Key Macroeconomic Indicators for Base Metal Prices (2017-5-25)

Published: May 25, 2017 09:42
Market will eye last week’s US initial jobless claims, OPEC’s half-year meeting and minutes of the US Fed’s May policy meeting.

SHANGHAI, May 25 (SMM) – Market will eye last week’s US initial jobless claims, OPEC’s half-year meeting and minutes of the US Fed’s May policy meeting.    

US initial jobless claims for last week are expected to be in a normal range, which will have limited impact on US dollar. 

Minutes of the US Fed’s May policy meeting showed US Fed officials agreed to announce details for plans of scaling back balance sheet in the short term and consider it appropriate to begin reducing balance sheet from this year. US Fed officials understand that it is a cautious and wise approach to wait for more evidence to show economic slowdown is just temporary. This means the US Fed wishes to raise interest rate, but is willing to wait for more economic data. This caused the US dollar index to fall.   

The OEPC will hold its 172th half-year meeting today. Members of the OPEC will discuss matters over extending production cuts during the meeting so as to lift oil prices and stabilize market. It is pointed out that oil prices may rise initially and then fall back since positive impact from the meeting has been priced in.  


See SMM price forecast, please click: SMM Price Outlook for Base Metals on SHFE (May 25, 2017)


 

Data Source Statement: Except for publicly available information, all other data are processed by SMM based on publicly available information, market communication, and relying on SMM's internal database model. They are for reference only and do not constitute decision-making recommendations.

For any inquiries or for more information, please contact: lemonzhao@smm.cn
For more information on how to access our research reports, please contact:service.en@smm.cn
Related News
Data: SHFE, DCE market movement (Jul 15)
12 hours ago
Data: SHFE, DCE market movement (Jul 15)
Read More
Data: SHFE, DCE market movement (Jul 15)
Data: SHFE, DCE market movement (Jul 15)
The following table shows the ferrous and nonferrous metals movement on the SHFE and DCE on 15 Jul , 2026
12 hours ago
On the last trading day, the high backwardation structure persisted, and overall trading was sluggish [SMM Shanghai spot copper]
12 hours ago
On the last trading day, the high backwardation structure persisted, and overall trading was sluggish [SMM Shanghai spot copper]
Read More
On the last trading day, the high backwardation structure persisted, and overall trading was sluggish [SMM Shanghai spot copper]
On the last trading day, the high backwardation structure persisted, and overall trading was sluggish [SMM Shanghai spot copper]
[SMM Shanghai Spot Copper] Looking ahead to tomorrow, the open interest for the SHFE copper 2607 contract is currently less than 2,000 lots, and the 2607 contract maintains a high backwardation against the 2608 contract. After the contract rollover, the market will officially price around the 2608 contract. Supply side, social inventory has been continuously declining recently. Arrivals of domestic and imported materials at some warehouses have been low, and the tightness of available spot supply is unlikely to ease significantly in the short term. LME data shows that the ratio of cancelled warrants on the LME has been rising continuously; coupled with the opening of the import window, subsequent import supply growth is expected to see some improvement. According to SMM, some warrants have been cancelled from LME and shipped to the Chinese market, expected to arrive at the end of this month or early next month. Demand side, downstream buyers' acceptance of high premiums is limited, market transactions are light, and suppliers have been continuously lowering their offers to secure deals. Since SMM always quotes against the front-month contract, spot premiums have been rapidly recovering due to the backwardation structure. Overall, with the support of the backwardation structure and weakening downstream consumption, Shanghai spot copper premiums against the 2608 contract are expected to remain at a premium tomorrow.
12 hours ago
Copper Prices Retreat After Rapid Rise, and Copper Scrap Suppliers Sell on Rallies [SMM Secondary Copper Daily Review]
13 hours ago
Copper Prices Retreat After Rapid Rise, and Copper Scrap Suppliers Sell on Rallies [SMM Secondary Copper Daily Review]
Read More
Copper Prices Retreat After Rapid Rise, and Copper Scrap Suppliers Sell on Rallies [SMM Secondary Copper Daily Review]
Copper Prices Retreat After Rapid Rise, and Copper Scrap Suppliers Sell on Rallies [SMM Secondary Copper Daily Review]
13 hours ago
Key Macroeconomic Indicators for Base Metal Prices (2017-5-25) - Shanghai Metals Market (SMM)