Key Macroeconomic Indicators for Base Metal Prices (2017-5-25)

Published: May 25, 2017 09:42
Market will eye last week’s US initial jobless claims, OPEC’s half-year meeting and minutes of the US Fed’s May policy meeting.

SHANGHAI, May 25 (SMM) – Market will eye last week’s US initial jobless claims, OPEC’s half-year meeting and minutes of the US Fed’s May policy meeting.    

US initial jobless claims for last week are expected to be in a normal range, which will have limited impact on US dollar. 

Minutes of the US Fed’s May policy meeting showed US Fed officials agreed to announce details for plans of scaling back balance sheet in the short term and consider it appropriate to begin reducing balance sheet from this year. US Fed officials understand that it is a cautious and wise approach to wait for more evidence to show economic slowdown is just temporary. This means the US Fed wishes to raise interest rate, but is willing to wait for more economic data. This caused the US dollar index to fall.   

The OEPC will hold its 172th half-year meeting today. Members of the OPEC will discuss matters over extending production cuts during the meeting so as to lift oil prices and stabilize market. It is pointed out that oil prices may rise initially and then fall back since positive impact from the meeting has been priced in.  


See SMM price forecast, please click: SMM Price Outlook for Base Metals on SHFE (May 25, 2017)


 

Data Source Statement: Except for publicly available information, all other data are processed by SMM based on publicly available information, market communication, and relying on SMM's internal database model. They are for reference only and do not constitute decision-making recommendations.

For any inquiries or for more information, please contact: lemonzhao@smm.cn
For more information on how to access our research reports, please contact:service.en@smm.cn
Related News
Data: SHFE, DCE market movement (Aug 04)
1 hour ago
Data: SHFE, DCE market movement (Aug 04)
Read More
Data: SHFE, DCE market movement (Aug 04)
Data: SHFE, DCE market movement (Aug 04)
The following table shows the ferrous and nonferrous metals movement on the SHFE and DCE on 04 Aug , 2026
1 hour ago
Jiangxi Policies Ease, Some Scrap Utilization Enterprises Resume Production [SMM Secondary Copper Daily Comment]
2 hours ago
Jiangxi Policies Ease, Some Scrap Utilization Enterprises Resume Production [SMM Secondary Copper Daily Comment]
Read More
Jiangxi Policies Ease, Some Scrap Utilization Enterprises Resume Production [SMM Secondary Copper Daily Comment]
Jiangxi Policies Ease, Some Scrap Utilization Enterprises Resume Production [SMM Secondary Copper Daily Comment]
2 hours ago
Rising copper prices curb procurement, Shanghai spot copper premiums pull back under pressure [SMM Shanghai Spot Copper]
3 hours ago
Rising copper prices curb procurement, Shanghai spot copper premiums pull back under pressure [SMM Shanghai Spot Copper]
Read More
Rising copper prices curb procurement, Shanghai spot copper premiums pull back under pressure [SMM Shanghai Spot Copper]
Rising copper prices curb procurement, Shanghai spot copper premiums pull back under pressure [SMM Shanghai Spot Copper]
[SMM Shanghai spot copper] Tomorrow, the SHFE copper price center is expected to rise above 106,500 yuan/mt, significantly dampening downstream purchases. Although it is still in the purchasing cycle at the beginning of the month, some downstream users have rigid restocking demand, and purchasing sentiment has slightly rebounded compared to the previous trading day. However, actual purchases remain cautious, with suppliers continuously lowering quotes before transactions were made. Meanwhile, low-priced non-registered copper was traded at a premium of around 50 yuan/mt, and the price spread with registered standard-quality copper further widened, exerting some pressure on standard-quality copper quotes. The backwardation structure between nearby months has narrowed compared to earlier periods, marginally weakening the basis for suppliers to hold prices firm. Overall, under the combined effect of high copper prices dampening downstream purchases, low-priced supply impacting the market, and increased willingness to sell among suppliers, spot copper quotes against the SHFE copper 2608 contract are expected to maintain a premium tomorrow, but the overall price center may shift slightly lower.
3 hours ago