Today's news: the Federal Reserve Mester says it is not ready to support interest rate cuts * mergers and restructurings of iron and steel enterprises are the general trend

Published: Jul 03, 2019 09:04 (GMT+8)

Source: SMM

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Macro information

The Federal Reserve Mester says it is not ready to support a rate cut

EU leaders nominate Lagarde as President of the European Central Bank

Another signal of Fed easing the RBA cut interest rates for the second month in a row

Li Keqiang: the promise of tax reduction and fee reduction must not be vaguely fulfilled.

Us stocks closed slightly higher, S & P hit another all-time high

Metal news

[SMM News] Tin prices plummeted again at night

[focus] Nonferrous General fall Shanghai Tin falling limit Shanghai Nickel drop more than 3% SMM exclusive interpretation of six varieties

[SMM exclusive] the amount of waste used at the processing end continues to decline, and the decline in copper consumption is difficult to change.

[SMM] in June, the storm continues, nickel prices are bullish, the tide recedes, and July faces a pullback.

In June [SMM exclusive] the PMI composite index of stainless steel industry in June was higher than expected, but the effect of going to storage was obvious.

Global mineral zinc production is expected to increase

In June, the output of aluminum foil in Longxi exceeded 2201 tons and hit a new all-time high.

Li Xinchuang: merger and reorganization of Iron and Steel Enterprises is the General trend

Seeking Green Transformation of Iron and Steel Industry in Jiangsu Province

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Tight available supply drives premiums sharply higher; caution needed over weakening downstream acceptance amid high prices and high backwardation [SMM Shanghai Spot Copper]

Looking ahead to tomorrow, available supply in the Shanghai region is expected to remain tight, and with some downstream processing enterprises still having pre-holiday stockpiling demand, spot premiums continue to receive strong support. Although a small amount of imported copper locked in at favorable SHFE/LME price ratios after the import window opened earlier is gradually arriving, the overall volume is limited, and its supplementary effect on market supply is expected to be relatively modest in the short term, making it difficult to significantly ease the current supply tightness. Therefore, spot premiums are expected to have further room to rise tomorrow. However, copper prices are already at elevated levels, the backwardation between prompt and forward months has widened simultaneously, and spot premiums have climbed rapidly, leading to a notable increase in procurement costs for downstream and end-user enterprises, which may gradually reduce their acceptance of high premiums. If premiums continue to rise rapidly, some downstream buyers may turn to a wait-and-see stance, just-in-time procurement may decrease, and market trading activity may pull back. Market participants are advised to monitor the risk of negative feedback on the demand side amid the combined effects of high copper prices, high backwardation, and high premiums.

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