Drivers of Iron Phosphate Price Rise in April: Cost Push or Supply-Demand Restructuring?

๊ฒŒ์‹œ๋จ: Apr 2, 2026 07:22
Iron phosphate negotiations in April were deadlocked, with offers hitting 13,000 yuan/mt. The price surge appeared raw-material driven, but in fact reflected pricing power shifting upstream after a reversal in supply-demand fundamentals. Downstream buyers cited โ€œcost increasesโ€ to push back, yet conveniently forgot the upstream losses quietly absorbed over the past three years. This was never about simple cost pass-throughโ€”it was a restructuring of profit distribution across the chain.

๋ฐ์ดํ„ฐ ์ถœ์ฒ˜ ์„ค๋ช…: ๊ณต๊ฐœ ์ •๋ณด๋ฅผ ์ œ์™ธํ•œ ๋ชจ๋“  ๋ฐ์ดํ„ฐ๋Š” SMM์ด ๊ณต๊ฐœ ์ •๋ณด, ์‹œ์žฅ ์ปค๋ฎค๋‹ˆ์ผ€์ด์…˜ ๋ฐ SMM ๋‚ด๋ถ€ ๋ฐ์ดํ„ฐ๋ฒ ์ด์Šค ๋ชจ๋ธ์„ ๊ธฐ๋ฐ˜์œผ๋กœ ๊ฐ€๊ณตํ•œ ๊ฒƒ์ž…๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ๋ณธ ์ž๋ฃŒ๋Š” ์ฐธ๊ณ ์šฉ์ด๋ฉฐ ์˜์‚ฌ๊ฒฐ์ • ๊ถŒ๊ณ ๋ฅผ ๊ตฌ์„ฑํ•˜์ง€ ์•Š์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.

๋ฌธ์˜ ์‚ฌํ•ญ์ด ์žˆ๊ฑฐ๋‚˜ ์ž์„ธํ•œ ์ •๋ณด๋ฅผ ์›ํ•˜์‹œ๋ฉด ์•„๋ž˜๋กœ ์—ฐ๋ฝํ•ด ์ฃผ์‹œ๊ธฐ ๋ฐ”๋ž๋‹ˆ๋‹ค: lemonzhao@smm.cn
