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47% of Chinese Zinc Smelters Pessimistic About Zinc Prices, SMM Survey Shows

iconJul 8, 2014 10:17
Source:SMM
47% of major Chinese zinc smelters holds a bearish outlook for zinc prices this week, Shanghai Metals Market survey shows.

SHANGHAI, Jul. 8 (SMM) – 47% of major Chinese zinc smelters holds a bearish outlook for zinc prices this week, Shanghai Metals Market survey shows.  

In June, LME zinc prices soared by nearly 8%, and the average price of SMM #0 zinc rose to 15,407.5 yuan ($2,493.34) per tonne, up 229 yuan per tonne, hitting a 16-month high. The latest SMM survey, however, shows that major surveyed domestic zinc smelters are cautiously pessimistic toward zinc prices. 

The pessimists understand that LME zinc prices will come under downward pressures after rising by nearly 7% over the past three weeks, according to latest SMM survey of 41 major domestic zinc smelters, with capacity totaling 5.69 million tonnes. The cash-to-three-month contango and a low-demand season in China also weigh down market sentiment, and the gains without demand support will be short-lived, they told SMM.    
 
SMM survey also finds 33% of participants are bullish, thinking LME zinc prices will rise further for the foreseeable future. Negative impact from China’s probe into financing fraud at the Port of Qingdao has wound down, and upbeat results from China and US, and positive comments by Chinese leader also boost their confidence. 
 
The rest 20% take a neutral attitude towards zinc price. Inventories in Shanghai, Guangdong and Tianjin continued to fall slightly, but it is now a off-season for zinc, and they expect zinc prices to hover at highs in the short term, according to SMM survey. 
 
 
China zinc price forecast
zinc price outlook
SMM survey

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