SMM Zinc Market Morning Review (2015-6-18)

Published: Jun 18, 2015 10:24
LME zinc prices opened at USD 2,095/mt then fell to a two-month low of USD 2,074/mt, and closed at USD 2,087/mt, down USD 8/mt or 0.38%.

SHANGHAI, Jun. 18 (SMM) – LME zinc prices opened at USD 2,095/mt then fell to a two-month low of USD 2,074/mt, and closed at USD 2,087/mt, down USD 8/mt or 0.38%. Trading volumes increased 1,253 to 10,163 lots, and total positions declined over 10,000 to 288,000. LME zinc inventories grew 4,675 to 472,150 mt.

SHFE 1508 zinc contract prices opened at RMB 16,000/mt Wednesday evening, then dropped to RMB 15,830-15,870/mt, and closed at RMB 15,845/mt, down RMB 160/mt or 1%. Trading volumes increased 24,340 to 50,464 lots, and total positions declined 306 to 120,000.

The Fed’s statement at its policy meeting was more dovish. Meanwhile, the Fed lowered its forecast of this year’s economic growth and average interest rate next year. Two Fed officials are not expecting an interest rate hike this year, and other five officials hope the Fed will raise interest rate by 0.25 percentage point. There are also other five officials hoping to raise interest rate by 0.5 percentage point. However, there was only one Fed official that hoped interest rate will be increased by 0.25 percentage point in March. Seven other officials hoped to up interest rate by 0.5 percentage point. Average interest rate expectation for 2016 and 2017 was also lowered. The forecast of the US growth in 2015 was lowered from 2.3%-2.7% to 1.8 %-2%, and expectations of unemployment rate were up from 5.0-5.2% in March to 5.2-5.3%. This pushed the US dollar index down 0.7%, falling to a record low over the past month.

It was reported European Central Bank raised the ceiling for Emergency Liquidity Assistance for Greece from EUR 83 billion to EUR 84.1 billion, and the ceiling has been increased by EUR 23 since February. However, it is still uncertain whether the ongoing negotiation on Greek debt issue will reach an agreement.

In addition, the EU prolonged sanctions on Russian by six months Wednesday until next January.

US stocks rose across the board. European stocks mostly dropped. Asian stocks markets were mixed. LME base metals prices followed their own trends.

LME zinc prices are expected to hover between USD 2,075-2,105/mt today. SHFE 1508 zinc contract prices will fluctuate between RMB 15,800-15,950/mt, with spot premiums of RMB 0-30/mt over SHFE 1508 zinc contract prices.
 

Data Source Statement: Except for publicly available information, all other data are processed by SMM based on publicly available information, market communication, and relying on SMM‘s internal database model. They are for reference only and do not constitute decision-making recommendations.

For any inquiries or to learn more information, please contact: lemonzhao@smm.cn
For more information on how to access our research reports, please contact:service.en@smm.cn
Related News
High-Grade NPI Smelter Profits Squeezed as Ore Prices Rise and Sales Prices Dip
37 mins ago
High-Grade NPI Smelter Profits Squeezed as Ore Prices Rise and Sales Prices Dip
Read More
High-Grade NPI Smelter Profits Squeezed as Ore Prices Rise and Sales Prices Dip
High-Grade NPI Smelter Profits Squeezed as Ore Prices Rise and Sales Prices Dip
[SMM Nickel Flash] Based on nickel ore prices from 25 days ago, smelter profits for high-grade NPI remained high this week. However, from the current raw material side, ore prices from both the Philippines and Indonesia increased, while auxiliary material prices saw a slight pullback, leading to an increase in the cash cost of producing high-grade NPI from spot ore. At the same time, high-grade NPI prices experienced some pullback, making it difficult for smelter profits to see sustained improvement.
37 mins ago
High-Grade NPI Prices Fall, Expected to Stabilize as Chinese New Year Approaches
38 mins ago
High-Grade NPI Prices Fall, Expected to Stabilize as Chinese New Year Approaches
Read More
High-Grade NPI Prices Fall, Expected to Stabilize as Chinese New Year Approaches
High-Grade NPI Prices Fall, Expected to Stabilize as Chinese New Year Approaches
[SMM Nickel Flash] This week, due to a sharp decline in futures triggering arbitrage selling, high-grade NPI prices fell significantly. However, after the selling activity subsided, upstream quotations and the market center gradually returned to normal levels, supported by cost factors. Looking ahead, as the Chinese New Year holiday approaches, market activity is expected to remain subdued, and high-grade NPI prices are projected to hover at highs with limited fluctuations.
38 mins ago
Nickel Prices Drop: SMM 10-12% High-Grade NPI Down 17.2 Yuan, Indonesia NPI FOB Index Falls 2.06 $/mtu
40 mins ago
Nickel Prices Drop: SMM 10-12% High-Grade NPI Down 17.2 Yuan, Indonesia NPI FOB Index Falls 2.06 $/mtu
Read More
Nickel Prices Drop: SMM 10-12% High-Grade NPI Down 17.2 Yuan, Indonesia NPI FOB Index Falls 2.06 $/mtu
Nickel Prices Drop: SMM 10-12% High-Grade NPI Down 17.2 Yuan, Indonesia NPI FOB Index Falls 2.06 $/mtu
[SMM Nickel Flash] The SMM average price of 10-12% high-grade NPI fell 17.2 yuan/mtu WoW to 1,035.8 yuan/mtu (ex-factory, tax included), while the Indonesia NPI FOB index average price dropped 2.06 $/mtu WoW to 131.2 $/mtu. At the beginning of the week, futures hit limit-down, and nickel prices fell sharply WoW, driving the emergence of arbitrage supplies sold at low prices, leading to a significant decline in high-grade NPI prices.
40 mins ago