The Magnesium Market Experienced Uneven Performance in 2025, with Magnesium Ingots Under Pressure and Magnesium Alloys in Short Supply. Can the Downstream Boom in 2026 Lead a Turnaround for the Entire Industry Chain? [SMM Domestic Analysis]

๊ฒŒ์‹œ๋จ: Dec 31, 2025 17:26
[2025 Magnesium Market Sees Uneven Performance, Magnesium Ingot Under Pressure Coexists with Magnesium Alloy Shortage; Can Downstream Boom in 2026 Lead Entire Industry Chain to Stage a Comeback?] In 2025, the domestic magnesium industry exhibited a pronounced polarization trend. Upstream magnesium ingot was mired in oversupply and sluggishness, while downstream magnesium alloy experienced a surge in demand starting from September, quickly shifting to undersupply. Looking ahead to 2026, the resonance between magnesium alloy capacity expansion and demand growth is expected to gradually release its boosting effect on primary magnesium, potentially leveraging a reversal in the supply-demand balance across the entire industry chain.

๋ฐ์ดํ„ฐ ์ถœ์ฒ˜ ์„ค๋ช…: ๊ณต๊ฐœ ์ •๋ณด๋ฅผ ์ œ์™ธํ•œ ๋ชจ๋“  ๋ฐ์ดํ„ฐ๋Š” SMM์ด ๊ณต๊ฐœ ์ •๋ณด, ์‹œ์žฅ ์ปค๋ฎค๋‹ˆ์ผ€์ด์…˜ ๋ฐ SMM ๋‚ด๋ถ€ ๋ฐ์ดํ„ฐ๋ฒ ์ด์Šค ๋ชจ๋ธ์„ ๊ธฐ๋ฐ˜์œผ๋กœ ๊ฐ€๊ณตํ•œ ๊ฒƒ์ž…๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ๋ณธ ์ž๋ฃŒ๋Š” ์ฐธ๊ณ ์šฉ์ด๋ฉฐ ์˜์‚ฌ๊ฒฐ์ • ๊ถŒ๊ณ ๋ฅผ ๊ตฌ์„ฑํ•˜์ง€ ์•Š์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.

๋ฌธ์˜ ์‚ฌํ•ญ์ด ์žˆ๊ฑฐ๋‚˜ ์ž์„ธํ•œ ์ •๋ณด๋ฅผ ์›ํ•˜์‹œ๋ฉด ์•„๋ž˜๋กœ ์—ฐ๋ฝํ•ด ์ฃผ์‹œ๊ธฐ ๋ฐ”๋ž๋‹ˆ๋‹ค: lemonzhao@smm.cn
๋ฆฌ์„œ์น˜ ๋ณด๊ณ ์„œ ์—ด๋žŒ ๋ฐฉ๋ฒ•์— ๋Œ€ํ•œ ์ž์„ธํ•œ ๋‚ด์šฉ์€ ์•„๋ž˜๋กœ ๋ฌธ์˜ํ•˜์‹œ๊ธฐ ๋ฐ”๋ž๋‹ˆ๋‹ค:service.en@smm.cn
๊ด€๋ จ ๋‰ด์Šค
ํ›„๋‚œ ๋งˆ๊ทธ๋„ค์Š˜ ์œ , 2026๋…„ ๊ตญ๊ฐ€ ๋งˆ๊ทธ๋„ค์Š˜ ์ฒด์ธ ํ•ฉ๋ฅ˜, ๋ณ€ํ˜• ๋งˆ๊ทธ๋„ค์Š˜ ํ•ฉ๊ธˆ ๊ธ€๋กœ๋ฒŒ ์„ ๋„ ๋ชฉํ‘œ
2026๋…„ 6์›” 12์ผ 17:28
ํ›„๋‚œ ๋งˆ๊ทธ๋„ค์Š˜ ์œ , 2026๋…„ ๊ตญ๊ฐ€ ๋งˆ๊ทธ๋„ค์Š˜ ์ฒด์ธ ํ•ฉ๋ฅ˜, ๋ณ€ํ˜• ๋งˆ๊ทธ๋„ค์Š˜ ํ•ฉ๊ธˆ ๊ธ€๋กœ๋ฒŒ ์„ ๋„ ๋ชฉํ‘œ
๋” ๋ณด๊ธฐ
ํ›„๋‚œ ๋งˆ๊ทธ๋„ค์Š˜ ์œ , 2026๋…„ ๊ตญ๊ฐ€ ๋งˆ๊ทธ๋„ค์Š˜ ์ฒด์ธ ํ•ฉ๋ฅ˜, ๋ณ€ํ˜• ๋งˆ๊ทธ๋„ค์Š˜ ํ•ฉ๊ธˆ ๊ธ€๋กœ๋ฒŒ ์„ ๋„ ๋ชฉํ‘œ
ํ›„๋‚œ ๋งˆ๊ทธ๋„ค์Š˜ ์œ , 2026๋…„ ๊ตญ๊ฐ€ ๋งˆ๊ทธ๋„ค์Š˜ ์ฒด์ธ ํ•ฉ๋ฅ˜, ๋ณ€ํ˜• ๋งˆ๊ทธ๋„ค์Š˜ ํ•ฉ๊ธˆ ๊ธ€๋กœ๋ฒŒ ์„ ๋„ ๋ชฉํ‘œ
