[daily Review of SMM Black Futures] 2019605: multi-empty game is fierce, black concussion runs

Published: Jun 05, 2019 16:28 (GMT+8)

In terms of volume and price, RB1910 rose 2 yuan / ton to close at 3747 yuan / ton compared with the previous trading day, while HC1910 closed down 2 yuan / ton to 3607 yuan / ton compared with the previous trading day. I1909 closed down 1 yuan per ton to close at 719.5 yuan per ton, while J1909 closed down 12. 5 yuan per ton at 2114.5 yuan per ton. In terms of position data, the number of RB1910 transactions increased by 11200 to 2.6 million, while that of I1909 increased by 1.43 million and increased by 1870 to 1.52 million. In terms of capital flows, the net inflow of funds from RB1910 today was 37.73 million yuan. I1909 net outflow of funds was $1.37 million. Viewpoint: shock operation. After yesterday's sharp rally, today's RB1910 showed a volatile operating trend, concussion range for (3726, 3758), yesterday the national building materials trading volume is obvious, creating the highest daily trading volume in nearly half a month. Tangshan City again issued a plan for the prevention and control of air pollution, with a time limit from June 1 to June 30, and the supply contraction is expected to resume. Spot absolute price is low, spot merchants are willing to copy the bottom at a low price, it is expected that the space below is limited, thread or showing a concussion to build the bottom situation. On the iron ore side, supply pressure has eased, and recent shipments have continued to pick up. Last week, shipments from Australia and Brazil were 25.121 million tons, an increase of 2.709 million tons from the previous month, and 7.204 million tons from Brazil, an increase of 878000 tons from the previous month. On the other hand, environmental protection will restrict the demand for ore to a certain extent, and the fundamentals of short-term ore will become weaker. In terms of coke, the purchase price of coke in some steel mills in Hebei has been reduced by 100 yuan / ton, while some coke enterprises in Hebei and Shanxi have increased by 100 yuan per ton. The market has entered the game stage. Before the final result of the game, the market may run mainly by concussion. Tomorrow is the last trading day before the Dragon Boat Festival, some safe haven funds choose to leave the market ahead of time, the market is expected to fluctuate little. Strategy: RB1910 contract range (3650, 3850); I1909 contract range (680780), short-term temporary wait-and-see, the middle line can be arranged step by step on the low side. Disclaimer: this information comes from a statistical arbitrage model based on historical data, and all conclusions are based on reliable and publicly available information. The SMM quantification team is not responsible for any losses that may be caused by all information. We recommend that investors independently evaluate specific investments and strategies. Investors are also encouraged to seek advice from professional financial advisers. This information does not provide a tailored investment strategy.

Data Source Statement: Except for publicly available information, all other data are processed by SMM based on publicly available information, market communication, and relying on SMM's internal database model. They are for reference only and do not constitute decision-making recommendations.

For any inquiries or for more information, please contact: lemonzhao@smm.cn
For more information on how to access our research reports, please contact:service.en@smm.cn
Related News
Heyuan Issues Strict Regulations and Fines for Unauthorized Waste Lead-Acid Battery Management
Sep 28, 2026 17:34 (GMT+8)
Heyuan Issues Strict Regulations and Fines for Unauthorized Waste Lead-Acid Battery Management
Read More
Heyuan Issues Strict Regulations and Fines for Unauthorized Waste Lead-Acid Battery Management
Heyuan Issues Strict Regulations and Fines for Unauthorized Waste Lead-Acid Battery Management
[Waste Lead-Acid Battery Market Update] Recently, the Heyuan Municipal Ecology and Environment Bureau issued the "Notice on Regulating the Management of Waste Lead-Acid Batteries." According to the Ecological Environment Code of the People's Republic of China, enterprises and public institutions that engage in the collection and storage of waste without a permit may be fined 200,000-1 million yuan; those that engage in utilization and disposal operations without a permit may be fined 1-5 million yuan and ordered to suspend operations or shut down, with responsible persons fined 100,000-1 million yuan; if the act constitutes a crime, criminal liability shall be pursued in accordance with the law.
Sep 28, 2026 17:34 (GMT+8)
"Guangzhou Tightens E-bike Waste Lead-Acid Battery Management, Clarifies Hazardous Waste Rules"
Sep 28, 2026 17:33 (GMT+8)
"Guangzhou Tightens E-bike Waste Lead-Acid Battery Management, Clarifies Hazardous Waste Rules"
Read More
"Guangzhou Tightens E-bike Waste Lead-Acid Battery Management, Clarifies Hazardous Waste Rules"
"Guangzhou Tightens E-bike Waste Lead-Acid Battery Management, Clarifies Hazardous Waste Rules"
[Market Dynamics of Waste Lead-Acid Batteries from E-bikes] Recently, the Guangzhou Municipal Ecology and Environment Bureau issued a notice on the key points for environmental management of waste lead-acid batteries from e-bikes in Guangzhou. The document clarifies that waste lead-acid batteries are hazardous waste (HW31, 900-52), and scrap batteries generated from store recycling, trade-in, and repair must be transferred to licensed units. Units holding a hazardous waste collection permit (including 900-52) are exempt from electronic transfer manifests during the collection process under the centralized collection pilot program.
Sep 28, 2026 17:33 (GMT+8)
Peru sees 1 million t/y copper output boost within five to six years
Sep 26, 2026 01:38 (GMT+8)
Peru sees 1 million t/y copper output boost within five to six years
Read More
Peru sees 1 million t/y copper output boost within five to six years
Peru sees 1 million t/y copper output boost within five to six years
Peru's Energy and Mines Minister Guillermo Shinno said the country expects to add about 1 million tonnes of annual copper production within five to six years through new mining projects. The world's third-largest copper producer anticipates 2026 output of 2.5 to 2.7 million tonnes, roughly unchanged from 2023 as declining ore grades and recurring social conflicts weigh on supply. The newly elected government is seeking to reverse that stagnation by cutting red tape; in the two months since taking office, mining companies have stepped up engagement with the ministry. Shinno said officials have identified 27 permits that could be eliminated from roughly 100 mining-sector requirements, without lowering environmenta
Sep 26, 2026 01:38 (GMT+8)
[daily Review of SMM Black Futures] 2019605: multi-empty game is fierce, black concussion runs - Shanghai Metals Market (SMM)