Key Macroeconomic Indicators for Base Metal Prices (2017-8-22)

Published: Aug 22, 2017 09:27
Eyes should be on eurozone’s ZEW economic sentiment index in August and US’s FHFA home price index in June on Tuesday.

SHANGHAI, Aug. 22 (SMM) – Eyes should be on eurozone’s ZEW economic sentiment index in August and US’s FHFA home price index in June on Tuesday. US and South Korea started military drills against North Korea’s nuclear and missile programs on Monday, enhancing geopolitical conflicts. US dollar thus slumped to 93, and will fluctuate at current level in a short term. Base metals will keep diverging with most rising. Attention should be on a possible decline in a short term.

Eurozone’s economy remained positive based on its GDP in Q2 and June’s trade balance released last week. ZEW economic sentiment index is expected to rise in August after a decrease in July.

SMM Price Outlook for Base Metals on SHFE (Aug. 22, 2017)

Gloomy real estate in US is attributed as the main factor to slow economic recovery. US’s new home starts and building permits both fell short of forecast in July. But, this may indicated that real estate market will improve in Q3, and housing construction will register rapidest growth since Q3 2010. Robust home demand will shore up home prices. Hence, US’s FHFA home price index is predicted to increase in June.

As NYMEX 1709 oil will be delivered at 02:30 on August 23, oil price will be volatile. Market participants are suggested to be wary of investment.

Data Source Statement: Except for publicly available information, all other data are processed by SMM based on publicly available information, market communication, and relying on SMM's internal database model. They are for reference only and do not constitute decision-making recommendations.

For any inquiries or for more information, please contact: lemonzhao@smm.cn
For more information on how to access our research reports, please contact:service.en@smm.cn
Related News
"Copper Prices Fall as Enameled Wire Orders Increase"
19 mins ago
"Copper Prices Fall as Enameled Wire Orders Increase"
Read More
"Copper Prices Fall as Enameled Wire Orders Increase"
"Copper Prices Fall as Enameled Wire Orders Increase"
Copper price drifted lower today, while enameled wire manufacturers reported a notable improvement in downstream order bookings.
19 mins ago
【SMM Copper Flash】Intraday copper prices fell noticeably from the previous trading day
26 mins ago
【SMM Copper Flash】Intraday copper prices fell noticeably from the previous trading day
Read More
【SMM Copper Flash】Intraday copper prices fell noticeably from the previous trading day
【SMM Copper Flash】Intraday copper prices fell noticeably from the previous trading day
【SMM Shanghai Copper Spot Market Update】Intraday copper prices fell noticeably from the previous trading day, with the Shanghai copper futures contract 2609 trading largely in the range of 109,000 yuan/ton to 109,700 yuan/ton. As the price center of gravity shifted lower, downstream buying enthusiasm for spot pricing picked up markedly. According to SMM sources, some processing enterprises saw large concentrated spot pricing during the night session, and overall spot pricing volume expanded significantly compared with the previous trading day. Driven by centralized point pricing, the downstream raw material procurement demand was released synchronously, and the inquiry and transaction in the Shanghai electrolytic copper Spot Market within the day improved significantly compared with the previous trading day.
26 mins ago
28 mins ago
Read More
[SMM Shanghai Spot Copper] Intraday copper prices pulled back notably from the previous trading day, with the SHFE copper 2609 contract trading mainly in the range of 109,000–109,700 yuan/mt. As the price center shifted lower, downstream pricing activity picked up significantly. According to SMM, some processing enterprises carried out concentrated pricing during the night session, and overall pricing volumes expanded notably compared with the previous trading day. Driven by the concentrated pricing, downstream raw material procurement demand was released simultaneously. Intraday inquiries and transactions in the Shanghai spot copper cathode market improved markedly from the previous trading day.
28 mins ago