US and Eurozone to Release Q1 GDP Data Amid Slowdown Fears

๊ฒŒ์‹œ๋จ: Apr 28, 2025 11:35
[US and Eurozone Q1 GDP Data to Be Released This Week] The US and Eurozone Q1 GDP data will be released this Wednesday, local time. Multiple institutions predict that the US's actual GDP growth data for Q1 2025 will be below 0.5%, a significant decline from the 2.4% growth in the previous quarter. Additionally, the Eurozone will release a series of data this week, including GDP, inflation, and consumer confidence indices, which the market will use to assess the impact of tariff policies on the European economy.

๋ฐ์ดํ„ฐ ์ถœ์ฒ˜ ์„ค๋ช…: ๊ณต๊ฐœ ์ •๋ณด๋ฅผ ์ œ์™ธํ•œ ๋ชจ๋“  ๋ฐ์ดํ„ฐ๋Š” SMM์ด ๊ณต๊ฐœ ์ •๋ณด, ์‹œ์žฅ ์ปค๋ฎค๋‹ˆ์ผ€์ด์…˜ ๋ฐ SMM ๋‚ด๋ถ€ ๋ฐ์ดํ„ฐ๋ฒ ์ด์Šค ๋ชจ๋ธ์„ ๊ธฐ๋ฐ˜์œผ๋กœ ๊ฐ€๊ณตํ•œ ๊ฒƒ์ž…๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ๋ณธ ์ž๋ฃŒ๋Š” ์ฐธ๊ณ ์šฉ์ด๋ฉฐ ์˜์‚ฌ๊ฒฐ์ • ๊ถŒ๊ณ ๋ฅผ ๊ตฌ์„ฑํ•˜์ง€ ์•Š์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.

๋ฌธ์˜ ์‚ฌํ•ญ์ด ์žˆ๊ฑฐ๋‚˜ ์ž์„ธํ•œ ์ •๋ณด๋ฅผ ์›ํ•˜์‹œ๋ฉด ์•„๋ž˜๋กœ ์—ฐ๋ฝํ•ด ์ฃผ์‹œ๊ธฐ ๋ฐ”๋ž๋‹ˆ๋‹ค: lemonzhao@smm.cn
๋ฆฌ์„œ์น˜ ๋ณด๊ณ ์„œ ์—ด๋žŒ ๋ฐฉ๋ฒ•์— ๋Œ€ํ•œ ์ž์„ธํ•œ ๋‚ด์šฉ์€ ์•„๋ž˜๋กœ ๋ฌธ์˜ํ•˜์‹œ๊ธฐ ๋ฐ”๋ž๋‹ˆ๋‹ค:service.en@smm.cn
๊ด€๋ จ ๋‰ด์Šค
๏ผปSMM ๋ถ„์„๏ผฝ ์›๊ฐ€ ์ง€์› ์•ฝํ™”๋กœ ๋‹ˆ์ผˆ์—ผ ๊ฐ€๊ฒฉ ํ•˜๋ฝ
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๏ผปSMM ๋ถ„์„๏ผฝ ์›๊ฐ€ ์ง€์› ์•ฝํ™”๋กœ ๋‹ˆ์ผˆ์—ผ ๊ฐ€๊ฒฉ ํ•˜๋ฝ
๋” ๋ณด๊ธฐ
๏ผปSMM ๋ถ„์„๏ผฝ ์›๊ฐ€ ์ง€์› ์•ฝํ™”๋กœ ๋‹ˆ์ผˆ์—ผ ๊ฐ€๊ฒฉ ํ•˜๋ฝ
๏ผปSMM ๋ถ„์„๏ผฝ ์›๊ฐ€ ์ง€์› ์•ฝํ™”๋กœ ๋‹ˆ์ผˆ์—ผ ๊ฐ€๊ฒฉ ํ•˜๋ฝ
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[SMM ๋‹ˆ์ผˆ ์†๋ณด] ์ธ๋„๋„ค์‹œ์•„ ์ •๋ถ€, RKAB ๋‹ˆ์ผˆ ์ƒ์‚ฐ๋Ÿ‰ ์ฆ๊ฐ€ ์ถ”์ธก ๋ถ€์ธํ–ˆ๋‹ค
9๋ถ„ ์ „
[SMM ๋‹ˆ์ผˆ ์†๋ณด] ์ธ๋„๋„ค์‹œ์•„ ์ •๋ถ€, RKAB ๋‹ˆ์ผˆ ์ƒ์‚ฐ๋Ÿ‰ ์ฆ๊ฐ€ ์ถ”์ธก ๋ถ€์ธํ–ˆ๋‹ค
๋” ๋ณด๊ธฐ
