Real Estate Data Disappoints, Sentiment Turns Pessimistic, Iron Ore Prices Decline Weakly [SMM Brief Commentary]

게시됨: Mar 17, 2025 16:35
Today, Dalian iron ore futures fell weakly. The most-traded I2505 contract closed at 778.5 yuan/mt, down 1.14% for the day. Traders showed moderate enthusiasm for selling; steel mills remained cautious, with some mills tendering as needed; market transaction sentiment was average. Mainstream transaction prices dropped by 10-15 yuan/mt compared to yesterday. This week, SMM reported China's total iron ore arrivals at 21.87 million mt, up significantly by 29.76% WoW, indicating a rebound in supply. Additionally, real estate data released today showed a significant YoY decline in new starts for January-February, leading to pessimistic market sentiment and weak fluctuations in iron ore prices. Attention will be on downstream demand this week, which may support ore prices to stabilize and rebound.

Today, iron ore futures fell weakly. The most-traded I2505 contract closed at 778.5 yuan/mt, down 1.14% throughout the day. Traders showed moderate enthusiasm for selling; steel mills remained cautious, with some tendering as needed; market transaction sentiment was average. In Shandong, mainstream transaction prices for PB fines were around 778-780 yuan/mt, down 10-15 yuan/mt from yesterday; in Tangshan, transaction prices for PB fines were around 785-790 yuan/mt, also down 10-15 yuan/mt from yesterday.

This week, SMM's global iron ore shipments totaled 30.69 million mt, down 10.5% WoW. Among them, Brazil's shipments saw a significant WoW decline of 32.6%; SMM's total iron ore arrivals in China reached 21.87 million mt, up sharply by 29.76% WoW. Supply rebounded to some extent. Additionally, real estate data released today showed a significant YoY decline in new starts for January-February, leading to pessimistic market sentiment and weak fluctuations in iron ore prices. Attention should be paid to downstream demand this week, which may support ore prices to stabilize and rebound.

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Real Estate Data Disappoints, Sentiment Turns Pessimistic, Iron Ore Prices Decline Weakly [SMM Brief Commentary] - Shanghai Metals Market (SMM)