Iron Ore-Low Spot Bids as Rates Seen Falling Further-Shanghai Metals Market

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Iron Ore-Low Spot Bids as Rates Seen Falling Further

Price Review & Forecast 01:46:31PM Jun 28, 2012 Source:SMM

* Weak China steel market keeping buyers' hands off iron ore
* Iron ore peak capped at $160/T in H2, says poll
[ID:nL4E8GL0HX}

SINGAPORE, June 28 (Reuters) - Bids for spot iron ore cargoes remained weak on Thursday as sluggish steel prices in top market China gave mills less reason to stock up on the raw material.

Iron ore prices are down more than 8 percent in the current quarter amid slower demand from China, where steel demand has been curbed by a slowdown in economic activity, with some buyers anticipating further price weakness.

A Reuters poll showed iron ore prices would only stage a mild rebound in the second half of the year as China's efforts to revive growth and steel demand would be checked by increased supply, including from top exporter Australia.

Miner BHP Billiton Ltd  was offering 80,000 tonnes of 62-percent grade iron ore at $137 per tonne on the GlobalOre trading platform, with the best bid at a low $129.50, said a Singapore-based trader.

That suggested buyers were expecting a further decline in prices, the trader said.

Price offers for imported cargoes in China were steady on Thursday, according to industry consultancy Umetal.

"There are some cargoes on offer, but I don't think buyers are willing to take them at current levels," said a Shanghai-based trader.

Benchmark iron ore with 62-percent iron content .IO62-CNI=SI was unchanged at $135.40 per tonne on Wednesday, according to Steel Index, following two straight days of falls.

The price rose for 10 consecutive days up to last Thursday, its longest winning streak since mid-November, as traders bet that high steel output in China would push mills back into the spot market to restock.

Iron ore and steel prices in China usually move in tandem, but the recent rally in iron ore was not backed by steel prices, which have been largely unchanged.

If that trend persists, iron ore prices could go back up again soon as falling rates draw back buyers. But any gains will be curtailed unless steel prices rebound significantly.

"Assuming steel prices remain the same, we should expect iron ore prices to fall by another $1-$2 and then we'll see some stability before it goes back up," said a trader in Hong Kong. "But it will be a very narrow trading band for iron ore over the next one month, maybe between $5-$7, unless we see some sharp lift in steel prices."

The most active rebar contract for October delivery on the Shanghai Futures Exchange rose marginally on Thursday after a four-day slide, but is still down nearly 6 percent for the quarter.

It was up 0.3 percent at 4,073 yuan ($640) per tonne by the midday break, after touching a three-week low of 4,060 yuan on Wednesday.
   
  Shanghai rebar futures and iron ore indexes at 0431 GMT
                                                                                             
  Contract                          Last    Change   Pct Change
  SHFE REBAR OCT2                   4073    +10.00        +0.25
  PLATTS 62 PCT INDEX             136.75     -0.75        -0.55
  THE STEEL INDEX 62 PCT INDEX     135.4     +0.00        +0.00
  METAL BULLETIN INDEX            136.73     -0.89        -0.65
                                                                                             
  Rebar in yuan/tonne
  Index in dollars/tonne, show close for the previous trading day
 ($1 = 6.3554 Chinese yuan)

Key Words:  iron ore   iron ore price 

Iron Ore-Low Spot Bids as Rates Seen Falling Further

Price Review & Forecast 01:46:31PM Jun 28, 2012 Source:SMM

* Weak China steel market keeping buyers' hands off iron ore
* Iron ore peak capped at $160/T in H2, says poll
[ID:nL4E8GL0HX}

SINGAPORE, June 28 (Reuters) - Bids for spot iron ore cargoes remained weak on Thursday as sluggish steel prices in top market China gave mills less reason to stock up on the raw material.

Iron ore prices are down more than 8 percent in the current quarter amid slower demand from China, where steel demand has been curbed by a slowdown in economic activity, with some buyers anticipating further price weakness.

A Reuters poll showed iron ore prices would only stage a mild rebound in the second half of the year as China's efforts to revive growth and steel demand would be checked by increased supply, including from top exporter Australia.

Miner BHP Billiton Ltd  was offering 80,000 tonnes of 62-percent grade iron ore at $137 per tonne on the GlobalOre trading platform, with the best bid at a low $129.50, said a Singapore-based trader.

That suggested buyers were expecting a further decline in prices, the trader said.

Price offers for imported cargoes in China were steady on Thursday, according to industry consultancy Umetal.

"There are some cargoes on offer, but I don't think buyers are willing to take them at current levels," said a Shanghai-based trader.

Benchmark iron ore with 62-percent iron content .IO62-CNI=SI was unchanged at $135.40 per tonne on Wednesday, according to Steel Index, following two straight days of falls.

The price rose for 10 consecutive days up to last Thursday, its longest winning streak since mid-November, as traders bet that high steel output in China would push mills back into the spot market to restock.

Iron ore and steel prices in China usually move in tandem, but the recent rally in iron ore was not backed by steel prices, which have been largely unchanged.

If that trend persists, iron ore prices could go back up again soon as falling rates draw back buyers. But any gains will be curtailed unless steel prices rebound significantly.

"Assuming steel prices remain the same, we should expect iron ore prices to fall by another $1-$2 and then we'll see some stability before it goes back up," said a trader in Hong Kong. "But it will be a very narrow trading band for iron ore over the next one month, maybe between $5-$7, unless we see some sharp lift in steel prices."

The most active rebar contract for October delivery on the Shanghai Futures Exchange rose marginally on Thursday after a four-day slide, but is still down nearly 6 percent for the quarter.

It was up 0.3 percent at 4,073 yuan ($640) per tonne by the midday break, after touching a three-week low of 4,060 yuan on Wednesday.
   
  Shanghai rebar futures and iron ore indexes at 0431 GMT
                                                                                             
  Contract                          Last    Change   Pct Change
  SHFE REBAR OCT2                   4073    +10.00        +0.25
  PLATTS 62 PCT INDEX             136.75     -0.75        -0.55
  THE STEEL INDEX 62 PCT INDEX     135.4     +0.00        +0.00
  METAL BULLETIN INDEX            136.73     -0.89        -0.65
                                                                                             
  Rebar in yuan/tonne
  Index in dollars/tonne, show close for the previous trading day
 ($1 = 6.3554 Chinese yuan)

Key Words:  iron ore   iron ore price