[SMM ๋‹ˆ์ผˆ ์†๋ณด] ์ธ๋„๋„ค์‹œ์•„ ์ •๋ถ€, RKAB ๋‹ˆ์ผˆ ์ƒ์‚ฐ๋Ÿ‰ ์ฆ๊ฐ€ ์ถ”์ธก ๋ถ€์ธํ–ˆ๋‹ค
[SMM ๋‹ˆ์ผˆ ์†๋ณด] ์ธ๋„๋„ค์‹œ์•„ ์ •๋ถ€, RKAB ๋‹ˆ์ผˆ ์ƒ์‚ฐ๋Ÿ‰ ์ฆ๊ฐ€ ์ถ”์ธก ๋ถ€์ธํ–ˆ๋‹ค
์ธ๋„๋„ค์‹œ์•„ ์—๋„ˆ์ง€๊ด‘๋ฌผ์ž์›๋ถ€(ESDM)๋Š” 2026๋…„ 6์›” 25์ผ, 2026๋…„ ๋‹ˆ์ผˆ RKAB ์ด ํ• ๋‹น๋Ÿ‰์ด ์•„์ง ๊ฒฐ์ •๋˜์ง€ ์•Š์•˜๋‹ค๊ณ  ๋ฐํžˆ๋ฉฐ ์ตœ๊ทผ ์‹œ์žฅ์˜ ์ถ”์ธก์„ ์ผ์ถ•ํ–ˆ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ๊ด‘๋ฌผ์„ํƒ„์ด๊ตญ์žฅ ํŠธ๋ฆฌ ์œ„๋‚˜๋ฅด๋…ธ๋Š” ์ •๋ถ€๊ฐ€ ์—ฌ์ „ํžˆ ๊ด‘์‚ฐ์—…์ฒด๋“ค์ด ์ œ์ถœํ•œ RKAB ๊ฐœ์ •์•ˆ์„ ํ‰๊ฐ€ ์ค‘์ด๋ผ๊ณ  ๊ฐ•์กฐํ•˜๋ฉฐ, "๋‹ˆ์ผˆ RKAB์™€ ๊ด€๋ จํ•ด ์ •๋ถ€๋Š” RKAB ๊ฐœ์ •์„ ๊ฒฐ์ •ํ•˜๊ธฐ ์ „ ๊ณต์‹ ํ‰๊ฐ€ ๋ฉ”์ปค๋‹ˆ์ฆ˜์„ ๊ณ„์† ๋”ฐ๋ฅผ ๊ฒƒ์ž…๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ๋…ผ์˜๊ฐ€ ์ง„ํ–‰ ์ค‘์ด๋ฏ€๋กœ ์•„์ง ์ƒ์‚ฐ๋Ÿ‰ ์ˆ˜์น˜๊ฐ€ ๊ฒฐ์ •๋˜์ง€ ์•Š์•˜์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค"๋ผ๊ณ  ๋งํ–ˆ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ๋˜ํ•œ ํ˜„์žฌ ์ ˆ์ฐจ๋Š” ์ƒ์‚ฐ ํ•œ๋„ ์™„ํ™”๊ฐ€ ์•„๋‹Œ ์—…๊ณ„ ์š”๊ตฌ ์‚ฌํ•ญ์„ ํ‰๊ฐ€ํ•˜๋Š” ๊ฒƒ์ด๋ผ๊ณ  ๋ง๋ถ™์˜€์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ๊ธฐ์—…๋“ค์€ 2025๋…„ ์žฅ๊ด€๋ น ์ œ17ํ˜ธ์— ๋”ฐ๋ผ 2๋ถ„๊ธฐ ๋ณด๊ณ  ํ›„ RKAB ๊ฐœ์ •์•ˆ์„ ์ œ์ถœํ•  ์ˆ˜ ์žˆ์ง€๋งŒ, ๋ชจ๋“  ๋ณ€๊ฒฝ ์‚ฌํ•ญ์€ ์ƒ์‚ฐ ๋ฐ์ดํ„ฐ, ๋‹ค์šด์ŠคํŠธ๋ฆผ ์‚ฐ์—… ์ˆ˜์š”, ์‹œ์žฅ ์ƒํ™ฉ, ๊ณต๊ธ‰๋ง ๊ท ํ˜•, ์›์ž์žฌ ๊ฐ€๊ฒฉ, ์žฅ๊ธฐ ์ž์› ์ง€์† ๊ฐ€๋Šฅ์„ฑ์„ ๋ฐ”ํƒ•์œผ๋กœ ์ข…ํ•ฉ์ ์ธ ๊ฒ€ํ† ๋ฅผ ๊ฑฐ์ณ์•ผ ํ•ฉ๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ์ •๋ถ€๋Š” ๋‹ˆ์ผˆ ๊ตญ๊ฐ€ ์ƒ์‚ฐ ํ•œ๋„ ์กฐ์ •์€ ํ‰๊ฐ€ ์ ˆ์ฐจ๊ฐ€ ์™„๋ฃŒ๋œ ํ›„์—๋งŒ ๊ฒฐ์ •๋  ๊ฒƒ์ด๋ฉฐ, ์ œ๋ จ์†Œ์— ์ ์ ˆํ•œ ๊ด‘์„ ๊ณต๊ธ‰์„ ๋ณด์žฅํ•˜๋ฉด์„œ ๊ณต๊ธ‰ ๊ณผ์ž‰, ๊ฐ€๊ฒฉ ์••๋ฐ•, ์ธ๋„๋„ค์‹œ์•„ ๋‹ˆ์ผˆ ๋งค์žฅ๋Ÿ‰์˜ ๊ธ‰์†ํ•œ ๊ณ ๊ฐˆ์„ ๋ฐฉ์ง€ํ•˜๋Š” ๊ฒƒ์„ ๋ชฉํ‘œ๋กœ ํ•œ๋‹ค๊ณ  ๋‹ค์‹œ ํ•œ ๋ฒˆ ๊ฐ•์กฐํ–ˆ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.
