[SMM Cobalt Morning Meeting Summary] Supply disruption rumours drive price rebound, end-use demand remains weak and under pressure
At the beginning of this week, refined cobalt futures on the electronic trading platform quickly hit the daily limit from around 200,000 yuan/mt, mainly driven by supply disruption rumors in the DRC and capital sentiment, while fundamentals had yet to improve. Mainstream smelters maintained quotes at 235,000 yuan/mt, while intermediate product offers eased to $11.5-12/lb, with price disagreements between buyers and sellers persisting. Low-price transactions for cobalt sulphate held at 38,000-39,000 yuan/mt, while demand for cobalt chloride and Co3O4 remained weak, keeping prices under pressure. Cobalt powder quotes dropped to 270,000-290,000 yuan/mt, and rumors of low-price deals disturbed the market. Orders for ternary cathode precursors and cathode materials were weak, prompting enterprises to cut production and control inventories, with purchases mainly driven by rigid demand. In the short term, the market remains influenced by sentiment and the supply-demand tug-of-war, and the sustainability of the price rebound has yet to be verified. Attention should be paid to the implementation of supply news and the recovery of end-use demand.