SHANGHAI, Jan. 23 (SMM) – Alumina prices in China fell to 2,650-2,830 yuan ($432-461) per tonne last week. Are more losses in store for the material used in aluminum smelting?
SMM has identified three potential downside risks facing alumina prices in the short term.
The biggest pressure comes from growing alumina supply, driven by restarting of mothballed capacities and coming online of new ones.
Moreover, aluminum smelters are working through raw material stocks on hand against tight liquidity, meaning they are unlikely to build considerable input stocks for the rest of January.
What’s worse, severe losses arising from falling aluminum prices are pushing aluminum smelters to either cut production or push for lower alumina prices.
Last week, alumina traded at 2,700 yuan per tonne in Shanxi, versus 2,650-2,700 yuan per tonne in Guangxi, and was offered at 2,750 yuan per tonne in Henan.
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