Aluminum Fluoride Raw Material Costs Rebound; Short-Term Recovery Possible but Long-Term Trend Remains Weak [SMM Analysis]

๊ฒŒ์‹œ๋จ: Mar 7, 2025 16:45
[SMM Analysis: Aluminum Fluoride Raw Material Costs Rebound, Short-Term Recovery Possible but Long-Term Trend Remains Weak] During the period, raw material costs continued to ease, and transaction activity among aluminum fluoride enterprises remained sluggish, with companies primarily focused on fulfilling orders. Market activity was low, and domestic aluminum fluoride market prices continued to decline. As tender prices in the aluminum industry gradually stabilized, the benchmark aluminum tender price for March saw a significant drop to 9,900โ€“9,950 yuan/mt. Entering March, prices of raw materials such as fluorite powder, sulphuric acid, and aluminum hydroxide showed increases or upward trends, which may provide some support for aluminum fluoride prices. In the short term, the aluminum fluoride market is expected to see a slight recovery due to the rebound in raw material costs. However, it is important to note that the long-term trend remains weak, particularly due to the significant decline in aluminum hydroxide costs in the earlier period and the lack of growth in downstream demand, which may limit the extent of market rebound.

๋ฐ์ดํ„ฐ ์ถœ์ฒ˜ ์„ค๋ช…: ๊ณต๊ฐœ ์ •๋ณด๋ฅผ ์ œ์™ธํ•œ ๋ชจ๋“  ๋ฐ์ดํ„ฐ๋Š” SMM์ด ๊ณต๊ฐœ ์ •๋ณด, ์‹œ์žฅ ์ปค๋ฎค๋‹ˆ์ผ€์ด์…˜ ๋ฐ SMM ๋‚ด๋ถ€ ๋ฐ์ดํ„ฐ๋ฒ ์ด์Šค ๋ชจ๋ธ์„ ๊ธฐ๋ฐ˜์œผ๋กœ ๊ฐ€๊ณตํ•œ ๊ฒƒ์ž…๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ๋ณธ ์ž๋ฃŒ๋Š” ์ฐธ๊ณ ์šฉ์ด๋ฉฐ ์˜์‚ฌ๊ฒฐ์ • ๊ถŒ๊ณ ๋ฅผ ๊ตฌ์„ฑํ•˜์ง€ ์•Š์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.

