Lower copper prices grow spot premiums

Published: Oct 31, 2018 13:54
Spot copper was mostly offered at a discount of 20 yuan/mt to a premium of 30 yuan/mt over the SHFE Nov contract on Oct 31

SHANGHAI, Oct 31 (SMM) – Spot copper was mostly offered at a discount of 20 yuan/mt to a premium of 30 yuan/mt over the SHFE November contract in Shanghai on Wednesday October 31. This compared with a discount of 110-50 yuan/mt on October 30. 

As a stronger US dollar lowered the SHFE 1811 contract to below 49,000 yuan/mt this morning, spot copper sellers raised offers to a premium of 30 yuan/mt. However, transactions were thin as downstream buyers hesitated on the last trading day of October.

Trades failed to increase significantly before noon, even when offers for high-grade copper were lowered to flat over SHFE 1811 contract, and that for standard quality copper to a discount of 20 yuan/mt. 

Despite quiet transactions, sellers are likely to firm up premiums when November arrives tomorrow, as their inventories deplete in a closed import arbitrage window, SMM expects. 

The SHFE 1811 contract struggled around the 49,100 yuan/mt level and fell to a low of 48,900 yuan/mt at one point in the morning. It settled at 49,080 yuan/mt at the end of the morning trading session, down 600 yuan/mt from that time on Tuesday. 

At noon on October 31, high-grade copper traded at 49,100-49,160 yuan/mt and standard-quality copper traded at 49,080-49,120 yuan/mt.

Data Source Statement: Except for publicly available information, all other data are processed by SMM based on publicly available information, market communication, and relying on SMM‘s internal database model. They are for reference only and do not constitute decision-making recommendations.

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