The rise in aluminum prices has long foreseen the upward shock in the future.

Published: Aug 29, 2018 18:50

SMM8 29 news: yesterday afternoon, Shanghai Aluminum 1810 main contract to maintain shock in the closing ushered in a sharp rise, closing at 14970 yuan, up 235 yuan, up as much as 1.59%.

After the news, immediately aluminum prices ushered in a sharp rise. In fact, it is not difficult for netizens who often pay attention to SMM to find that the rise in aluminum prices is not accidental but early warning. SMM August aluminum monthly forecast: August 13 to September 10 aluminum prices first suppression and then rise, the trend will be driven by rising alumina prices, the overall center of gravity of aluminum prices will continue to try to move up.

On the 27th, SMM learned that, Vitol Group (Vito Group) won the bid for Nalco (National Aluminum Corporation of India) 30, 000 tons of alumina at a price of US $623 per ton. The price of alumina in Nalco's last tender on Aug. 20 was $580.5 a tonne, up $42.50 a tonne from the previous month.

Yesterday, foreign media said that if Rusal continued to be sanctioned by the United States, the Russian government came forward to buy Rusal ingots as a national reserve, and injected a shot in the arm into the market to promote the night Shanghai aluminum prices to continue to climb, the rise is obvious.

Taken together, affected by multiple events at home and abroad, domestic aluminum prices have risen by as much as 5.6% since mid-July. And is there room for aluminum prices to go up in the later period?

SMM analysis shows that under the combined action of multiple positive factors, such as the rising prices of raw materials such as alumina and prebaked anodes, the limited production in the heating season and the expectation of the peak consumption season in September, SMM maintains a cautious bullish view in the medium term. In the short term, there is a certain degree of pullback pressure, vigilance against the negative nature of events and poor consumer expectations.

Data Source Statement: Except for publicly available information, all other data are processed by SMM based on publicly available information, market communication, and relying on SMM‘s internal database model. They are for reference only and do not constitute decision-making recommendations.

For any inquiries or to learn more information, please contact: lemonzhao@smm.cn
For more information on how to access our research reports, please contact:service.en@smm.cn
Related News
Fed Governor Milan Pushes for Over 100 Basis Points Cut, Contradicts Barkin on Caution
18 hours ago
Fed Governor Milan Pushes for Over 100 Basis Points Cut, Contradicts Barkin on Caution
Read More
Fed Governor Milan Pushes for Over 100 Basis Points Cut, Contradicts Barkin on Caution
Fed Governor Milan Pushes for Over 100 Basis Points Cut, Contradicts Barkin on Caution
Federal Reserve Governor Milan pointed out that it is necessary for the US Fed to cut interest rates by more than 100 basis points this year. At the same time, he is very much looking forward to the performance of Kevin Warsh as Fed Chairman. However, Richmond Fed President Barkin emphasized that monetary policy must remain cautious until inflation fully pulls back to the target level, thereby ensuring the stability of the labour market.
18 hours ago
Democratic Senators Demand Delay in Fed Nomination Amid Criminal Investigation
18 hours ago
Democratic Senators Demand Delay in Fed Nomination Amid Criminal Investigation
Read More
Democratic Senators Demand Delay in Fed Nomination Amid Criminal Investigation
Democratic Senators Demand Delay in Fed Nomination Amid Criminal Investigation
All 11 Democratic members of the US Senate Banking Committee jointly sent a letter to the committee's chairman, Tim Scott, requesting that all nomination processes for the prospective Fed Chairman, Kevin Warsh, be postponed until the criminal investigation into current Fed Chairman Powell and other board members is concluded. However, Scott stated that Warsh's confirmation was a done deal.
18 hours ago
Fed to Keep Large Banks' Capital Levels Unchanged, Postpones Stress Test Reforms Until 2027
18 hours ago
Fed to Keep Large Banks' Capital Levels Unchanged, Postpones Stress Test Reforms Until 2027
Read More
Fed to Keep Large Banks' Capital Levels Unchanged, Postpones Stress Test Reforms Until 2027
Fed to Keep Large Banks' Capital Levels Unchanged, Postpones Stress Test Reforms Until 2027
The US Fed has announced that it will maintain the capital levels of large banks unchanged during the upcoming stress test cycle (corresponding to the 2026 cycle). At the same time, the US Fed is planning multidimensional reforms to this annual test, aiming to enhance its transparency. The US Fed's Vice Chair for Supervision, Bowman, revealed that adjustments to the stress capital buffer requirements for large banks will be postponed until 2027. This move is intended to provide the US Fed with sufficient time to evaluate potential flaws that may be exposed in its testing models when assessing banks' financial conditions under simulated economic downturn scenarios.
18 hours ago
The rise in aluminum prices has long foreseen the upward shock in the future. - Shanghai Metals Market (SMM)