SMM Sees Plenty of Reasons Not to Keep Aluminum in Your Portfolio

Published: Jun 19, 2017 12:13

Save

Aluminum might not be the preferred choice, at least for now, since its prices are still in downward track amid a series of negative factors, SMM noted.

SHANGHAI, Jun. 19 (SMM) – Aluminum might not be the preferred choice, at least for now, since its prices are still in downward track amid a series of negative factors, SMM noted.

Anticipation is waning for favorable policies in Chinese aluminum market. Growing supply and softening consumption will send SHFE 1708 aluminum down further to 13,300-13,650 yuan/tonne this week. LME aluminum will drop to $ 1,850-1,890/tonne, SMM predicts.

Chalco Cuts Aluminum Prices in Major Markets on June 19

Aluminum ingot stocks in China’s five major markets (Shanghai, Wuxi, Nanhai, Hangzhou and Gongyi) were near record high at 1.21 million tonnes as of June 16 and will keep growing.

July-August is the traditional off-season for aluminum consumption. Orders are already down at some aluminum processors, SMM survey found.

Rusal to Expand Aluminum Production on Growing Global Demand

For news cooperation, please contact us by email: sallyzhang@smm.cn or service.en@smm.cn.

aluminum prices SHFE aluminum prices LME aluminum prices

Data Source Statement: Except for publicly available information, all other data are processed by SMM based on publicly available information, market communication, and relying on SMM's internal database model. They are for reference only and do not constitute decision-making recommendations.

For any inquiries or for more information, please contact: lemonzhao@smm.cn

For more information on how to access our research reports, please contact:service.en@smm.cn

Related News

5 hours ago

China's aluminum ingot warehouse withdrawals hit a four-year high. With 1 million mt inventory level within reach?

In 2026, China's aluminum ingot inventory has continuously pulled back from a high of 1.465 million mt in early May, and by end-June cumulative destocking of 300,000 mt brought it down to 1.165 million mt, with the destocking pace steepening markedly. Last week, warehouse withdrawals surged to 170,000 mt, hitting a new single-week high in nearly four years. Driven by three factors—the supply-side proportion of liquid aluminum rising more than expected, supportive export demand, and...

5 hours ago

8 hours ago

Aluminum Fluoride Market Stagnant in June, Prices to Consolidate in July Amid Mixed Factors

At end-June, trading in the aluminum fluoride market was sluggish, with the industry waiting for new long-term contract tender prices to be settled. In the short term, high raw material prices provide solid cost support for aluminum fluoride, but bearish constraints from weak downstream fluorine chemicals and the decline in long-term hydrofluoric acid contracts are also in play. Amid the tug-of-war, aluminum fluoride prices in July have little room for significant rise or fall, and the market will continue to consolidate at highs within a range.

8 hours ago

Aluminum Fluoride Prices Consolidate Amid High Raw Material Costs and Weak Downstream Demand [SMM Analysis]

In the short term, high raw material prices provide solid cost support for aluminum fluoride, but bearish constraints from weak downstream fluorine chemicals and the decline in long-term hydrofluoric acid contracts are also in play. Amid the tug-of-war, aluminum fluoride prices in July have little room for significant rise or fall, and the market will continue to consolidate at highs within a range.

8 hours ago