๋ฆฌ์„œ์น˜ ๋ณด๊ณ ์„œ ์—ด๋žŒ ๋ฐฉ๋ฒ•์— ๋Œ€ํ•œ ์ž์„ธํ•œ ๋‚ด์šฉ์€ ์•„๋ž˜๋กœ ๋ฌธ์˜ํ•˜์‹œ๊ธฐ ๋ฐ”๋ž๋‹ˆ๋‹ค:service.en@smm.cn
๊ด€๋ จ ๋‰ด์Šค
[๋ฆฌํŠฌ ๋ฐฐํ„ฐ๋ฆฌ: ํƒ€์ž„์Šค BAIC ๋ฐฐํ„ฐ๋ฆฌ ๊ณต์žฅ ์ฒซ ์…€ ์ƒ์‚ฐ ๊ฐœ์‹œ]
5์‹œ๊ฐ„ ์ „
[๋ฆฌํŠฌ ๋ฐฐํ„ฐ๋ฆฌ: ํƒ€์ž„์Šค BAIC ๋ฐฐํ„ฐ๋ฆฌ ๊ณต์žฅ ์ฒซ ์…€ ์ƒ์‚ฐ ๊ฐœ์‹œ]
๋” ๋ณด๊ธฐ
[๋ฆฌํŠฌ ๋ฐฐํ„ฐ๋ฆฌ: ํƒ€์ž„์Šค BAIC ๋ฐฐํ„ฐ๋ฆฌ ๊ณต์žฅ ์ฒซ ์…€ ์ƒ์‚ฐ ๊ฐœ์‹œ]
[๋ฆฌํŠฌ ๋ฐฐํ„ฐ๋ฆฌ: ํƒ€์ž„์Šค BAIC ๋ฐฐํ„ฐ๋ฆฌ ๊ณต์žฅ ์ฒซ ์…€ ์ƒ์‚ฐ ๊ฐœ์‹œ]
์ตœ๊ทผ ํƒ€์ž„์ฆˆ BAIC(๋ฒ ์ด์ง•) ๋‰ด์—๋„ˆ์ง€ ๊ธฐ์ˆ  ์œ ํ•œํšŒ์‚ฌ ๋ฐฐํ„ฐ๋ฆฌ ๊ณต์žฅ์—์„œ ์ฒซ ์…€์ด ์ƒ์‚ฐ ๋ผ์ธ์„ ํ†ต๊ณผํ•˜๋ฉฐ ์–‘์‚ฐ ๋‹จ๊ณ„์˜ ์‹œ์ž‘์„ ์•Œ๋ ธ๋‹ค. ํƒ€์ž„์ฆˆ BAIC๋Š” CATL, BAIC ๊ทธ๋ฃน, ๋ฒ ์ด์ง• ์—๋„ˆ์ง€ ๊ทธ๋ฃน, ์ƒค์˜ค๋ฏธ ๊ทธ๋ฃน์ด ๊ณต๋™ ํˆฌ์žยท๊ฑด์„คํ–ˆ๋‹ค. ํ˜„์žฌ ๊ณต์žฅ ๊ฑด์„ค์€ ๋ง‰๋ฐ”์ง€์— ์žˆ์œผ๋ฉฐ, ๋‘ ๋ฒˆ์งธ ์ƒ์‚ฐ ๋ผ์ธ ์žฅ๋น„๊ฐ€ ์‹œ์šด์ „ ์ค‘์ด๋‹ค. ์ „๋ฉด ์ƒ์‚ฐ์€ 8์›”๋ถ€ํ„ฐ ์‹œ์ž‘๋  ์ „๋ง์ด๋‹ค. 2026๋…„ ์—ฐ๊ฐ„ ์…€ ์ƒ์‚ฐ๋Ÿ‰์€ 7.5GWh๋กœ ์˜ˆ์ƒ๋œ๋‹ค. ํ”„๋กœ์ ํŠธ๊ฐ€ ์™„์ „ ์ƒ์‚ฐ ๋Šฅ๋ ฅ์— ๋„๋‹ฌํ•˜๋ฉด ์—ฐ๊ฐ„ 15GWh์˜ ์ „๋ ฅ ๋ฐฐํ„ฐ๋ฆฌ ์ƒ์‚ฐ ๋Šฅ๋ ฅ์„ ๊ฐ–์ถ”๊ฒŒ ๋˜์–ด, BAIC์™€ ์ƒค์˜ค๋ฏธ ๋“ฑ ๋ฒ ์ด์ง•-ํ†ˆ์ง„-ํ—ˆ๋ฒ ์ด ์™„์„ฑ์ฐจ ์ œ์กฐ์‚ฌ์˜ ์ œํ’ˆ ๊ฒฝ์Ÿ๋ ฅ๊ณผ ๋น„์šฉ ์šฐ์œ„๋ฅผ ๋Œ€ํญ ๊ฐ•ํ™”ํ•  ๊ฒƒ์ด๋‹ค.
