[SMM Aluminum Futures Brief Review: Mixed Macro Factors as SHFE Aluminum Hits a New High in This Rebound] Recently, domestic spot alumina prices have stabilized after declining, mainly supported by short-term export demand and stockpiling for transfer to delivery warehouses. However, the decline in overseas prices has squeezed export profit margins. The market expects some new alumina capacity to gradually come online, with the expectation of a loosening alumina supply and demand balance remaining strong. Medium and long-term prices still face pressure. On the macro front, mixed factors prevail. Domestically, the favorable macro tone remains unchanged, while overseas trade barriers have increased, though with significant uncertainty, leaving the market in a state of contention. On the fundamentals side, both supply and demand are showing growth. As the consumption peak season approaches, most sectors are seeing a rebound in order volumes and operating rates. Combined with the initial signs of destocking in aluminum ingot social inventory, this provides strong support for aluminum prices.
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