๋ฌธ์˜ ์‚ฌํ•ญ์ด ์žˆ๊ฑฐ๋‚˜ ์ž์„ธํ•œ ์ •๋ณด๋ฅผ ์›ํ•˜์‹œ๋ฉด ์•„๋ž˜๋กœ ์—ฐ๋ฝํ•ด ์ฃผ์‹œ๊ธฐ ๋ฐ”๋ž๋‹ˆ๋‹ค: lemonzhao@smm.cn
๋ฆฌ์„œ์น˜ ๋ณด๊ณ ์„œ ์—ด๋žŒ ๋ฐฉ๋ฒ•์— ๋Œ€ํ•œ ์ž์„ธํ•œ ๋‚ด์šฉ์€ ์•„๋ž˜๋กœ ๋ฌธ์˜ํ•˜์‹œ๊ธฐ ๋ฐ”๋ž๋‹ˆ๋‹ค:service.en@smm.cn
๊ด€๋ จ ๋‰ด์Šค
๋ฐ์ดํ„ฐ: SHFE, DCE ์‹œ์žฅ ๋™ํ–ฅ (7์›” 13์ผ)
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๋ฐ์ดํ„ฐ: SHFE, DCE ์‹œ์žฅ ๋™ํ–ฅ (7์›” 13์ผ)
๋” ๋ณด๊ธฐ
๋ฐ์ดํ„ฐ: SHFE, DCE ์‹œ์žฅ ๋™ํ–ฅ (7์›” 13์ผ)
๋ฐ์ดํ„ฐ: SHFE, DCE ์‹œ์žฅ ๋™ํ–ฅ (7์›” 13์ผ)
๋‹ค์Œ ํ‘œ๋Š” 2026๋…„ 7์›” 13์ผ SHFE์™€ DCE์˜ ์ฒ  ๋ฐ ๋น„์ฒ ๊ธˆ์† ๋™ํ–ฅ์„ ๋ณด์—ฌ์ค๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.
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๋” ๋ณด๊ธฐ
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[ADC12 ๊ฐ€๊ฒฉ ์ผ์ผ ๋…ผํ‰: ์ฃผ์กฐ ์•Œ๋ฃจ๋ฏธ๋Š„ ์„ ๋ฌผ ์•ฝ์„ธ, ๋น„์ˆ˜๊ธฐ ํ˜„๋ฌผ ์ˆ˜์š” ๋ถ€๋‹ด] ์˜ค๋Š˜ ADC12 ์‹œ์žฅ ํ˜ธ๊ฐ€๋Š” ์ „๋ฐ˜์ ์œผ๋กœ ์•ฝ๋ณดํ•ฉ์„ธ๋ฅผ ๋ณด์˜€์œผ๋ฉฐ, SMM ADC12 ๊ฐ€๊ฒฉ์ด ์ „ ๊ฑฐ๋ž˜์ผ ๋Œ€๋น„ 100์œ„์•ˆ/ํ†ค ํ•˜๋ฝํ–ˆ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ์•Œ๋ฃจ๋ฏธ๋Š„ ๊ฐ€๊ฒฉ ๋ฐ˜๋ฝ๊ณผ ์ฃผ์กฐ ์•Œ๋ฃจ๋ฏธ๋Š„ ํ•ฉ๊ธˆ ์„ ๋ฌผ ์•ฝ์„ธ๊ฐ€ ์‹œ์žฅ ์‹ฌ๋ฆฌ๋ฅผ ์••๋ฐ•ํ•˜๋ฉด์„œ, ๊ธฐ์—…๋“ค์˜ ์˜คํผ ์ค‘์‹ฌ์ด ์›๊ฐ€ ์ธก๊ณผ ๋™์กฐํ•˜์—ฌ ๋‚ฎ์•„์กŒ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.
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๋” ๋ณด๊ธฐ
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EGA, ์•Œ ํƒ€์œŒ๋ผ์—์„œ ์•Œ๋ฃจ๋ฏธ๋‚˜ ์ƒ์‚ฐ ์žฌ๊ฐœ, 2026๋…„ ๋ง ์™„์ „ ๊ฐ€๋™ ๋ชฉํ‘œ
[SMM ์•Œ๋ฃจ๋ฏธ๋Š„ ์†๋ณด] EGA๊ฐ€ 3.5๊ฐœ์›”๊ฐ„์˜ ์…ง๋‹ค์šด ์ดํ›„ ์•Œ ํƒ€์œŒ๋ผ ์ •์ œ์†Œ์—์„œ ์•Œ๋ฃจ๋ฏธ๋‚˜ ์ƒ์‚ฐ์„ ์žฌ๊ฐœํ–ˆ์œผ๋ฉฐ, ์ˆ˜์ผ ๋‚ด๋กœ ์ƒ์‚ฐ๋Ÿ‰์ด ์„ค๋น„ ์šฉ๋Ÿ‰์˜ 50%์— ๋„๋‹ฌํ•˜๊ณ  2026๋…„ ๋ง๊นŒ์ง€ ์™„์ „ํ•œ ๊ธฐ์ˆ ์  ์ƒ์‚ฐ ๋Šฅ๋ ฅ์„ ๊ฐ–์ถœ ์˜ˆ์ •์ด๋‹ค. ํ•ด๋‹น ์ •์ œ์†Œ๋Š” 2025๋…„ 240๋งŒ ํ†ค์˜ ์•Œ๋ฃจ๋ฏธ๋‚˜๋ฅผ ์ƒ์‚ฐํ•ด EGA ์•Œ๋ฃจ๋ฏธ๋‚˜ ์ˆ˜์š”์˜ 46%๋ฅผ ๊ณต๊ธ‰ํ–ˆ๋‹ค. ์ด๋ฒˆ ์žฌ๊ฐ€๋™์€ 6์›” 24์ผ ์ˆ˜์‚ฐํ™”๋ฌผ ์ƒ์‚ฐ ์žฌ๊ฐœ์— ๋”ฐ๋ฅธ ๊ฒƒ์œผ๋กœ, ์•Œ๋ฃจ๋ฏธ๋‚˜ ๊ณต๊ธ‰ ์šฐ๋ ค๋ฅผ ์™„ํ™”ํ•  ์ „๋ง์ด๋‚˜ ์ถ”๊ฐ€ ์ฆ์‚ฐ ์†๋„๋Š” ๋ณดํฌ์‚ฌ์ดํŠธ ๊ณต๊ธ‰๋ง ์ตœ์ ํ™”์— ๋‹ฌ๋ ค ์žˆ๋‹ค. ํ•œํŽธ, ์•Œ ํƒ€์œŒ๋ผ ์ œ๋ จ์†Œ๋Š” ์ „์ฒด 1,262๊ฐœ ์ „ํ•ด์กฐ ์ค‘ 89๊ฐœ๋ฅผ ์žฌ๊ฐ€๋™ํ–ˆ์œผ๋ฉฐ, ์ œ๋ จ์†Œ์˜ ์™„์ „ํ•œ ๋ณต๊ตฌ์—๋Š” ์ตœ๋Œ€ 1๋…„์ด ์†Œ์š”๋  ๊ฒƒ์œผ๋กœ ๋ณด์ธ๋‹ค.
1์‹œ๊ฐ„ ์ „