[SMM ๋งˆ๊ทธ๋„ค์Š˜ ์ต์Šคํ”„๋ ˆ์Šค] 6์›” 12์ผ, ํ›„๋‚œ ๋งˆ๊ทธ๋„ค์Š˜์œ„ ๊ธฐ์ˆ ์ด โ€˜2026๋…„ ๊ตญ๊ฐ€ ๋งˆ๊ทธ๋„ค์Š˜ ์‚ฐ์—… ์ฒด์ธ ๋ถ„ํฌ๋„โ€™ ๊ณต๋™ ์ œ์ž‘์‚ฌ๋กœ ์„ ์ •๋˜์—ˆ๋‹ค. ์ด ํšŒ์‚ฌ๋Š” ์›จ์–‘ ๋„์‹œ ํˆฌ์ž ๊ทธ๋ฃน๊ณผ ์ค‘๋‚œ ๋Œ€ํ•™์ด ๊ณต๋™ ์„ค๋ฆฝํ–ˆ์œผ๋ฉฐ, ์ด ํˆฌ์ž์•ก์€ 12์–ต 2,700๋งŒ ์œ„์•ˆ์ด๋‹ค. ์ƒ์‚ฐ ๋Šฅ๋ ฅ ๋„๋‹ฌ ํ›„ ์—ฐ๊ฐ„ 1๋งŒ ํ†ค์˜ ๋งˆ๊ทธ๋„ค์Š˜ ํ•ฉ๊ธˆ ๊ฐ€๊ณต์žฌ๋ฅผ ์ƒ์‚ฐํ•  ์ˆ˜ ์žˆ์œผ๋ฉฐ, ๋ณ€ํ˜• ๋งˆ๊ทธ๋„ค์Š˜ ํ•ฉ๊ธˆ ์‹ฌ๊ฐ€๊ณต ์ „ ์‚ฐ์—… ์ฒด์ธ ์ƒ์‚ฐ ๊ธฐ์ง€๋ฅผ ์„ธ๊ณ„ ์ตœ๋Œ€ ๊ทœ๋ชจ๋กœ ๊ตฌ์ถ•ํ•  ๊ณ„ํš์ด๋‹ค. ์ค‘๋‚œ ๋Œ€ํ•™ ๊ธฐ์ˆ ํŒ€์„ ๋ฐ”ํƒ•์œผ๋กœ ๋…์ž์ ์ธ ์ง€์‹ ์žฌ์‚ฐ๊ถŒ์„ ๊ฐ–์ถ˜ ๋ณ€ํ˜• ๋งˆ๊ทธ๋„ค์Š˜ ํ•ฉ๊ธˆ ๊ฐ€๊ณต ์‹ ๊ธฐ์ˆ  ์ฒด๊ณ„๋ฅผ ๊ฐœ๋ฐœํ–ˆ์œผ๋ฉฐ, 50์—ฌ ๊ฑด์˜ ๊ตญ๊ฐ€ ๋ฐœ๋ช… ํŠนํ—ˆ๋ฅผ ํš๋“ํ–ˆ๋‹ค. 2024๋…„์—๋Š” โ€˜๊ณ ์„ฑ๋Šฅ ๋ณ€ํ˜• ๋งˆ๊ทธ๋„ค์Š˜ ํ•ฉ๊ธˆ ๋ฐ ๋Œ€ํ˜• ๋ถ€ํ’ˆ ์ œ์กฐ ํ•ต์‹ฌ ๊ธฐ์ˆ ๊ณผ ์‘์šฉโ€™ ๊ณผ์ œ ์ฐธ์—ฌ์— ๋Œ€ํ•ด 8๋ช…์˜ ์›์‚ฌ๋กœ๋ถ€ํ„ฐ ์ข…ํ•ฉ ๊ธฐ์ˆ ์ด ๊ตญ์ œ ์„ ๋„ ์ˆ˜์ค€์— ๋„๋‹ฌํ–ˆ๋‹ค๋Š” ํ‰๊ฐ€๋ฅผ ๋ฐ›์•˜๋‹ค. ์ƒ์‚ฐ ๋Šฅ๋ ฅ์ด ์ ์ง„์ ์œผ๋กœ ํ™•๋Œ€๋˜๋ฉด์„œ ํ•ญ๊ณต์šฐ์ฃผ ๋“ฑ ๊ณ ๊ธ‰ ๋ถ„์•ผ์—์„œ ๋ณ€ํ˜• ๋งˆ๊ทธ๋„ค์Š˜ ํ•ฉ๊ธˆ์˜ ์ ์šฉ ๊ทœ๋ชจ๊ฐ€ ์ง€์†์ ์œผ๋กœ ํ™•๋Œ€๋  ์ „๋ง์ด๋‹ค.
2026๋…„ 6์›” 12์ผ 17:28
์‚ฐ๋‘ฅ ํ™”์„ฑ๋กฑ, ์ฒจ๋‹จ ๊ฐ€์šฉ์„ฑ ๋งˆ๊ทธ๋„ค์Š˜ ํ•ฉ๊ธˆ ๊ธฐ์ˆ ๋กœ ๋ถ๋ฏธ ์ง„์ถœ
2026๋…„ 6์›” 12์ผ 13:03