5์‹œ๊ฐ„ ์ „
[๋ฆฌํŠฌ ๋ฐฐํ„ฐ๋ฆฌ: ์ „๊ตญ ์ตœ๋Œ€ ๊ทœ๋ชจ์˜ ๋‹จ์ผ ์Šคํ…Œ์ด์…˜ ์ฐจ๋Ÿ‰-์ „๋ ฅ๋ง(V2G) ํ”Œ๋ž˜์‹œ ์ถฉ์ „ ์‹œ๋ฒ”์†Œ ๊ฐ€๋™]
5์‹œ๊ฐ„ ์ „
[๋ฆฌํŠฌ ๋ฐฐํ„ฐ๋ฆฌ: ์ „๊ตญ ์ตœ๋Œ€ ๊ทœ๋ชจ์˜ ๋‹จ์ผ ์Šคํ…Œ์ด์…˜ ์ฐจ๋Ÿ‰-์ „๋ ฅ๋ง(V2G) ํ”Œ๋ž˜์‹œ ์ถฉ์ „ ์‹œ๋ฒ”์†Œ ๊ฐ€๋™]
๋” ๋ณด๊ธฐ
[๋ฆฌํŠฌ ๋ฐฐํ„ฐ๋ฆฌ: ์ „๊ตญ ์ตœ๋Œ€ ๊ทœ๋ชจ์˜ ๋‹จ์ผ ์Šคํ…Œ์ด์…˜ ์ฐจ๋Ÿ‰-์ „๋ ฅ๋ง(V2G) ํ”Œ๋ž˜์‹œ ์ถฉ์ „ ์‹œ๋ฒ”์†Œ ๊ฐ€๋™]
[๋ฆฌํŠฌ ๋ฐฐํ„ฐ๋ฆฌ: ์ „๊ตญ ์ตœ๋Œ€ ๊ทœ๋ชจ์˜ ๋‹จ์ผ ์Šคํ…Œ์ด์…˜ ์ฐจ๋Ÿ‰-์ „๋ ฅ๋ง(V2G) ํ”Œ๋ž˜์‹œ ์ถฉ์ „ ์‹œ๋ฒ”์†Œ ๊ฐ€๋™]
6์›” 9์ผ, ์ค‘๊ตญ ๋‚จ๋ฐฉ์ „๋ง ์„ ์ „ ๊ด‘๋ฐ ํ™์ฐจ์˜ค ๊ณต์› ํ”Œ๋ž˜์‹œ ์ถฉ์ „ ์‹œ๋ฒ”์†Œ 2๋‹จ๊ณ„๊ฐ€ ๊ณต์‹ ์šด์˜์— ๋“ค์–ด๊ฐ”์œผ๋ฉฐ, 14๊ธฐ์˜ ์ƒˆ๋กœ์šด V2G(์ฐจ๋Ÿ‰-์ „๋ ฅ๋ง) ์ถฉ์ „ ํŒŒ์ผ์ด ์ถ”๊ฐ€๋˜์—ˆ๋‹ค. ์ด ์‹œ๋ฒ”์†Œ๋Š” ๊ตญ๋‚ด ์ตœ๋Œ€ ๊ทœ๋ชจ์˜ ๋‹จ์ผ ์Šคํ…Œ์ด์…˜ ๋ฉ”๊ฐ€์™€ํŠธ๊ธ‰ ์ฐจ๋Ÿ‰-์ „๋ ฅ๋ง ํ”Œ๋ž˜์‹œ ์ถฉ์ „ ์‹œ๋ฒ”์†Œ๋กœ ์ž๋ฆฌ์žก์•˜๋‹ค. ์‹œ๋ฒ”์†Œ์˜ ์ตœ๋Œ€ ๋‹จ์ผ ์ถฉ์ „ยท๋ฐฉ์ „ ์ „๋ ฅ ์šฉ๋Ÿ‰์€ 4.21๋ฉ”๊ฐ€์™€ํŠธ์— ๋‹ฌํ•˜๋ฉฐ, ๋™์‹œ์— 61๋Œ€์˜ ์‹ ์—๋„ˆ์ง€ ์ฐจ๋Ÿ‰ ์ถฉยท๋ฐฉ์ „ ์ž‘์—…์„ ์ˆ˜์šฉํ•  ์ˆ˜ ์žˆ๋‹ค. ๋˜ํ•œ, ์ค‘๊ตญ ๋‚จ๋ฐฉ์ „๋ง ์‚ฐํ•˜ ์ตœ์ดˆ๋กœ ์ „๋ ฅ ์ ๊ฒ€ ๋“œ๋ก  ๋‘ฅ์ง€๋ฅผ ํ†ตํ•ฉํ•œ ํ”Œ๋ž˜์‹œ ์ถฉ์ „ ์Šคํ…Œ์ด์…˜์ด๋‹ค.
