China Aluminum Market to Reach Balance in 2019, SMM Predicts

[SMM Aluminum Alloy Daily Review] Futures, the aluminum alloy 2604 contract bottomed out intraday and then rebounded. After opening lower in the morning session, it quickly dipped to 23,295 yuan/mt before fluctuating upward. In the afternoon, bulls stepped up, and prices rose steadily, pulling back slightly toward the close to end at 23,680 yuan/mt, up 0.04%. Spot cargo, secondary aluminum alloy enterprises generally revised their quotes downward, with most cuts in the 100–300 yuan/mt range. During the week, volatility intensifies in futures and downstream wait-and-see sentiment strengthened, prompting some enterprises to slightly lower quotes to control order-taking risks. Meanwhile, tight supply of aluminum scrap raw materials and elevated procurement costs provided strong support for pr

[SMM Aluminum Morning Meeting Minutes: Geopolitical Risks in the Middle East Cool Significantly; Aluminum Prices to Fluctuate at Highs in the Short Term] Overall, from a macro perspective, easing geopolitical risks and the continued buildup of domestic social inventory have created bearish pressure on aluminum prices. However, the geopolitical situation in the Middle East remains unclear; if the conflict persists, expectations for a tightening of global aluminum supply are strong, and aluminum prices still have solid upward momentum. In the short term, aluminum prices are still expected to hold up well.