Downstream procurement reverted to sluggishness after the holiday, with local DMC transaction prices falling by 200 yuan/mt [SMM Analysis]

게시됨: May 9, 2025 11:57
[SMM Analysis: Post-Holiday Downstream Procurement Slumps Again, with Local DMC Transaction Prices Falling by 200 Yuan/mt] According to SMM, today's domestic local DMC transaction prices have dropped to around 11,300 yuan/mt, with the average price remaining unchanged compared to the beginning of the week. A monomer enterprise in Shandong Province quoted an opening price of 11,500 yuan/mt for DMC on its online mall in recent days, a decrease of 200 yuan/mt from the previous quote. Today, some other domestic monomer enterprises have also slightly lowered their DMC quotations. As of now, the mainstream quotations in the market are around 11,500 yuan/mt, with transaction prices dropping to 11,300 yuan/mt. After the holiday, downstream enterprises have seen a renewed slump in transactions.

SMM News on May 9: According to SMM, the local transaction price of DMC in China fell to around 11,300 yuan/mt today, with the average price remaining unchanged from the beginning of the week. A monomer enterprise in Shandong Province quoted an opening price of 11,500 yuan/mt for DMC on its online mall today, a decrease of 200 yuan/mt from the previous quote. Today, some other monomer enterprises in China also slightly lowered their DMC quotes. As of now, the mainstream quotation in the market is around 11,500 yuan/mt, with the transaction price dropping to 11,300 yuan/mt. After the holiday, transactions among downstream enterprises have once again become sluggish.

Figure: Price Trend of Silicone Products

Today, some monomer enterprises in the market have started to lower their quotes. Although the mainstream DMC quotation remains at 11,500 yuan/mt, due to the recent decline in transaction enthusiasm, the DMC transaction price in some local markets has fallen to 11,200-11,300 yuan/mt. SMM has learned that the main reasons are as follows: Firstly, although the domestic demand side stocked up on purchases before the Labour Day holiday, transactions in the market have decreased after the holiday due to the generally lackluster performance of end-use demand. Secondly, some production lines of domestic monomer enterprises have recently resumed production. Although the maintenance plans of large factories in north-west China have significantly impacted capacity, the overall domestic supply has increased. As a result, monomer enterprises' inventories have started to come under pressure. Although there are still orders being taken at a DMC price of 11,500 yuan/mt, the high inventory level has not yet found a quick way to decline. Therefore, the transaction price in some local markets has slightly dipped, with the main focus on offering discounts to destock.

Regarding the subsequent price forecast, SMM believes that the market bottom will basically be at 11,000 yuan/mt. The recent decline in silicon metal prices has started to slow down, and the comprehensive inventory of monomer enterprises has decreased to a certain extent compared to the previous period. This round of price reductions is more about some enterprises offering discounts to destock. The overall market center is expected to remain relatively stable, with a fluctuating trend continuing in the first half of May.

데이터 출처 설명: 공개 정보를 제외한 모든 데이터는 SMM이 공개 정보, 시장 커뮤니케이션 및 SMM 내부 데이터베이스 모델을 기반으로 가공한 것입니다. 본 자료는 참고용이며 의사결정 권고를 구성하지 않습니다.

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