Where Will SHFE Aluminum Head After Touching 6-Month Low? SMM Reports

Published: Jun 13, 2017 13:14
SHFE 1708 aluminum, the most active contract, hit its lowest since early January at 13,630 yuan/tonne on June 9 as a result of aggressive short selling.

SHANGHAI, Jun. 13 (SMM) –SHFE 1708 aluminum, the most active contract, hit its lowest since early January at 13,630 yuan/tonne on June 9 as a result of aggressive short selling. Will the light metal make a comeback or fall even further?

SMM sees a pessimistic picture for aluminum.

Chalco Cuts Aluminum Prices in Major Markets for Three Consecutive Days on June 14

The off-season has arrived in advance, while supply keeps growing. SMM statistics showed aluminum capacity in operation nationwide now totals 38.70 million tonnes and additional over 1.5 million tonnes are expected to enter operations in H2. No fresh stimulus news has been heard over the supply side reform of late. Market confidence thus faded. 

SMM expects SHFE 1708 aluminum to drop to 13,450-13,800/tonne in the short term.   

Baise Mining Group Inaugurates Coal-Power-Aluminum Integrated Project

For news cooperation, please contact us by email: sallyzhang@smm.cn or service.en@smm.cn.
 

Data Source Statement: Except for publicly available information, all other data are processed by SMM based on publicly available information, market communication, and relying on SMM's internal database model. They are for reference only and do not constitute decision-making recommendations.

For any inquiries or for more information, please contact: lemonzhao@smm.cn
For more information on how to access our research reports, please contact:service.en@smm.cn
Related News
July Auto Sales Down 8% MoM, NEV Sales Up 23.7% YoY Amid Overall Market Decline
3 mins ago
July Auto Sales Down 8% MoM, NEV Sales Up 23.7% YoY Amid Overall Market Decline
Read More
July Auto Sales Down 8% MoM, NEV Sales Up 23.7% YoY Amid Overall Market Decline
July Auto Sales Down 8% MoM, NEV Sales Up 23.7% YoY Amid Overall Market Decline
[SMM Aluminum Express] According to CAAM data, in July, automobile production and sales reached 2.573 million and 2.584 million units, down 6.8% and 8% MoM, and down 0.7% and 0.3% YoY, respectively. From January to July, automobile production and sales reached 17.567 million and 17.602 million units, both down 3.7% YoY. The decline narrowed further compared with H1. In July, NEV production and sales reached 1.576 million and 1.561 million units, up 26.8% and 23.7% YoY, respectively. From January to July, NEV production and sales reached 9.014 million and 9.007 million units, up 9.5% and 9.6% YoY, respectively.
3 mins ago
[Flash News] EGA Targets Pre-incident Output Levels in Q1 2027
25 mins ago
[Flash News] EGA Targets Pre-incident Output Levels in Q1 2027
Read More
[Flash News] EGA Targets Pre-incident Output Levels in Q1 2027
[Flash News] EGA Targets Pre-incident Output Levels in Q1 2027
In its half-year results announcement, UAE-based EGA unveiled the production resumption timeline for the Al Taweelah smelter, which was forced to shut down following an attack on 28 March. 18% of the plant’s total 1,262 reduction cells have been restarted. Output is projected to return to pre-incident levels in Q1 2027. Capital expenditure for the recovery is estimated at USD 400 million; most spending will be incurred in 2026, with the remainder falling into 2027. The newly built recycling plant is currently operating at 10% capacity, targeting full production by end-Q4 2026. Output at the alumina refinery fell sharply year-on-year in H1 2026. Its capacity recovered to 50% of pre-incident levels in early July.
25 mins ago
【Flash News】EGA Targets Pre-incident Output Levels in Q1 2027
25 mins ago
【Flash News】EGA Targets Pre-incident Output Levels in Q1 2027
Read More
【Flash News】EGA Targets Pre-incident Output Levels in Q1 2027
【Flash News】EGA Targets Pre-incident Output Levels in Q1 2027
In its half-year results announcement, UAE-based EGA unveiled the production resumption timeline for the Al Taweelah smelter, which was forced to shut down following an attack on 28 March. 18% of the plant’s total 1,262 reduction cells have been restarted. Output is projected to return to pre-incident levels in Q1 2027. Capital expenditure for the recovery is estimated at USD 400 million; most spending will be incurred in 2026, with the remainder falling into 2027. The newly built recycling plant is currently operating at 10% capacity, targeting full production by end-Q4 2026. Output at the alumina refinery fell sharply year-on-year in H1 2026. Its capacity recovered to 50% of pre-incident levels in early July.
25 mins ago