5์‹œ๊ฐ„ ์ „
์ œ๋„ˆ๋Ÿด ๋ชจํ„ฐ์Šค๋Š” ๋‚˜ํŠธ๋ฅจ ์ด์˜จ ๋ฐฐํ„ฐ๋ฆฌ ๊ฐœ๋ฐœ์„ ๊ณ„ํšํ•˜๊ณ  ์žˆ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.
6์‹œ๊ฐ„ ์ „
์ œ๋„ˆ๋Ÿด ๋ชจํ„ฐ์Šค๋Š” ๋‚˜ํŠธ๋ฅจ ์ด์˜จ ๋ฐฐํ„ฐ๋ฆฌ ๊ฐœ๋ฐœ์„ ๊ณ„ํšํ•˜๊ณ  ์žˆ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.
๋” ๋ณด๊ธฐ
์ œ๋„ˆ๋Ÿด ๋ชจํ„ฐ์Šค๋Š” ๋‚˜ํŠธ๋ฅจ ์ด์˜จ ๋ฐฐํ„ฐ๋ฆฌ ๊ฐœ๋ฐœ์„ ๊ณ„ํšํ•˜๊ณ  ์žˆ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.
์ œ๋„ˆ๋Ÿด ๋ชจํ„ฐ์Šค๋Š” ๋‚˜ํŠธ๋ฅจ ์ด์˜จ ๋ฐฐํ„ฐ๋ฆฌ ๊ฐœ๋ฐœ์„ ๊ณ„ํšํ•˜๊ณ  ์žˆ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.
ํ˜„์ง€์‹œ๊ฐ„ 6์›” 9์ผ, ์ œ๋„ˆ๋Ÿด ๋ชจํ„ฐ์Šค์™€ ๋ฏธ๊ตญ ์ „๋ ฅ๋ง ์—๋„ˆ์ง€ ์ €์žฅ ๊ธฐ์—… ํ”ผํฌ ์—๋„ˆ์ง€๋Š” ์ „๋ ฅ๋ง ์ €์žฅ์šฉ ์ฐจ์„ธ๋Œ€ ๋‚˜ํŠธ๋ฅจ ์ด์˜จ ๋ฐฐํ„ฐ๋ฆฌ ์…€์„ ๊ณต๋™ ๊ฐœ๋ฐœ ๋ฐ ๋ฐฐ์น˜ํ•œ๋‹ค๊ณ  ๋ฐœํ‘œํ–ˆ๋‹ค. ์ด๋ฒˆ ๊ณ„์•ฝ์— ๋”ฐ๋ผ ์ œ๋„ˆ๋Ÿด ๋ชจํ„ฐ์Šค๋Š” ๋ฏธ์‹œ๊ฐ„ ๋ฐฐํ„ฐ๋ฆฌ ์—ฐ๊ตฌ์†Œ์—์„œ ๋‚˜ํŠธ๋ฅจ ์ด์˜จ ์…€ ์—ฐ๊ตฌ๊ฐœ๋ฐœ์„ ๋งก๊ณ  ํ•ด๋‹น ์…€์˜ ๋…์  ์ œ์กฐ๊ถŒ์„ ๋ณด์œ ํ•˜๋ฉฐ, ํ”ผํฌ ์—๋„ˆ์ง€๋Š” ์ด ์…€์„ ์ž์‚ฌ์˜ ๋…์ž์ ์ธ ์—๋„ˆ์ง€ ์ €์žฅ ์‹œ์Šคํ…œ์— ํ†ตํ•ฉํ•  ์˜ˆ์ •์ด๋‹ค.
6์‹œ๊ฐ„ ์ „