America Merrill Lynch bullish on gold in 2015

Published: Jan 21, 2015 17:07
As economic weakness in China and Europe continues to dampen global growth prospects, Bank of America Merrill Lynch has revised some of its previous forecasts slightly higher, including gold.
UNITED STATES January 21 2015 1:15 PM
 
NEW YORK (Scrap Register): As economic weakness in China and Europe continues to dampen global growth prospects, Bank of America Merrill Lynch has revised some of its previous forecasts slightly higher, including gold. 
 
BofAML reinforces their view that gold prices are stabilising this year and adding that they expect gold prices to average around $1,238 an ounce in 2015, up 1% from its previous forecast of $1,225 an ounce. 
 
Looking at the metal’s price on a quarterly basis, BofAML expects gold to be weakest in the second quarter of this year, at $1,150 an ounce, and strongest in the fourth quarter, at $1,300 an ounce.
 
The American bank highlights subdued mine supply growth, sustained demand from emerging markets and uncertainty in the marketplace as main drivers for higher gold prices this year. Some risks include a deterioration of investor sentiment, a rise in interest rates, strong equity markets and increased scrap supply, among others. 
 
However, BofAML is still optimistic about the global economy this year, which may hinder a further rise in gold prices. They still believe that global growth will pick up towards the second half of this year.

Data Source Statement: Except for publicly available information, all other data are processed by SMM based on publicly available information, market communication, and relying on SMM's internal database model. They are for reference only and do not constitute decision-making recommendations.

For any inquiries or for more information, please contact: lemonzhao@smm.cn
For more information on how to access our research reports, please contact:service.en@smm.cn
Related News
Guangxi Typhoon Has No Immediate Impact on Local Zinc Smelter Production
11 hours ago
Guangxi Typhoon Has No Immediate Impact on Local Zinc Smelter Production
Read More
Guangxi Typhoon Has No Immediate Impact on Local Zinc Smelter Production
Guangxi Typhoon Has No Immediate Impact on Local Zinc Smelter Production
Affected by the 10th typhoon this year, "Maysak," many areas in Guangxi were hit by continuous heavy rainfall. Places including Fangchenggang, Qinzhou, Guigang, and Nanning experienced rainstorms to heavy rainstorms, with locally extreme rainstorms, causing severe waterlogging in some urban areas, surging river levels, and risks at multiple reservoirs. Based on this, SMM conducted a survey of zinc smelters in Guangxi and learned that production has not been affected yet, but severe port waterlogging has hindered the transportation of raw materials and finished products. It is also learned that in July, some lead-zinc mines in Guangxi have already suspended production for maintenance due to the impact of the rainy season.
11 hours ago
Data: SHFE, DCE market movement (Jul 06)
12 hours ago
Data: SHFE, DCE market movement (Jul 06)
Read More
Data: SHFE, DCE market movement (Jul 06)
Data: SHFE, DCE market movement (Jul 06)
The following table shows the ferrous and nonferrous metals movement on the SHFE and DCE on 06 Jul , 2026
12 hours ago
[SMM Analysis] H1 '26 Sulfur Industry Chain Review: Extreme Volatility Under Supply Shocks.
12 hours ago
[SMM Analysis] H1 '26 Sulfur Industry Chain Review: Extreme Volatility Under Supply Shocks.
Read More
[SMM Analysis] H1 '26 Sulfur Industry Chain Review: Extreme Volatility Under Supply Shocks.
[SMM Analysis] H1 '26 Sulfur Industry Chain Review: Extreme Volatility Under Supply Shocks.
The essence of this supply crunch is a "three-layered squeeze": Layer 1: Physical cutoff – the Hormuz blockade severed Middle Eastern supply, halting nearly half of global seaborne trade. Layer 2: Policy lockdown – overlapping export bans from Russia, Kazakhstan, and Turkey blocked alternative supply sources, further tightening global tradable volumes. Layer 3: Capacity and inventory collapse – war-damaged Middle Eastern production facilities are slow to restart.
12 hours ago