction price increased by 20 yuan / nickel point to 1000 yuan / nickel point, only one transaction is known at present. The transaction price of high nickel iron in a steel mill in East China this week was 970 to 980 yuan / nickel point, including tax, up from 965 to 970 yuan / nickel point last week. The purchase price of high nickel iron in some special steel plants in East China can reach 990 yuan / nickel point, which contains tax, but because of its small purchase quantity and certain requirements for the quality of nickel iron, the price is often higher than the purchase price of some non-rust steel plants. Generally speaking, although there are 1000 yuan / nickel point transactions in the south and 990 yuan / nickel point transactions in East China Special Steel Plant this week, these prices have some specific requirements, either the quantity is particularly huge, or there are certain requirements for trace elements. Although the proportion of 1000 yuan / nickel point of view is not small from the quantity of ferronickel, but from the number of companies, the mainstream transaction is still maintained at last week's high price of 980 yuan / nickel point. In the exchange between SMM and the market, especially at the beginning of the week, although the idea of price increase has been ready to move, but because the price of steel mills did not rise, the real transaction did not rise; Starting on Thursday, the transaction price of 1000 yuan / nickel point in the mainstream steel mill has been widely circulated in the market, and the purchase of superimposed southern steel mills is still more active, and the market supply is still in a tight balance, so that the price difference between the bulk order price and the extra large order is 20 yuan / nickel point, so it is not ruled out that if the nickel price remains high next week, the prices of other factories will rise somewhat. In addition, the price of 1000 yuan / nickel point may be interpreted from two aspects, on the one hand, it is indeed higher than before, but on the other hand, if the average import price of nickel on Thursday is 102800 yuan / ton, assuming that the shipping fee of 15 yuan / nickel point is deducted, the ex-factory price will still discount pure nickel 43 yuan / nickel point, which may also show that ferronickel is still under considerable pressure behind the tight spot. In the later stage of development, the premium of high nickel iron to electrolytic nickel is still a good index to observe the change of supply and demand of nickel iron, which is worthy of continuous attention.

 

Data Source Statement: Except for publicly available information, all other data are processed by SMM based on publicly available information, market communication, and relying on SMM‘s internal database model. They are for reference only and do not constitute decision-making recommendations.

For any inquiries or to learn more information, please contact: lemonzhao@smm.cn
For more information on how to access our research reports, please contact:service.en@smm.cn
Related News
High-Grade NPI Smelter Profits Squeezed as Ore Prices Rise and Sales Prices Dip
22 hours ago
High-Grade NPI Smelter Profits Squeezed as Ore Prices Rise and Sales Prices Dip
Read More
High-Grade NPI Smelter Profits Squeezed as Ore Prices Rise and Sales Prices Dip
High-Grade NPI Smelter Profits Squeezed as Ore Prices Rise and Sales Prices Dip
[SMM Nickel Flash] Based on nickel ore prices from 25 days ago, smelter profits for high-grade NPI remained high this week. However, from the current raw material side, ore prices from both the Philippines and Indonesia increased, while auxiliary material prices saw a slight pullback, leading to an increase in the cash cost of producing high-grade NPI from spot ore. At the same time, high-grade NPI prices experienced some pullback, making it difficult for smelter profits to see sustained improvement.
22 hours ago
High-Grade NPI Prices Fall, Expected to Stabilize as Chinese New Year Approaches
22 hours ago
High-Grade NPI Prices Fall, Expected to Stabilize as Chinese New Year Approaches
Read More
High-Grade NPI Prices Fall, Expected to Stabilize as Chinese New Year Approaches
High-Grade NPI Prices Fall, Expected to Stabilize as Chinese New Year Approaches
[SMM Nickel Flash] This week, due to a sharp decline in futures triggering arbitrage selling, high-grade NPI prices fell significantly. However, after the selling activity subsided, upstream quotations and the market center gradually returned to normal levels, supported by cost factors. Looking ahead, as the Chinese New Year holiday approaches, market activity is expected to remain subdued, and high-grade NPI prices are projected to hover at highs with limited fluctuations.
22 hours ago
Nickel Prices Drop: SMM 10-12% High-Grade NPI Down 17.2 Yuan, Indonesia NPI FOB Index Falls 2.06 $/mtu
22 hours ago
Nickel Prices Drop: SMM 10-12% High-Grade NPI Down 17.2 Yuan, Indonesia NPI FOB Index Falls 2.06 $/mtu
Read More
Nickel Prices Drop: SMM 10-12% High-Grade NPI Down 17.2 Yuan, Indonesia NPI FOB Index Falls 2.06 $/mtu
Nickel Prices Drop: SMM 10-12% High-Grade NPI Down 17.2 Yuan, Indonesia NPI FOB Index Falls 2.06 $/mtu
[SMM Nickel Flash] The SMM average price of 10-12% high-grade NPI fell 17.2 yuan/mtu WoW to 1,035.8 yuan/mtu (ex-factory, tax included), while the Indonesia NPI FOB index average price dropped 2.06 $/mtu WoW to 131.2 $/mtu. At the beginning of the week, futures hit limit-down, and nickel prices fell sharply WoW, driving the emergence of arbitrage supplies sold at low prices, leading to a significant decline in high-grade NPI prices.
22 hours ago
[SMM Analysis] the price of nickel rises sharply and ferronickel does not expand as much as the discount. - Shanghai Metals Market (SMM)