Metals News
PRECIOUS-Gold Down 5 Pct in Global Rout on U.S. Fed Stimulus Fears
industry news
Jun 21,2013
* Rising U.S. bond yields hit gold's appeal
* Scaled back Fed bond buys possible in 2013
* SPDR Gold exchange-traded fund holdings at 4-year low
NEW YORK/LONDON, June 20 - Gold plunged over 5 percent to its lowest in three years on Thursday, leading a global market rout one day after the U.S. Federal Reserve gave its most explicit signal yet it plans to wind down the era of easy money.
Losses snowballed throughout the day, triggering technical selling below key support at $1,320 an ounce and culminating in one of bullion's biggest routs since the 2008 economic crisis. Technical analysts said prices might have to fall another 6 percent before finding new support at $1,200.
Signs of financial stress in China added to the pressure, with China's shortest-term rates hitting record highs as the central bank ignored market pressure to inject funds into the market, despite new evidence that the world's second-largest economy is slowing. 
But the primary impetus was Fed chief Ben Bernanke's remarks on a possible scale back of the stimulus program later this year, which spurred a surge in benchmark U.S. bond yields that drove gold deeper into bear market territory. Silver plunged nearly 8 percent. U.S. stocks fell 2.5 percent and oil tumbled 4 percent.
"People had been going into gold, commodities and equities because the bond yields were so low. Now, with bond yield rising we are beginning to see liquidation out of gold and into cash," said Jeffrey Sica, chief investment officer at Sica Wealth which oversees over $1 billion in clients' assets.
Bullion, a non-yield bearing asset and a traditional inflation hedge, tends to be particularly sensitive to interest rate changes compared with other riskier assets such as equities.
Spot gold was down 5.2 percent at $1,280.54 an ounce by 4:28 p.m. EDT (2028 GMT), having hit $1,276.19, which marked its lowest level since Sept. 21, 2010.
The Thomson-Reuters/Jefferies CRB commodities index dropped 3 percent, while benchmark U.S. 10-year bond yields rose to the highest levels since August 2011, with few signs of when the trend will end.   
U.S. Comex gold futures for August delivery settled down $87.80 an ounce at $1,286.20, with trading volume already surpassing 360,000 lots, on what might be the highest daily turnover in nearly a month, preliminary Reuters data showed.
Gold is now more than 30 percent below its record high of $1,920.30 an ounce, set in September 2011.
Analysts said gold is on weak technical ground, with few levels to support prices until they go below $1,200 an ounce, after its sharp pullback to a near three-year low on Thursday.
Spot gold's 14-day relative strength index dropped to 25, below 30, which marks the area traditionally seen as over-sold territory.
Some analysts said, however, that gold could benefit should the U.S. economy worsen or not improve fast enough, prompting the Fed to suspend plans to taper monetary stimulus.
"Weaker data in the coming months could push back unwinding, lower yields and thereby support gold," said James Steel, chief precious metals analyst at HSBC.
Signs of the end of the Fed's mortgage-bond buybacks known as quantitative easing, the single-most important driver of gold, have helped push prices down more than 20 percent this year after 12 straight years of gains. 
Heavy selling by institutional investors also showed no signs of abating. Bullion holdings in the world's biggest gold exchange-traded fund SPDR Gold Trust fell 0.2 percent to their lowest in four years. 
Silver was the biggest decliner among the precious metals, sliding nearly 8 percent to $19.64 an ounce, having hit a low of $19.58 an ounce, its weakest since September 2010. 
Platinum dropped 3.6 percent to $1,359.50 an ounce, while spot palladium slid 4.7 percent to $661.25 an ounce.
 4:28 PM EDT     LAST/    NET   PCT      LOW    HIGH  CURRENT
                SETTLE   CHNG  CHNG                       VOL
 US Gold AUG   1286.20 -87.80  -6.4  1275.40 1351.20  347,943
 US Silver JUL  19.823 -1.800  -8.3   19.535  21.280  116,037
 US Plat JUL   1363.80 -60.10  -4.2  1355.20 1419.20   23,244
 US Pall SEP    665.10 -31.30  -4.5   660.65  695.50    6,757
 Gold          1280.54 -70.15  -5.2  1277.03 1351.06         
 Silver         19.640 -1.670  -7.8   19.580  21.330
 Platinum      1359.50 -50.50  -3.6  1359.50 1416.74
 Palladium      661.25 -32.75  -4.7   664.25  693.00
 TOTAL MARKET              VOLUME          30-D ATM VOLATILITY
                CURRENT   30D AVG  250D AVG   CURRENT     CHG
 US Gold        367,191   210,063   180,458     26.09    4.36
 US Silver      163,325    55,038    56,645      32.3    1.07
 US Platinum     28,563    13,464    11,737      21.9   -0.01
 US Palladium     6,826     6,451     5,566                  
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