UNITED STATES November 20 2015 12:19 PM
NEW YORK (Scrap Register): Goldman Sachs looks for more gold weakness over the next 12 months, calling for $1,000 an ounce a year from now.
The American bank looks for general commodity weakness to continue over the next year, keeping us underweight commodities during that time frame.
Eventually, however, Goldman looks for much better commodity returns once the global economy shifts into the next phase of the business cycle – recovery.
For gold, specifically, Goldman writes: “We continue to expect further dollar strength and believe a gradual increase in U.S. real rates will push gold prices lower over the next 12 months….Since peaking in October, gold has fallen by 8% on the back of an increase in the probability of a Fed hike in December following the stronger-than-expected (October) non-farm payrolls report. Our gold forecasts remain $1,100/oz in three months, $1,050/oz in six months and $1,000/oz in 12 months.”
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