Copper Down on Fed Minutes, U.S. Data Limits Falls-Shanghai Metals Market

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Copper Down on Fed Minutes, U.S. Data Limits Falls

Industry News 09:10:06AM Jan 05, 2013 Source:SMM

LONDON, Jan 4 (Reuters) - Copper fell on Friday as the dollar rose after the U.S. Federal Reserve flagged concerns about the risks of its stimulative monetary policy, but falls in metals were limited by data showing U.S. jobs growth in line with forecasts.

The minutes from the U.S. central bank's December policy meeting, published on Thursday, showed some policymakers want to slow or stop its asset purchase plan before the end of this year, due to worries about financial stability.

The Fed's monetary easing programme has been a big factor underpinning risk appetite, and has kept the U.S. currency supported.

But the dollar pared gains after data showed the pace of hiring by U.S. employers eased slightly in December, growing by 155,000 last month, broadly in line with analysts forecasts.

Three-month copper on the London Metal Exchange traded at $8,085 a tonne at the close, down from a close of $8,154 on Thursday. It bounced off its intraday lows of $8,058 following the release of the U.S. employment data.

"The non-farm payroll numbers are in-line with forecasts and we saw markets lift slightly just after the release came out, but the numbers did not really surprise one way or the other," said Edward Meir, analyst at INTL FCStone.

"So the focus now turns back to the U.S. fiscal issues that are left outstanding and the surprising minutes from the Fed."

A stronger dollar makes dollar-based assets more expensive for non-dollar investors.

Copper is still heading for a 2.9 percent gain this week, after surging to its highest in more than two months on Wednesday in a broad financial markets rally after the U.S. Congress struck a deal to avert automatic spending cuts and tax hikes.

"I guess there was some exuberance, because the U.S. did not fall off the cliff. But there is not much consumer business at the moment and none of the physical players are rushing back into the market and booking metal," Citi analyst David Wilson said.

"We need to settle and get more positive macro data under our belts to see in which direction we're heading."
   
China Data Eyed
Next week, China is expected to release data on inflation, trade and new loans, which will offer insight into the health of an economy that is a top consumer of many raw materials, including copper.

"We won't see the high-speed growth in China as in the past," said a Shanghai-based trader. "We are still in the post-crisis mode and the global recovery is slow and fragile, which doesn't support a major rally in copper."

In other metals, three-month zinc was untraded, but bid at $2,040 from $2,088 at the close on Thursday, lead closed at $2,335 from a last bid of $2,399 and aluminium  was last bid at $2,060 from $2,116.

Nickel closed at $17,350 from $17,500 and tin at $23,800 from $23,980.
   
 Metal Prices at 1705 GMT
 Comex copper in cents/lb, LME prices in $/T and SHFE prices in yuan/T
  Metal            Last      Change  Pct Move   End 2012   Ytd Pct
                                                              move
  COMEX Cu       368.00       -3.05     -0.82     365.25      0.75
  LME Alum      2065.25      -50.75     -2.40    2073.00     -0.37
  LME Cu        8099.25      -54.75     -0.67    7931.00      2.12
  LME Lead      2339.00        4.00     +0.17    2330.00      0.39
  LME Nickel   17385.00     -115.00     -0.66   17060.00      1.91
  LME Tin      23760.00     -220.00     -0.92   23400.00      1.54
  LME Zinc      2046.25      -41.75     -2.00    2080.00     -1.62
  SHFE Alu     15315.00      -50.00     -0.33   15435.00     -0.78
  SHFE Cu*     58210.00      440.00     +0.76   57690.00      0.90
  SHFE Zin     15540.00       20.00     +0.13   15625.00     -0.54
 ** Benchmark month for COMEX copper
 

Key Words:  copper prices   Fed minutes   US data  

Copper Down on Fed Minutes, U.S. Data Limits Falls

Industry News 09:10:06AM Jan 05, 2013 Source:SMM

LONDON, Jan 4 (Reuters) - Copper fell on Friday as the dollar rose after the U.S. Federal Reserve flagged concerns about the risks of its stimulative monetary policy, but falls in metals were limited by data showing U.S. jobs growth in line with forecasts.

The minutes from the U.S. central bank's December policy meeting, published on Thursday, showed some policymakers want to slow or stop its asset purchase plan before the end of this year, due to worries about financial stability.

The Fed's monetary easing programme has been a big factor underpinning risk appetite, and has kept the U.S. currency supported.

But the dollar pared gains after data showed the pace of hiring by U.S. employers eased slightly in December, growing by 155,000 last month, broadly in line with analysts forecasts.

Three-month copper on the London Metal Exchange traded at $8,085 a tonne at the close, down from a close of $8,154 on Thursday. It bounced off its intraday lows of $8,058 following the release of the U.S. employment data.

"The non-farm payroll numbers are in-line with forecasts and we saw markets lift slightly just after the release came out, but the numbers did not really surprise one way or the other," said Edward Meir, analyst at INTL FCStone.

"So the focus now turns back to the U.S. fiscal issues that are left outstanding and the surprising minutes from the Fed."

A stronger dollar makes dollar-based assets more expensive for non-dollar investors.

Copper is still heading for a 2.9 percent gain this week, after surging to its highest in more than two months on Wednesday in a broad financial markets rally after the U.S. Congress struck a deal to avert automatic spending cuts and tax hikes.

"I guess there was some exuberance, because the U.S. did not fall off the cliff. But there is not much consumer business at the moment and none of the physical players are rushing back into the market and booking metal," Citi analyst David Wilson said.

"We need to settle and get more positive macro data under our belts to see in which direction we're heading."
   
China Data Eyed
Next week, China is expected to release data on inflation, trade and new loans, which will offer insight into the health of an economy that is a top consumer of many raw materials, including copper.

"We won't see the high-speed growth in China as in the past," said a Shanghai-based trader. "We are still in the post-crisis mode and the global recovery is slow and fragile, which doesn't support a major rally in copper."

In other metals, three-month zinc was untraded, but bid at $2,040 from $2,088 at the close on Thursday, lead closed at $2,335 from a last bid of $2,399 and aluminium  was last bid at $2,060 from $2,116.

Nickel closed at $17,350 from $17,500 and tin at $23,800 from $23,980.
   
 Metal Prices at 1705 GMT
 Comex copper in cents/lb, LME prices in $/T and SHFE prices in yuan/T
  Metal            Last      Change  Pct Move   End 2012   Ytd Pct
                                                              move
  COMEX Cu       368.00       -3.05     -0.82     365.25      0.75
  LME Alum      2065.25      -50.75     -2.40    2073.00     -0.37
  LME Cu        8099.25      -54.75     -0.67    7931.00      2.12
  LME Lead      2339.00        4.00     +0.17    2330.00      0.39
  LME Nickel   17385.00     -115.00     -0.66   17060.00      1.91
  LME Tin      23760.00     -220.00     -0.92   23400.00      1.54
  LME Zinc      2046.25      -41.75     -2.00    2080.00     -1.62
  SHFE Alu     15315.00      -50.00     -0.33   15435.00     -0.78
  SHFE Cu*     58210.00      440.00     +0.76   57690.00      0.90
  SHFE Zin     15540.00       20.00     +0.13   15625.00     -0.54
 ** Benchmark month for COMEX copper
 

Key Words:  copper prices   Fed minutes   US data