Rising Copper Prices Reduce New Orders, Downstream Raw Material Restocking [SMM North China Copper Spot]

[SMM Shanghai Spot Copper] Looking ahead to tomorrow, SHFE copper prices are expected to rise intraday and remain at a relatively high level. Coupled with the futures contract rollover, trading activity is likely to be muted, reflecting that the current price level is significantly suppressing real demand. After the rollover, the market will officially price around the 2607 contract, and close attention should be paid to the outflow of unmatched warrants. However, open interest for the SHFE copper 2606 contract currently stands at approximately 5,500 lots, indicating limited delivery participation. The concentrated release of warrants is therefore expected to exert relatively limited additional pressure on spot discounts. Supported by delivery-related dynamics, Shanghai spot copper discounts did not see a sharp decline. But if copper prices remain at current highs and demand fails to improve effectively, spot premiums may come under downward pressure.

[SMM North China Copper Cathode Market] Intraday copper prices rebounded, and downstream new orders showed a slowdown. However, as copper semis downstream gradually fulfilled orders placed after the previous copper price weakness, enterprises picked up goods today to restock copper cathode raw material.