9๋ถ„ ์ „
[SMM ๋‹ˆ์ผˆ ์ค‘๊ฐ„์ œํ’ˆ ์ผ์ผ ๋ฆฌ๋ทฐ] 6์›” 25์ผ: MHPยท๊ณ ํ’ˆ์œ„ ๋‹ˆ์ผˆ ๋งคํŠธ ๋‹ˆ์ผˆ ๊ฐ€๊ฒฉ ํ•˜๋ฝ, ์ฝ”๋ฐœํŠธ ๊ฐ€๊ฒฉ ์ƒ์Šน
26๋ถ„ ์ „
[SMM ๋‹ˆ์ผˆ ์ค‘๊ฐ„์ œํ’ˆ ์ผ์ผ ๋ฆฌ๋ทฐ] 6์›” 25์ผ: MHPยท๊ณ ํ’ˆ์œ„ ๋‹ˆ์ผˆ ๋งคํŠธ ๋‹ˆ์ผˆ ๊ฐ€๊ฒฉ ํ•˜๋ฝ, ์ฝ”๋ฐœํŠธ ๊ฐ€๊ฒฉ ์ƒ์Šน
๋” ๋ณด๊ธฐ
[SMM ๋‹ˆ์ผˆ ์ค‘๊ฐ„์ œํ’ˆ ์ผ์ผ ๋ฆฌ๋ทฐ] 6์›” 25์ผ: MHPยท๊ณ ํ’ˆ์œ„ ๋‹ˆ์ผˆ ๋งคํŠธ ๋‹ˆ์ผˆ ๊ฐ€๊ฒฉ ํ•˜๋ฝ, ์ฝ”๋ฐœํŠธ ๊ฐ€๊ฒฉ ์ƒ์Šน
[SMM ๋‹ˆ์ผˆ ์ค‘๊ฐ„์ œํ’ˆ ์ผ์ผ ๋ฆฌ๋ทฐ] 6์›” 25์ผ: MHPยท๊ณ ํ’ˆ์œ„ ๋‹ˆ์ผˆ ๋งคํŠธ ๋‹ˆ์ผˆ ๊ฐ€๊ฒฉ ํ•˜๋ฝ, ์ฝ”๋ฐœํŠธ ๊ฐ€๊ฒฉ ์ƒ์Šน
ํ˜„์žฌ ์ธ๋„๋„ค์‹œ์•„ MHP ๋‹ˆ์ผˆ FOB ๊ฐ€๊ฒฉ์€ Ni ๊ธฐ์ค€ ํ†ค๋‹น $16,067, ์ธ๋„๋„ค์‹œ์•„ MHP ์ฝ”๋ฐœํŠธ FOB ๊ฐ€๊ฒฉ์€ Co ๊ธฐ์ค€ ํ†ค๋‹น $51,445์ž…๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. MHP ๋‹ˆ์ผˆ ํŽ˜์ด์–ด๋ธ” ์ง€ํ‘œ(SMM ๋ฐฐํ„ฐ๋ฆฌ๊ธ‰ ํ™ฉ์‚ฐ๋‹ˆ์ผˆ ์ง€์ˆ˜ ๋Œ€๋น„)๋Š” 81.5-82.5, MHP ์ฝ”๋ฐœํŠธ ์„ฑ๋ถ„ ํŽ˜์ด์–ด๋ธ” ์ง€ํ‘œ(SMM ์ •์ œ ์ฝ”๋ฐœํŠธ(๋กœํ…Œ๋ฅด๋‹ด ์ฐฝ๊ณ ) ๋Œ€๋น„)๋Š” 97์ž…๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ์ธ๋„๋„ค์‹œ์•„ ๊ณ ๊ธ‰ ๋‹ˆ์ผˆ ๋งคํŠธ FOB ๊ฐ€๊ฒฉ์€ Ni ๊ธฐ์ค€ ํ†ค๋‹น $16,153์ž…๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.
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[US and Eurozone Q1 GDP Data to Be Released This Week] The US and Euro - Shanghai Metals Market (SMM)