Key Macroeconomic Indicators for Base Metal Prices (2017-5-25)

Published: May 25, 2017 09:42
Market will eye last week’s US initial jobless claims, OPEC’s half-year meeting and minutes of the US Fed’s May policy meeting.

SHANGHAI, May 25 (SMM) – Market will eye last week’s US initial jobless claims, OPEC’s half-year meeting and minutes of the US Fed’s May policy meeting.    

US initial jobless claims for last week are expected to be in a normal range, which will have limited impact on US dollar. 

Minutes of the US Fed’s May policy meeting showed US Fed officials agreed to announce details for plans of scaling back balance sheet in the short term and consider it appropriate to begin reducing balance sheet from this year. US Fed officials understand that it is a cautious and wise approach to wait for more evidence to show economic slowdown is just temporary. This means the US Fed wishes to raise interest rate, but is willing to wait for more economic data. This caused the US dollar index to fall.   

The OEPC will hold its 172th half-year meeting today. Members of the OPEC will discuss matters over extending production cuts during the meeting so as to lift oil prices and stabilize market. It is pointed out that oil prices may rise initially and then fall back since positive impact from the meeting has been priced in.  


See SMM price forecast, please click: SMM Price Outlook for Base Metals on SHFE (May 25, 2017)


 

Data Source Statement: Except for publicly available information, all other data are processed by SMM based on publicly available information, market communication, and relying on SMM's internal database model. They are for reference only and do not constitute decision-making recommendations.

For any inquiries or for more information, please contact: lemonzhao@smm.cn
For more information on how to access our research reports, please contact:service.en@smm.cn
Related News
Actual Transaction Activity Sluggish, Market Divergence in Tug of War [SMM Yangshan Spot Copper]
45 mins ago
Actual Transaction Activity Sluggish, Market Divergence in Tug of War [SMM Yangshan Spot Copper]
Read More
Actual Transaction Activity Sluggish, Market Divergence in Tug of War [SMM Yangshan Spot Copper]
Actual Transaction Activity Sluggish, Market Divergence in Tug of War [SMM Yangshan Spot Copper]
45 mins ago
SMM Chinese bonded warehouse copper cathode inventories increased to 35,200 mt
48 mins ago
SMM Chinese bonded warehouse copper cathode inventories increased to 35,200 mt
Read More
SMM Chinese bonded warehouse copper cathode inventories increased to 35,200 mt
SMM Chinese bonded warehouse copper cathode inventories increased to 35,200 mt
[SMM Copper Import and Export Market] On August 13, SMM Chinese bonded warehouse copper cathode inventories stood at 35,200 mt, up 4,100 mt WoW. According to SMM, the increase in bonded warehouse inventories was mainly due to: 1. the recent opening of the export window, which created export arbitrage opportunities for some copper cathode and led to a concentration of cargoes in the bonded warehouse; 2. the earlier successive arrivals of cancelled warrants from LME Asian warehouses, which further lifted inventory levels.
48 mins ago
[SMM Flash] NBS Releases June Sulfuric Acid Production
2 hours ago
[SMM Flash] NBS Releases June Sulfuric Acid Production
Read More
[SMM Flash] NBS Releases June Sulfuric Acid Production
[SMM Flash] NBS Releases June Sulfuric Acid Production
According to the National Bureau of Statistics, national sulfuric acid (100% basis) output in June 2026 reached approximately 7.923 million tons (vs. 8.365 million in May, 8.948 million in April, and 9.637 million in March, showing a month‑on‑month decline). The year‑on‑year change for the month was about ‑10%. For the first half of the year (January–June), cumulative production totaled roughly 52.223 million tons, a year‑on‑year decrease of about ‑0.1% (down from +1.9% in the January–May period, mainly due to the sharp 10% drop in June). Production remains heavily concentrated in smelting and phosphate‑fertilizer provinces such as Yunnan, Inner Mongolia, Guangxi, Anhui, Henan, and Shandong—with Yunnan ranking first at about 1.24 million tons per month. Smelter acid (by‑product from copper/zinc processing) forms the supply backbone, while acid for phosphate fertilizer drives the bulk of demand.
2 hours ago