Aluminum Price Forecast, October 2016: Trading with Downside Bias-Shanghai Metals Market

Hot Keywords

  • Inventory data
  • Zinc
  • Futures movement
  • MMi Iron Ore Port Index
  • Copper
  • Nickel
  • Copper scrap
  • Aluminium
  • Stainless steel
  • Macroeconomics
  • Evening comments
  • Tin
  • Market commentary
  • Production data
  • inventory

Aluminum Price Forecast, October 2016: Trading with Downside Bias

Industry News 02:45:32PM Oct 13, 2016 Source:agmetalminer

by Kyle Fitzsimmons on OCTOBER 13, 2016

Long row of rolls of aluminum in production shop of plant.

Tuesday this week, aluminum prices traded with downside bias due in part to a rising dollar when compared to rival currencies, but that wasn’t the only major news to be found in the industry.

Alcoa, Inc., reported its third quarter earnings, which revealed a decrease in revenue while reducing its revenue targets due to lower aluminum prices and a shift in aerospace delivery schedules.

Want a short- and medium-term buying outlook for aluminum, copper, tin, lead, zinc, nickel and several forms of steel? Subscribe to our monthly buying outlook reports!

It wasn’t all bad news for Alcoa, however, as the company reported profit improvement on a year-over-year basis.

Still, it is becoming more evident that conditions for the aluminum market remain challenging.

“Alcoa has moved to trim the costs of its aluminum production by shuttering its higher-cost U.S. facilities. Cheaper, more plentiful aluminum production from Chinese aluminum smelters have caused major struggles for North American aluminum companies. This has resulted in many cutbacks, and now North American production of primary aluminum is running at its lowest levels since 1983,” wrote Donald Levit for the Economic Calendar.

Aluminum MMI up in September

Our own Raul de Frutos wrote this week that our Aluminum MMI climbed 4% last month with prices for the metal rising above $1,600 per metric ton.

“However, we still need to see if this will surpass stiff resistance at $1,700/mt, a level that aluminum hasn’t overcome in more than a year,” de Frutos concluded.

 

Aluminum Price Forecast, October 2016: Trading with Downside Bias

Industry News 02:45:32PM Oct 13, 2016 Source:agmetalminer

by Kyle Fitzsimmons on OCTOBER 13, 2016

Long row of rolls of aluminum in production shop of plant.

Tuesday this week, aluminum prices traded with downside bias due in part to a rising dollar when compared to rival currencies, but that wasn’t the only major news to be found in the industry.

Alcoa, Inc., reported its third quarter earnings, which revealed a decrease in revenue while reducing its revenue targets due to lower aluminum prices and a shift in aerospace delivery schedules.

Want a short- and medium-term buying outlook for aluminum, copper, tin, lead, zinc, nickel and several forms of steel? Subscribe to our monthly buying outlook reports!

It wasn’t all bad news for Alcoa, however, as the company reported profit improvement on a year-over-year basis.

Still, it is becoming more evident that conditions for the aluminum market remain challenging.

“Alcoa has moved to trim the costs of its aluminum production by shuttering its higher-cost U.S. facilities. Cheaper, more plentiful aluminum production from Chinese aluminum smelters have caused major struggles for North American aluminum companies. This has resulted in many cutbacks, and now North American production of primary aluminum is running at its lowest levels since 1983,” wrote Donald Levit for the Economic Calendar.

Aluminum MMI up in September

Our own Raul de Frutos wrote this week that our Aluminum MMI climbed 4% last month with prices for the metal rising above $1,600 per metric ton.

“However, we still need to see if this will surpass stiff resistance at $1,700/mt, a level that aluminum hasn’t overcome in more than a year,” de Frutos concluded.