Weaker consumption, lower costs to weigh on Shanghai aluminium

Published: Jul 3, 2019 11:35
The SHFE 1908 contract posted a three-day losing streak as of Jul 2

SHANGHAI, Jul 3 (SMM) – A low consumption season in July-August and falling alumina prices are likely to continue to weigh on Shanghai aluminium prices in the short term, SMM believes.

The most active August aluminium contract on the Shanghai Futures Exchange posted a three-day losing streak as of Tuesday July 2, despite a trade truce between the US and China over the weekend.

SMM learned that manufacturers of aluminium extrusions and rolled products received fewer orders for July, a likely reflection of the advent of a low season.

A slowdown in inventory destocking also pointed to weaker consumption. SMM data showed that social inventories of primary aluminium ingots across major consumption regions in China fell 10,000 mt from Thursday June 27 to stand at 1.041 million mt as of Monday July 1, smaller than a drop of 20,000 mt in the prior weekend between June 20-24.

Alumina prices are unlikely to sharply pick up in July.

Data Source Statement: Except for publicly available information, all other data are processed by SMM based on publicly available information, market communication, and relying on SMM's internal database model. They are for reference only and do not constitute decision-making recommendations.

For any inquiries or for more information, please contact: lemonzhao@smm.cn
For more information on how to access our research reports, please contact:service.en@smm.cn
Related News
China's Alumina Exports Hit 430,000 Tons in August 2026, Up 138% YoY
2 hours ago
China's Alumina Exports Hit 430,000 Tons in August 2026, Up 138% YoY
Read More
China's Alumina Exports Hit 430,000 Tons in August 2026, Up 138% YoY
China's Alumina Exports Hit 430,000 Tons in August 2026, Up 138% YoY
According to data from the General Administration of Customs, in August 2026, China exported 430,000 tons of alumina, up 41% month-on-month and 138% year-on-year; from January to August 2026, cumulative exports reached 2.34 million tons.
2 hours ago
Domestic Bauxite Imports Drop 18.9% in August, Year-to-Date Up 10%
2 hours ago
Domestic Bauxite Imports Drop 18.9% in August, Year-to-Date Up 10%
Read More
Domestic Bauxite Imports Drop 18.9% in August, Year-to-Date Up 10%
Domestic Bauxite Imports Drop 18.9% in August, Year-to-Date Up 10%
According to data from the General Administration of Customs, domestic imports of bauxite ore and concentrates totalled 15.45 million tonnes in August 2026, down 18.9% month-on-month and 15.0% year-on-year. The cumulative import volume for January–August stood at 155.25 million tonnes, up 10.0% year-on-year.
2 hours ago
Guinea's Bel Air Mining Ordered to Suspend Production Amid Legal Dispute Enforcement【SMM Aluminum Flash News】
2 hours ago
Guinea's Bel Air Mining Ordered to Suspend Production Amid Legal Dispute Enforcement【SMM Aluminum Flash News】
Read More
Guinea's Bel Air Mining Ordered to Suspend Production Amid Legal Dispute Enforcement【SMM Aluminum Flash News】
Guinea's Bel Air Mining Ordered to Suspend Production Amid Legal Dispute Enforcement【SMM Aluminum Flash News】
According to foreign media reports, Guinea's Bel Air Mining was ordered by the country's judicial authorities to temporarily suspend production on September 17. This action followed the conclusion of legal proceedings regarding a commercial dispute and the subsequent entry into the enforcement phase; some personnel have been affected. SMM will continue to verify the details and monitor developments regarding Guinean bauxite.
2 hours ago