Key Macroeconomic Indicators for Base Metal Prices (2017-5-25)

Published: May 25, 2017 09:42
Market will eye last week’s US initial jobless claims, OPEC’s half-year meeting and minutes of the US Fed’s May policy meeting.

SHANGHAI, May 25 (SMM) – Market will eye last week’s US initial jobless claims, OPEC’s half-year meeting and minutes of the US Fed’s May policy meeting.    

US initial jobless claims for last week are expected to be in a normal range, which will have limited impact on US dollar. 

Minutes of the US Fed’s May policy meeting showed US Fed officials agreed to announce details for plans of scaling back balance sheet in the short term and consider it appropriate to begin reducing balance sheet from this year. US Fed officials understand that it is a cautious and wise approach to wait for more evidence to show economic slowdown is just temporary. This means the US Fed wishes to raise interest rate, but is willing to wait for more economic data. This caused the US dollar index to fall.   

The OEPC will hold its 172th half-year meeting today. Members of the OPEC will discuss matters over extending production cuts during the meeting so as to lift oil prices and stabilize market. It is pointed out that oil prices may rise initially and then fall back since positive impact from the meeting has been priced in.  


See SMM price forecast, please click: SMM Price Outlook for Base Metals on SHFE (May 25, 2017)


 

Data Source Statement: Except for publicly available information, all other data are processed by SMM based on publicly available information, market communication, and relying on SMM's internal database model. They are for reference only and do not constitute decision-making recommendations.

For any inquiries or for more information, please contact: lemonzhao@smm.cn
For more information on how to access our research reports, please contact:service.en@smm.cn
Related News
[Flash | Chile's Weather Bites Back: Caserones Copper Guidance Slashed, Molybdenum Caught in the Crossfire]
23 mins ago
[Flash | Chile's Weather Bites Back: Caserones Copper Guidance Slashed, Molybdenum Caught in the Crossfire]
Read More
[Flash | Chile's Weather Bites Back: Caserones Copper Guidance Slashed, Molybdenum Caught in the Crossfire]
[Flash | Chile's Weather Bites Back: Caserones Copper Guidance Slashed, Molybdenum Caught in the Crossfire]
Chile's Caserones copper-molybdenum mine was previously affected by extreme winter weather, experiencing two winter storms that disrupted power supply and site access, causing an actual impact on mine production. The impact of this event has now carried over from a short-term operational disruption into full-year output expectations: Lundin Mining subsequently lowered its full-year copper production guidance for Caserones from the original 130,000–140,000 tonnes to 120,000–130,000 tonnes. By-product molybdenum output is expected to come under pressure in tandem, though a specific molybdenum production guidance figure has not yet been separately disclosed.
23 mins ago
Guyana Warns Scrap Dealers: Continued Illegal Copper Trade Could Trigger Full Shutdown of Scrap-Metal Trade
30 mins ago
Guyana Warns Scrap Dealers: Continued Illegal Copper Trade Could Trigger Full Shutdown of Scrap-Metal Trade
Read More
Guyana Warns Scrap Dealers: Continued Illegal Copper Trade Could Trigger Full Shutdown of Scrap-Metal Trade
Guyana Warns Scrap Dealers: Continued Illegal Copper Trade Could Trigger Full Shutdown of Scrap-Metal Trade
Guyana’s Ministry of Tourism, Industry and Commerce has warned the domestic scrap-metal industry following a recent case involving stolen copper, illegal purchasing and attempted movement of the material. Licensed dealers found handling illegally obtained copper will face immediate licence cancellation and possible prosecution. More importantly, the government warned that if illegal practices persist, it could take steps to shut down the scrap-metal trade altogether. No blanket ban has been introduced yet, but the statement signals a notable regulatory risk for Guyana’s copper scrap trade.
30 mins ago
EU Plans Broad Waste Export Ban to Non-OECD Countries, Raising Risks for Copper Scrap Trade
36 mins ago
EU Plans Broad Waste Export Ban to Non-OECD Countries, Raising Risks for Copper Scrap Trade
Read More
EU Plans Broad Waste Export Ban to Non-OECD Countries, Raising Risks for Copper Scrap Trade
EU Plans Broad Waste Export Ban to Non-OECD Countries, Raising Risks for Copper Scrap Trade
The EU is considering a broad ban on waste exports to non-OECD countries under a delegated act of the Waste Shipment Regulation, replacing an earlier plan focused mainly on restricting aluminium scrap exports. China and India, major destinations for European scrap, would fall within the non-OECD category. The final waste streams covered have not yet been specified, so a blanket copper scrap ban is not confirmed, but the proposal creates a significant new policy risk for EU copper scrap exports and could strengthen domestic retention of secondary copper resources.
36 mins ago
Key Macroeconomic Indicators for Base Metal Prices (2017-5-25) - Shanghai Metals Market (SMM)