์‚ฐ๋‘ฅ ํ™”์„ฑ๋กฑ, ์ฒจ๋‹จ ๊ฐ€์šฉ์„ฑ ๋งˆ๊ทธ๋„ค์Š˜ ํ•ฉ๊ธˆ ๊ธฐ์ˆ ๋กœ ๋ถ๋ฏธ ์ง„์ถœ
๋” ๋ณด๊ธฐ
์‚ฐ๋‘ฅ ํ™”์„ฑ๋กฑ, ์ฒจ๋‹จ ๊ฐ€์šฉ์„ฑ ๋งˆ๊ทธ๋„ค์Š˜ ํ•ฉ๊ธˆ ๊ธฐ์ˆ ๋กœ ๋ถ๋ฏธ ์ง„์ถœ
์‚ฐ๋‘ฅ ํ™”์„ฑ๋กฑ, ์ฒจ๋‹จ ๊ฐ€์šฉ์„ฑ ๋งˆ๊ทธ๋„ค์Š˜ ํ•ฉ๊ธˆ ๊ธฐ์ˆ ๋กœ ๋ถ๋ฏธ ์ง„์ถœ
[SMM ๋งˆ๊ทธ๋„ค์Š˜ ์ต์Šคํ”„๋ ˆ์Šค] ๋ณด๋„์— ๋”ฐ๋ฅด๋ฉด, ์‚ฐ๋‘ฅ ํ™”์„ฑ๋ฃฝ ๋งˆ๊ทธ๋„ค์Š˜ ์‚ฐ์—…์ด ๋…์ž์ ์ธ ์šฉํ•ด์„ฑ ๋งˆ๊ทธ๋„ค์Š˜ ํ•ฉ๊ธˆ ๊ธฐ์ˆ ๋กœ ๋ถ๋ฏธ ์‹œ์žฅ์— ์ง„์ถœํ–ˆ๋‹ค. ์ด ์†Œ์žฌ๋Š” ์ธ์–‘ ๋ฐ ํšŒ์ˆ˜ ์—†์ด๋„ ์ง€ํ•˜ ์œ ์ฒด์—์„œ ์ž์—ฐ์ ์œผ๋กœ ์šฉํ•ด๋˜๋ฉฐ, 110๋ฉ”๊ฐ€ํŒŒ์Šค์นผ์˜ ๊ณ ์••์„ ๊ฒฌ๋ŽŒ 50~100๋ฏธํ„ฐ ๋‹จ์œ„์˜ ์ •๋ฐ€ ๊ตฌ๊ฐ„ ํŒŒ์‡„๋ฅผ ์‹คํ˜„ํ•œ๋‹ค. ์ด ๊ธฐ์—…์€ ์„ธ๊ณ„ ์ตœ์ดˆ๋กœ ๋…์ž ์ง€์‹์žฌ์‚ฐ๊ถŒ์„ ๋ณด์œ ํ•œ ์šฉํ•ด์„ฑ ๋งˆ๊ทธ๋„ค์Š˜ ํ•ฉ๊ธˆ ๊ธฐ์ˆ ์„ ํ™•๋ณดํ–ˆ์œผ๋ฉฐ, ์›์ž์žฌ ์ œ๋ จ๋ถ€ํ„ฐ ๋‹ค์šดํ™€ ์„œ๋น„์Šค๊นŒ์ง€ ์ „ ๊ณผ์ •์˜ ๋งž์ถคํ˜• ์ƒ์‚ฐ์„ ์‹คํ˜„ํ•œ ์œ ์ผํ•œ ๊ตญ๋‚ด ๊ธฐ์—…์ด๋‹ค. ํ˜„์žฌ๊นŒ์ง€ 50๊ฑด์˜ ํŠนํ—ˆ๋ฅผ ์ถ•์ ํ•˜๊ณ  100์ข… ์ด์ƒ์˜ ๋งˆ๊ทธ๋„ค์Š˜ ํ•ฉ๊ธˆ ์ œํ’ˆ์„ ๊ฐœ๋ฐœํ–ˆ๋‹ค. ํ˜„์žฌ ์ด ์ œํ’ˆ์€ ๋‹ค์นญ ์œ ์ „, ์ฐฝ์นญ ์œ ์ „ ๋“ฑ ๊ตญ๋‚ด ์ฃผ์š” ์ƒ์‚ฐ์ง€์—ญ์— ์ ์šฉ๋˜๊ณ  ์žˆ์œผ๋ฉฐ, ๋ถ๋ฏธยท์บ๋‚˜๋‹ค ๋“ฑ ๊ตญ์ œ ์‹œ์žฅ์—์„œ๋„ ์ธ์ •๋ฐ›์•„ ์ค‘๊ตญ ์‹ ์†Œ์žฌ์˜ ํ•ด์™ธ ์ง„์ถœ ์‚ฌ๋ก€๊ฐ€ ๋˜๊ณ  ์žˆ๋‹ค.
