[SMM analysis] has Guangdong aluminum ingot entered the storage cycle?

Published: Jun 28, 2019 19:18
SMM statistics on June 27, the country's mainstream consumer electrolytic aluminum inventory of 1.051 million tons, down 30000 tons from last Thursday, but the decline was mainly concentrated in East China (Shanghai, Wuxi, Hangzhou), Guangdong Nanhai region increased by 5000 tons.

SMM statistics on June 27, the country's mainstream consumer electrolytic aluminum inventory of 1.051 million tons, down 30000 tons from last Thursday, but the decline was mainly concentrated in East China (Shanghai, Wuxi, Hangzhou), Guangdong Nanhai region increased by 5000 tons.

Why is Guangdong tired this week? Through SMM investigation and analysis, there are mainly the following reasons.

First, this week is the last trading week in June, traders stop trading, enter the monthly settlement stage, the enthusiasm for receiving goods is not as good as a few weeks before; second, in the middle of the capital flow is more tense, downstream enterprises have been prepared in advance, SMM statistics June 2, 3 weeks South China Sea inventory weekly have dropped nearly 10,000 tons, so this week downstream enterprise aluminum ingot inventory is sufficient, and absolute price is not advantage, downstream natural buying is not high; Third, the month-on-month arrival volume in Guangdong remained basically stable this week, resulting in an increase in the total inventory volume as a result of the decline in the volume of output.

Next week is the first trading week in July, will also gradually enter the off-season of building materials consumption, and Guangdong is the construction aluminum profile enterprises concentrated, it is expected that next week the South China Sea area will be stable or even slightly reduced, do not rule out the possibility of continuous accumulation of stocks.

Data Source Statement: Except for publicly available information, all other data are processed by SMM based on publicly available information, market communication, and relying on SMM‘s internal database model. They are for reference only and do not constitute decision-making recommendations.

For any inquiries or to learn more information, please contact: lemonzhao@smm.cn
For more information on how to access our research reports, please contact:service.en@smm.cn
Related News
Fed Governor Milan Pushes for Over 100 Basis Points Cut, Contradicts Barkin on Caution
16 hours ago
Fed Governor Milan Pushes for Over 100 Basis Points Cut, Contradicts Barkin on Caution
Read More
Fed Governor Milan Pushes for Over 100 Basis Points Cut, Contradicts Barkin on Caution
Fed Governor Milan Pushes for Over 100 Basis Points Cut, Contradicts Barkin on Caution
Federal Reserve Governor Milan pointed out that it is necessary for the US Fed to cut interest rates by more than 100 basis points this year. At the same time, he is very much looking forward to the performance of Kevin Warsh as Fed Chairman. However, Richmond Fed President Barkin emphasized that monetary policy must remain cautious until inflation fully pulls back to the target level, thereby ensuring the stability of the labour market.
16 hours ago
Democratic Senators Demand Delay in Fed Nomination Amid Criminal Investigation
16 hours ago
Democratic Senators Demand Delay in Fed Nomination Amid Criminal Investigation
Read More
Democratic Senators Demand Delay in Fed Nomination Amid Criminal Investigation
Democratic Senators Demand Delay in Fed Nomination Amid Criminal Investigation
All 11 Democratic members of the US Senate Banking Committee jointly sent a letter to the committee's chairman, Tim Scott, requesting that all nomination processes for the prospective Fed Chairman, Kevin Warsh, be postponed until the criminal investigation into current Fed Chairman Powell and other board members is concluded. However, Scott stated that Warsh's confirmation was a done deal.
16 hours ago
Fed to Keep Large Banks' Capital Levels Unchanged, Postpones Stress Test Reforms Until 2027
16 hours ago
Fed to Keep Large Banks' Capital Levels Unchanged, Postpones Stress Test Reforms Until 2027
Read More
Fed to Keep Large Banks' Capital Levels Unchanged, Postpones Stress Test Reforms Until 2027
Fed to Keep Large Banks' Capital Levels Unchanged, Postpones Stress Test Reforms Until 2027
The US Fed has announced that it will maintain the capital levels of large banks unchanged during the upcoming stress test cycle (corresponding to the 2026 cycle). At the same time, the US Fed is planning multidimensional reforms to this annual test, aiming to enhance its transparency. The US Fed's Vice Chair for Supervision, Bowman, revealed that adjustments to the stress capital buffer requirements for large banks will be postponed until 2027. This move is intended to provide the US Fed with sufficient time to evaluate potential flaws that may be exposed in its testing models when assessing banks' financial conditions under simulated economic downturn scenarios.
16 hours ago