Copper recovery likely to happen only in late-2016, says Chilean minister

Published: Aug 27, 2015 10:05
The copper prices are likely to touch $2.8-$3.0 per lb towards the end of 2016. The commodity prices are likely to witness meaningful recovery only towards end of next year.

By  Paul Ploumis 26 Aug 2015  Last updated at 04:35:32 GMT

The copper prices are likely to touch $2.8-$3.0 per lb towards the end of 2016. The commodity prices are likely to witness meaningful recovery only towards end of next year.

SANTIAGO (Scrap Monster): According to Ignacio Moreno, Chile’s Deputy Mining Minister, the prices of copper are likely to stage a recovery from its recent slide only by late-2016. Addressing reporters in Santiago, the minister noted that global markets are expected to return to deficit by end of next year. The copper prices are likely to range between $2.80 per lb and $3.00 per lb by end-2016.

The Minister noted that there has been no change in physical market conditions for copper until now. The exchange stock currently stands at around 500,000 mt, amidst sharp fall in the commodity prices to six-year lows. The minister also added that the huge drop in copper prices have caused severe financial burden to medium-sized mines that operate at high cost levels. He called upon mine owners to implement strict cost control mechanisms at mines which would help them to survive during difficult times. Prices will hopefully recover from the current lows, Moreno added.

Meantime, Chile’s copper exports have dropped sharply during the month of July this year. The central bank data suggests that the country’s copper exports during the month plunged by nearly 24% year-on-year. The value of exports dropped from $3.171 billion during July last year to $2.398 billion during July ’15.

The country’s cumulative copper exports during the initial seven-month period of the year too dropped significantly over the previous year. The YTD exports posted year-on-year decline by 13% from $22.244 billion to $19.352 billion. Exports of cathode dropped by 16% year-on-year to $8.796 billion, whereas those of concentrate declined by 6% to $8.898 billion.

Chile’s yearly copper output is estimated to total 5.8 million mt during the entire year 2015.


Data Source Statement: Except for publicly available information, all other data are processed by SMM based on publicly available information, market communication, and relying on SMM's internal database model. They are for reference only and do not constitute decision-making recommendations.

For any inquiries or for more information, please contact: lemonzhao@smm.cn
For more information on how to access our research reports, please contact:service.en@smm.cn
Related News
High-Grade NPI Discount Widens as Refined Nickel Prices Rise and Steel Mills Pressure NPI Spot Prices
Jul 10, 2026 18:12
High-Grade NPI Discount Widens as Refined Nickel Prices Rise and Steel Mills Pressure NPI Spot Prices
Read More
High-Grade NPI Discount Widens as Refined Nickel Prices Rise and Steel Mills Pressure NPI Spot Prices
High-Grade NPI Discount Widens as Refined Nickel Prices Rise and Steel Mills Pressure NPI Spot Prices
[SMM Nickel Express] This week, the discount of high-grade NPI relative to refined nickel slightly widened. The change in the price spread was mainly driven by the divergent price trends at both ends. On one hand, the price center of refined nickel edged up slightly; on the other hand, high-grade NPI continued to be pressured by low tender prices from mainstream steel mills. Downstream buyers released a concentration of low-priced purchase orders, pulling back the price center of NPI spot prices across the entire market, and the discount of high-grade NPI expanded somewhat.
Jul 10, 2026 18:12
SMM 10-12% High-Grade NPI and Indonesian NPI FOB Prices Drop, Market Sees Intensified Tug-of-War
Jul 10, 2026 18:11
SMM 10-12% High-Grade NPI and Indonesian NPI FOB Prices Drop, Market Sees Intensified Tug-of-War
Read More
SMM 10-12% High-Grade NPI and Indonesian NPI FOB Prices Drop, Market Sees Intensified Tug-of-War
SMM 10-12% High-Grade NPI and Indonesian NPI FOB Prices Drop, Market Sees Intensified Tug-of-War
[SMM Nickel Flash] The average price of SMM 10-12% high-grade NPI fell by 1.2 yuan/nickel unit WoW to 1,132.5 yuan/nickel unit (ex-factory, tax included), while the average price of the Indonesian NPI FOB index dropped by $0.46/nickel unit WoW to $146.23/nickel unit. This week, spot high-grade NPI remained on a downward trajectory, with the market’s tug-of-war between longs and shorts intensifying.
Jul 10, 2026 18:11
Nickel Market Stagnates as Suppliers Resist Discounts and Steel Mills Push for Lower Prices
Jul 10, 2026 18:11
Nickel Market Stagnates as Suppliers Resist Discounts and Steel Mills Push for Lower Prices
Read More
Nickel Market Stagnates as Suppliers Resist Discounts and Steel Mills Push for Lower Prices
Nickel Market Stagnates as Suppliers Resist Discounts and Steel Mills Push for Lower Prices
[SMM Nickel Flash] July 10 – In the off-season, suppliers generally show low willingness to sell and are reluctant to proactively offer significant discounts. Downstream steel mills, influenced by tender settlements at mainstream mills, have been lowering their indicative prices, with strong sentiment to push for lower prices. The market is expected to consolidate on a subdued note in the near term, making the divergence in offer prices between upstream and downstream difficult to narrow quickly, and a significant increase in transaction volumes is unlikely.
Jul 10, 2026 18:11
Copper recovery likely to happen only in late-2016, says Chilean minister - Shanghai Metals Market (SMM)