LME Aluminum to Rise on Positive News (2016-2-4)

Published: Feb 4, 2016 10:16
Crude oil production cuts will continue cheering market up.

SHANGHAI, Feb. 4 (SMM) – Crude oil production cuts will continue cheering market up. Expectations for US rate hike will weaken on poor US economic data. The ECB is expected to maintain loose monetary policy. LME aluminum is expected to rise to USD 1,510-1,540/mt on Thursday.   

SHFE 1604 aluminum should follow LME aluminum up to RMB 10,700-10,820/mt.  

See forecast for other base metals, please click: Shanghai Base Metal Price to Keep Firm ahead of Holiday, SMM Says

In China’s spot aluminum market, spot discounts of RMB 80-50/mt are expected over SHFE 1602 contract.

Key Macroeconomic Indicators for Base Metal Prices (2016-2-4)





Data Source Statement: Except for publicly available information, all other data are processed by SMM based on publicly available information, market communication, and relying on SMM‘s internal database model. They are for reference only and do not constitute decision-making recommendations.

For any inquiries or to learn more information, please contact: lemonzhao@smm.cn
For more information on how to access our research reports, please contact:service.en@smm.cn
Related News
Domestic Secondary Aluminum Alloy Ingot Inventory Down by 364 mt, Foshan Sees Major Destocking
42 mins ago
Domestic Secondary Aluminum Alloy Ingot Inventory Down by 364 mt, Foshan Sees Major Destocking
Read More
Domestic Secondary Aluminum Alloy Ingot Inventory Down by 364 mt, Foshan Sees Major Destocking
Domestic Secondary Aluminum Alloy Ingot Inventory Down by 364 mt, Foshan Sees Major Destocking
[SMM News Flash] Inventory of secondary aluminum alloy ingots in major domestic consumption areas decreased by 364 mt MoM from the previous day, with destocking mainly concentrated in the Foshan area.
42 mins ago
Aluminum Scrap Prices Follow Upward Trend but with Regional Divergence Market Supply Increases [SMM Cast Aluminum Alloy Morning Comment]
1 hour ago
Aluminum Scrap Prices Follow Upward Trend but with Regional Divergence Market Supply Increases [SMM Cast Aluminum Alloy Morning Comment]
Read More
Aluminum Scrap Prices Follow Upward Trend but with Regional Divergence Market Supply Increases [SMM Cast Aluminum Alloy Morning Comment]
Aluminum Scrap Prices Follow Upward Trend but with Regional Divergence Market Supply Increases [SMM Cast Aluminum Alloy Morning Comment]
[smm cast aluminum alloy morning comment: aluminum scrap prices rise but with regional divergence market supply increases] overnight, the 2604 contract for aluminum alloy opened higher and retreated after a rapid rise. it touched a high of 23,305 yuan/mt at the opening and then fluctuated downward, reaching a low of 22,940 yuan/mt, before rebounding slightly towards the close. it finally closed at 230,450 yuan/mt, down 135 yuan/mt from the previous close, a decline of 0.58%. the futures showed a move downwards after a higher opening, indicating a weakening of short-term bullish momentum. trading volume remained low, and open interest decreased slightly, suggesting a cautious approach to trading.
1 hour ago
Geopolitical Situation Continues to Be Unstable SHFE Aluminum Holds Up Well in the Short Term [SMM Aluminum Morning Meeting Summary]
1 hour ago
Geopolitical Situation Continues to Be Unstable SHFE Aluminum Holds Up Well in the Short Term [SMM Aluminum Morning Meeting Summary]
Read More
Geopolitical Situation Continues to Be Unstable SHFE Aluminum Holds Up Well in the Short Term [SMM Aluminum Morning Meeting Summary]
Geopolitical Situation Continues to Be Unstable SHFE Aluminum Holds Up Well in the Short Term [SMM Aluminum Morning Meeting Summary]
[SMMA Aluminum Morning Meeting Summary: Ongoing Geopolitical Turmoil SHFE Aluminum Expected to Hold Up Well in Short Term] Overall, the aluminum price showed a trend of first declining then rising around the Chinese New Year, and it is expected that SHFE aluminum will maintain a relatively strong position in the short term.
1 hour ago