SMM Weekly Price Outlook for Base Metals on LME and SHFE (Sept. 18-22, 2017)

Today, the average price of tax-inclusive Bare Bright Wire in Zhejiang was quoted at 93,700 yuan/mt, marking a daily increase of 700 yuan/mt. The deduction (relative to SMM ChangJiang copper prices) remained stable within the range of 300-400 yuan/mt. Due to recent high-level price pullbacks and sharp market volatility, a strong "wait-and-see" sentiment has emerged, leading to sluggish spot trading performance. Industry experts believe the market is currently in a stalemate. However, trading volumes are expected to bottom out and rebound once prices stabilize or regain their upward momentum.

[SMM Shanghai Spot Copper] Copper prices rose from yesterday, but both buying and selling sentiment pulled back intraday, indicating that downstream acceptance of current price levels remained limited. In terms of market structure, under the current price spread between futures contracts structure, suppliers showed strong willingness to sell, with some offloading cargo, driving overall spot discounts down rapidly, while downstream willingness to make counteroffers was relatively evident. Entering the second trading session, after premiums were cut further, market transactions improved somewhat, but downstream procurement remained generally cautious, mainly focused on restocking on dips, with insufficient willingness to chase higher prices. Overall, amid the tug-of-war between suppliers actively selling and downstream buyers purchasing cautiously, Shanghai spot copper discounts were expected to remain under pressure tomorrow.