2026๋…„ 6์›” 12์ผ 13:03
์ผ๋ณธ ์Œ€๊ฒจ ๋งˆ๊ทธ๋„ค์Š˜, ์ง€์†์  ํก์ˆ˜ ํŠน์„ฑ์œผ๋กœ ์—ฌ๋Ÿฌ ์‹œ์žฅ์— ์ˆ˜์ถœ
2026๋…„ 6์›” 11์ผ 13:18
์ผ๋ณธ ์Œ€๊ฒจ ๋งˆ๊ทธ๋„ค์Š˜, ์ง€์†์  ํก์ˆ˜ ํŠน์„ฑ์œผ๋กœ ์—ฌ๋Ÿฌ ์‹œ์žฅ์— ์ˆ˜์ถœ
๋” ๋ณด๊ธฐ
์ผ๋ณธ ์Œ€๊ฒจ ๋งˆ๊ทธ๋„ค์Š˜, ์ง€์†์  ํก์ˆ˜ ํŠน์„ฑ์œผ๋กœ ์—ฌ๋Ÿฌ ์‹œ์žฅ์— ์ˆ˜์ถœ
์ผ๋ณธ ์Œ€๊ฒจ ๋งˆ๊ทธ๋„ค์Š˜, ์ง€์†์  ํก์ˆ˜ ํŠน์„ฑ์œผ๋กœ ์—ฌ๋Ÿฌ ์‹œ์žฅ์— ์ˆ˜์ถœ
ใ€SMM ๋งˆ๊ทธ๋„ค์Š˜ ๋‰ด์Šคใ€‘ ์ตœ๊ทผ ๋น„์ฆˆ๋‹ˆ์Šค ์™€์ด์–ด ๋ณด๋„์— ๋”ฐ๋ฅด๋ฉด, ์ผ๋ณธ์˜ ์“ฐ๋…ธ ๋ผ์ด์Šค ํŒŒ์ธ ์ผ€๋ฏธ์ปฌ์ฆˆ๋Š” ์ž์‚ฌ์˜ ๋…์ž์ ์ธ ์Œ€๊ฒจ ์œ ๋ž˜ ์›๋ฃŒ์ธ '๋ผ์ด์Šค ๋งˆ๊ทธ๋„ค์Š˜'์ด ์ธ์ฒด ์—ฐ๊ตฌ์—์„œ ๋…ํŠนํ•œ ๋А๋ฆฐ ์ง€์† ํก์ˆ˜ ํŠน์„ฑ์„ ๋ณด์˜€๋‹ค๊ณ  ๋ฐœํ‘œํ–ˆ๋‹ค. ๋‹ค๋ฅธ ์ผ๋ฐ˜์ ์ธ ๋งˆ๊ทธ๋„ค์Š˜ ๋ณด์ถฉ์ œ์™€ ๋น„๊ตํ–ˆ์„ ๋•Œ, ์ด ์„ฑ๋ถ„์€ ์ ์ง„์ ์œผ๋กœ ํ˜ˆ๋ฅ˜๋กœ ํก์ˆ˜๋˜์–ด ์ˆ˜ ์‹œ๊ฐ„ ๋™์•ˆ ๋” ๋†’์€ ํ˜ˆ์ค‘ ๋งˆ๊ทธ๋„ค์Š˜ ์ˆ˜์น˜๋ฅผ ์œ ์ง€ํ•œ๋‹ค. ์ด ์ œํ’ˆ์€ ์ด๋ฏธ ๋Œ€๋งŒ, ์ค‘๊ตญ, ํ•œ๊ตญ, ์œ ๋Ÿฝ ์‹œ์žฅ์— ์ˆ˜์ถœ๋˜๊ณ  ์žˆ๋‹ค. ํ–ฅํ›„ ์ˆ˜๋ฉด ์ง€์›, ์šด๋™ ํ”ผ๋กœ ๊ด€๋ฆฌ, ์žฅ ๊ฑด๊ฐ• ์กฐ์ ˆ ๋“ฑ์˜ ๋ถ„์•ผ์—์„œ ์‘์šฉ์ด ๊ธฐ๋Œ€๋œ๋‹ค.
2026๋…„ 6์›” 11์ผ 13:18
[2025 Magnesium Market Sees Uneven Performance, Magnesium Ingot Under - Shanghai Metals Market (SMM)