SMM Lead Market Morning Review (2015-6-25)

Published: Jun 25, 2015 09:54 (GMT+8)
LME lead started at USD 1,799.5/mt during Wednesday evening session and then moved above USD 1,800/mt.

SHANGHAI, Jun. 25 (SMM) – LME lead started at USD 1,799.5/mt during Wednesday evening session and then moved above USD 1,800/mt. But the metal touched a low of USD 1,783/mt on sell-offs near midnight, to end at USD 1,791/mt, down USD 3.5/mt or 0.2%. Trading volumes of LME lead fell 588 to 3,529 lots with positions down 979 to 138,910. LME lead stocks grew 175 to 171,575.

Greece failed to strike a deal with its creditors yesterday, fueling markets risk aversion.

Major reports were absent. US annualized GDP in Q1 dropped 0.2% QoQ. EIA crude oil inventories slipped 4.934 million bbls, which was still near the same period’s highest level in the past 80 years. Also, gasoline increased 0.68 million bbls and refined oil inventories were up 1.837 million bbls. US crude oil and Brent oil prices dropped.

US dollar index saw a decline of 0.16% to 95.248. Most European and US stocks posted a drop. LME copper finished up but other LME metals slipped.

LME lead may fell below USD 1,800/mt again today. SHFE 1508 lead should move between RMB 13,080-13,210/mt with resistance at the 60-day moving average. Chinese spot lead is expected to hover between RMB 13,300-13,400/mt.
 

Data Source Statement: Except for publicly available information, all other data are processed by SMM based on publicly available information, market communication, and relying on SMM's internal database model. They are for reference only and do not constitute decision-making recommendations.

For any inquiries or for more information, please contact: lemonzhao@smm.cn
For more information on how to access our research reports, please contact:service.en@smm.cn
Related News
Downstream acceptance of high premiums declined, suppliers' willingness to sell increased, and spot premiums pulled back [SMM Shanghai Spot Copper]
9 mins ago
Downstream acceptance of high premiums declined, suppliers' willingness to sell increased, and spot premiums pulled back [SMM Shanghai Spot Copper]
Read More
Downstream acceptance of high premiums declined, suppliers' willingness to sell increased, and spot premiums pulled back [SMM Shanghai Spot Copper]
Downstream acceptance of high premiums declined, suppliers' willingness to sell increased, and spot premiums pulled back [SMM Shanghai Spot Copper]
[SMM Shanghai Spot Copper] Looking ahead to tomorrow, available supply in the Shanghai region is expected to remain tight. Although some imported copper has been arriving gradually during the day, the actual replenishment volume is relatively limited, and the downward pressure on spot premiums is still fairly constrained in the short term. However, as spot premiums stay high, downstream processing enterprises' acceptance of current prices continues to decline, wait-and-see sentiment in the market has strengthened somewhat, and procurement is gradually shifting toward essential demand. At the same time, with premiums at elevated levels, suppliers' willingness to sell has increased compared with earlier, and some supply previously registered as warrants has begun to flow into the spot market, though the overall released volume remains limited. On balance, tight supply still provides some support for premiums, but negative feedback from the demand side on high premiums is gradually emerging, and Shanghai spot copper premiums are expected to pull back somewhat tomorrow.
9 mins ago
Scarce spot cargoes at Lingang, quiet morning trading [SMM Yangshan spot copper]
1 hour ago
Scarce spot cargoes at Lingang, quiet morning trading [SMM Yangshan spot copper]
Read More
Scarce spot cargoes at Lingang, quiet morning trading [SMM Yangshan spot copper]
Scarce spot cargoes at Lingang, quiet morning trading [SMM Yangshan spot copper]
1 hour ago
Tight spot copper cathode supply in China limits actual export volumes
1 hour ago
Tight spot copper cathode supply in China limits actual export volumes
Read More
Tight spot copper cathode supply in China limits actual export volumes
Tight spot copper cathode supply in China limits actual export volumes
[SMM Copper Cathode Export Update] In late September, the SHFE/LME copper price ratio pulled back to 7.6, and import losses widened to more than 1,500 yuan/mt. However, SMM data showed that on September 23, SMM #1 copper cathode spot prices against the SHFE copper 2610 contract stood at a premium of 1,200-1,480 yuan/mt; on September 21, SMM copper inventories in major China's regions fell to 74,800 mt, at around the 1st percentile over the past year, with smelters holding scarce available cargoes and already oversold. The survey showed that smelters with copper concentrate processing trade with imported materials manuals and export qualifications have no significant export plans for the time being.
1 hour ago