SHFE Zinc to Meet Resistance to Lurch Higher (2017-8-24)

SHANGHAI, Nov 3 (SMM) - The most-traded SHFE zinc contract hit its highest since September 2007 on October 18 after consolidating for nearly three months, but subsequently pulled back.

The focus this week includes: The Fed’s FOMC meeting, coal price trends, final value of October Manufacturing PMI in Eurozone, final value of US October Markit Manufacturing PMI, October ISM Manufacturing PMI, October ADP Employment, October unemployment rate; China's October Caixin Manufacturing PMI and October Caixin Service PMI. In terms of events, FOMC will announce the interest rate resolutions this Thursday; the Fed Chairman Powell will hold a press conference; the Bank of England will announce interest rate resolutions, meeting minutes, and monetary policy reports; and European Central Bank President Lagarde and Executive Committee Member Schnabel will deliver speeches.

The price spread on zinc expanded 30 yuan per tonne between Guangdong and Shanghai today, SMM reported.

Many zinc traders contributed the surge in zinc market mainly to two factors, 21st Century Business Herald reported. 

Downstream buyers and traders preferred imported goods as imported zinc was sufficient in Shanghai which held price advantage, SMM reports.

SHFE 1710 zinc opened at RMB 26,110/mt and closed at RMB 25,930/mt, down RMB 35/mt or 0.13%.

n Thursday, eyes should be on UK’s 2Q GDP after being revised, US initial jobless claims and existing home sales for July.

On Thursday, LME aluminum is estimated to trade widely between USD 2,085-2,120/mt, and SHFE aluminum may challenge new highs, with price between RMB 16,550-16,850/mt.

Spot premiums of regular zinc brands in Tianjin expand 50 to 450-500 yuan per tonne over September zinc on the SHFE on August 23, SMM data showed.

LME tin should test resistance at USD 20,900/mt today and support at USD 20,000/mt.