SMM Evening Comments (Jun 19)

Published: Jun 19, 2019 17:53 (GMT+8)
SHFE nonferrous metals ended higher across the board

SHANGHAI, Jun 19 (SMM) – SHFE nonferrous metals ended higher across the board on Wednesday June 19 as tin expanded 0.13%, aluminium rose over 0.5%, lead advanced 0.74%, copper jumped more than 1%, nickel increased 1%, and zinc nudged up. 

The ferrous complex also closed higher. Iron ore jumped over 5%, hot-rolled coil climbed 2%, rebar expanded 1.62%, coke and coking coal went up 1%. 

Copper: The most-traded SHFE August contract extended gains from overnight as eased macroeconomic sentiment continued to drove shorts to cover their positions. Rekindled hopes of a US-China trade deal and potential more stimulus by the European Central Bank boosted the market. The contract finished the trading day 1.21% higher at 46,840 yuan/mt, after consolidated around 46,830 yuan/mt, firm above the 20-day moving average. As the MACD red line lengthened and the KDJ indicators expanded upwards, technical support is expected to keep the contract testing 47,000 yuan/mt tonight. 

Aluminium: The most-traded SHFE August contract failed to exceed 13,890 yuan/mt as pressure above kept it around the daily moving average after overnight gains. It slid to an intraday low of 13,825 yuan/mt, before ended 0.51% higher on the day at 13,865 yuan/mt, the two consecutive trading day of increase. It tested pressure from the five-day moving average today, with the KDJ indicators expanding upwards and the MACD green line shortening. As the focus of the market will return to fundamentals after supportive news overnight, longs should remain cautious tonight. 

Zinc: The most-traded SHFE August contract almost lost all the gains from last night as it failed to stand firm above 20,000 yuan/mt, ending 0.03% higher on the day at 19,945 yuan/mt. Fundamentals and slow trades in the spot market are likely to keep the contract weak around the 10-day moving average tonight. 

Nickel: The most-liquid SHFE August contract pared overnight gains as it fell below the daily moving average and unsuccessfully tested the 99,500 yuan/mt level, ending 0.98% higher on the day at 99,060 yuan/mt. The 99,000 yuan/mt level provided support. Tonight, we see it hovering around 100,000 yuan/mt.  

Lead: The most-active SHFE July contract recovered after exiting longs drove prices to lows around 16,210 yuan/mt. It climbed 0.74% on the day and closed at 16,270 yuan/mt, with open interests down 2,576 lots to 37,644 lots. With considerable pressure from the 60-day moving average, the contract is likely to test support from the 40-day moving average tonight. 

Tin: The most-liquid SHFE September contract retreated from an overnight buildup as its LME counterpart weakened on growing inventories. Shorts loaded up their positions, and dragged the contract from a high of 144,950 yuan/mt, ending it at 144,050 yuan/mt, up 0.13% on the day. Tonight, it is expected to receive support from 143,500 yuan/mt, with pressure above from the 5- and 20-day moving averages, or the 144,500 yuan/mt level.

Data Source Statement: Except for publicly available information, all other data are processed by SMM based on publicly available information, market communication, and relying on SMM's internal database model. They are for reference only and do not constitute decision-making recommendations.

For any inquiries or for more information, please contact: lemonzhao@smm.cn
For more information on how to access our research reports, please contact:service.en@smm.cn
Related News
Tanzania’s Imwelo selects processing route after gold recovery rises to 84.5%
Sep 25, 2026 16:02 (GMT+8)
Tanzania’s Imwelo selects processing route after gold recovery rises to 84.5%
Read More
Tanzania’s Imwelo selects processing route after gold recovery rises to 84.5%
Tanzania’s Imwelo selects processing route after gold recovery rises to 84.5%
[SMM Gold Flash] Lake Victoria Gold reported new metallurgical testwork for weathered ore at Area C of its fully permitted Imwelo Gold Project in Tanzania. Attrition scrubbing followed by desliming increased 24-hour gold extraction from 49.99% to 84.54% in agitated-leach testing. Bottle-roll recovery reached 88.15% after pretreatment, while gravity-recoverable gold also increased. The work was conducted by Nesch Mintech Tanzania in Mwanza. The company has identified attrition scrubbing and desliming as the preferred pretreatment route for further optimisation of the clay-rich near-surface material. Lake Victoria Gold says the results complement earlier work on deeper material, where recoveries of approximately 96–97% were reported. Importantly, the reported recoveries relate to tested pretreated fractions and do not yet represent overall whole-ore plant recovery; further mass-balance and optimisation work is planned.
Sep 25, 2026 16:02 (GMT+8)
Aurum drilling delivers 155 g/t gold hit at Côte d’Ivoire’s Boundiali
Sep 25, 2026 15:58 (GMT+8)
Aurum drilling delivers 155 g/t gold hit at Côte d’Ivoire’s Boundiali
Read More
Aurum drilling delivers 155 g/t gold hit at Côte d’Ivoire’s Boundiali
Aurum drilling delivers 155 g/t gold hit at Côte d’Ivoire’s Boundiali
[SMM Gold Flash] Aurum Resources reported new assay results from 22 diamond holes totalling 6,172.8 metres at the BST1 deposit at its Boundiali Gold Project in Côte d’Ivoire. The results include 2.63 metres at 76.74 g/t gold from 195.2 metres, including 1.3 metres at 155 g/t, together with 24 metres at 6.31 g/t from 108 metres, including 7 metres at 19.25 g/t. Several intersections extend beyond the existing BST1 resource envelope. The results will feed into Aurum’s planned Boundiali Mineral Resource update targeted for early Q4 2026. The company says mineralisation remains open along strike and at depth, while drilling continues across the project. The results are therefore an exploration and resource-growth development rather than additional production. Boundiali currently has a 3.22-million-ounce JORC Mineral Resource, while Aurum is advancing a definitive feasibility study.
Sep 25, 2026 15:58 (GMT+8)
Platinum Shows Stronger Inflation and Real-Rate Linkages Than Gold, Study Finds
Sep 25, 2026 15:52 (GMT+8)
Platinum Shows Stronger Inflation and Real-Rate Linkages Than Gold, Study Finds
Read More
Platinum Shows Stronger Inflation and Real-Rate Linkages Than Gold, Study Finds
Platinum Shows Stronger Inflation and Real-Rate Linkages Than Gold, Study Finds
[SMM Gold & PGM Flash] A new study published in the Journal of Commodity Markets finds that platinum has exhibited broader and more persistent co-movement with inflation and real interest rates than gold. Researchers Arusha Cooray and İbrahim Özmen examined monthly data from July 1999 through December 2024 across the US, Germany, Italy, France, Switzerland and the Netherlands, using turning-point analysis, wavelet coherence and time-varying Granger-causality methods. The study found gold’s macroeconomic relationships were comparatively weaker and more fragmented, while platinum and silver showed broader synchronization, particularly in the US and Germany.​ The researchers attribute platinum’s stronger macroeconomic sensitivity in part to its substantial industrial exposure, meaning its price reflects not only monetary conditions but also manufacturing activity, investment and supply constraints. The findings do not establish platinum as a universally superior inflation hedge: the relationships varied across countries, periods and monetary-policy regimes. Instead, the study highlights a fundamental difference between the metals, with gold’s broader monetary and defensive role producing a different response to inflation and real-rate conditions.
Sep 25, 2026 15:52 (GMT+8)